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Giuliani Leads, Four More at or Above 10% in GOP Contest (Certain Voters: Rudy: 25%; Fred 21%)
Gallup ^ | 11/16/2007

Posted on 11/18/2007 10:13:32 AM PST by Brices Crossroads

The Nov. 11-14 Gallup Poll finds 28% of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide naming Giuliani as their first choice for the party’s 2008 presidential nomination. Former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson is second, at 19%. Thompson appears, for the moment, to have halted some negative momentum, as his numbers had fallen slightly in each of the three prior polls. Thompson received a key endorsement from the National Right to Life Committee this week, although it is unclear whether that would have boosted his support.

Arizona Sen. John McCain (13%), former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney (12%), and Huckabee (10%) are closely matched for third place. Texas Rep. Ron Paul places sixth with 5% support. [Snip] Among the roughly 6 in 10 Republicans in the current poll who say they are extremely likely to vote in their state’s 2008 presidential primary or caucus, Giuliani (25%) and Thompson (21%) are essentially tied. McCain (13%), Romney (12%), and Huckabee (12%) tie for third among this group.

(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; 2008polls; election; electionpresident; elections; fred; fredthompson; galluppoll; giuliani; gop; mikehuckabee; mittromney; polls; republicans; righttolife; romney; ronpaul; rootimcrombee; rudygiuliani; thompson
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The Gallup poll internals from Friday, which were not widely reported, using a "tighter screen" finds that among the 6 out of 10 GOP voters who are extremely likely to vote, reveal that Fred Thompson is statistically tied for second place behind Rudy Giuliani, while McCain, Romney and Huckabee trail the two leaders by 8-9% and are statistically tied for third place.
1 posted on 11/18/2007 10:13:36 AM PST by Brices Crossroads
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To: fieldmarshaldj; greyfoxx39; Petronski; Josh Painter; Finny; Clara Lou; perfect_rovian_storm; ...

Fred momentum ping!


2 posted on 11/18/2007 10:15:44 AM PST by Brices Crossroads
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To: Brices Crossroads

As candidates drop out, the numbers of all will improve; except for Giuliani. Can’t see him being the second, or even the third choice of any of the other canddates’ supporters.


3 posted on 11/18/2007 10:17:15 AM PST by SeaHawkFan
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To: All

Correction to post 1: Among those extremely likely to vote, Fred is statistically tied with Giuliani For FIRST place, not second. Sorry for the mistake.


4 posted on 11/18/2007 10:19:10 AM PST by Brices Crossroads
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To: Brices Crossroads

So Fred and Rudy are tied within the margin of error? SWEET! I had a feeling the National Right To Life endorsement was going to be a turning point!! Wait until the NRA endorses him! Hahahahaha! Bye, bye Rudy McRombee!


5 posted on 11/18/2007 10:20:14 AM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (Your "dirt" on Fred is about as persuasive as a Nancy Pelosi Veteran's Day Speech)
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To: Brices Crossroads
Here is the question. Where are the voters? Nominations are determined on a state by state basis. If Rudy is winning a few big states by a lot, it skews his strength in a national poll out of proportion to his actual delegate strength
6 posted on 11/18/2007 10:21:32 AM PST by MNJohnnie (FUND THE WAR! DEFUND THE PORK! FIX THE ATM!-DO SOMETHING DEMOCRATS!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet; Brices Crossroads

While I do like polls that validate what I want to see, Ras is the one that I trust and I haven’t seen much movement there.

Let’s not open the champagne bottles just yet. :)


7 posted on 11/18/2007 10:21:52 AM PST by perfect_rovian_storm (John Cox 2008: Because Duncan Hunter just isn't obscure enough for me!)
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To: Brices Crossroads

I’ll take my chances wuth Fred’s bloomers rather than hilary’s.


8 posted on 11/18/2007 10:22:19 AM PST by Waco
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Yea. A lot of pundits will be feasting on crow. I saw part of Fred on This Week. He just keeps getting better and better. He really handled Stephanopoulos well. Preview of what he is going to do to Hillary. Can’t wait.


9 posted on 11/18/2007 10:23:27 AM PST by Brices Crossroads
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To: perfect_rovian_storm

The problem with daily tracking polls is they tend to be more volatile. No poll is 100% reliable this far out. The Ras numbers will not begin to harden until much closer to the voting. Nonetheless, I am pleased by the Gallup internals.


10 posted on 11/18/2007 10:25:39 AM PST by Brices Crossroads
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To: perfect_rovian_storm

It’s just that everyone in the drive-by media has been posting Fred’s obituary and dancing on his imagined political grave for weeks now, when they haven’t been ignoring or slighting him in some way. I don’t have any champagne bottles cracked open, but I will do a little jig (at 375lbs, it’s something to see).


11 posted on 11/18/2007 10:26:12 AM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (Your "dirt" on Fred is about as persuasive as a Nancy Pelosi Veteran's Day Speech)
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To: Brices Crossroads

yeah, go Fred, go!


12 posted on 11/18/2007 10:26:27 AM PST by romanesq
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To: Brices Crossroads
A scary time for America. If Hillary wins its a quick death. If Giuliani wins, its a slower death via gay and abortion-infanticide/death culture. At this point Thompson appears to be the only viable candidate that approaches Christian conservatism. Wherever Duncan Hunter is, he doesn't seem to appear on radar. Ron Paul for all his foreign policy battiness, is strong on domestic/constitutional policy, but he seems off the radar also. God help our country.

Does anyone know why (really not cynically) Robertson endorsed Giuliani?

13 posted on 11/18/2007 10:26:51 AM PST by Jim W N
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To: perfect_rovian_storm

“Let’s not open the champagne bottles just yet. :)”

Agreed. But you don’t mind if I put my bottle on ice, do you?:)


14 posted on 11/18/2007 10:27:09 AM PST by Brices Crossroads
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To: Brices Crossroads

This is good news about FDT. I wish I’d seen him this morning!


15 posted on 11/18/2007 10:27:42 AM PST by Clara Lou (Thompson '08)
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To: Clara Lou

I like to look at the internals of the polls. Sometimes you find the real story, which is not necessarily what the MSM is spoonfeeding the voters. Fred was absolutely great on This Week, even better than Russert.


16 posted on 11/18/2007 10:29:50 AM PST by Brices Crossroads
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“It’s just that everyone in the drive-by media has been posting Fred’s obituary and dancing on his imagined political grave for weeks now”

Yep, we have to battle their Rudy fixation !


17 posted on 11/18/2007 10:32:32 AM PST by stephenjohnbanker (Pray for, and support our troops(heroes) !! And vote out the RINO's!!)
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To: Brices Crossroads
Survey Methods
These results are based on telephone interviews with a randomly selected national sample of 398 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, aged 18 and older, conducted Nov. 11-14, 2007.

And why should I care what only 398 people might think?

Vote for your favorite candidate and don't let these pollsters make the choice for all Americans.

18 posted on 11/18/2007 10:35:20 AM PST by calcowgirl ("Liberalism is just Communism sold by the drink." P. J. O'Rourke)
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To: Brices Crossroads

That’s where mine is. :)


19 posted on 11/18/2007 10:36:15 AM PST by perfect_rovian_storm (John Cox 2008: Because Duncan Hunter just isn't obscure enough for me!)
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To: calcowgirl

No one asked you to care. So why are you here if you don’t care?


20 posted on 11/18/2007 10:37:43 AM PST by Clara Lou (Thompson '08)
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