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ABC News:The Ron Paul Effect - Boomlet or Savvy Supporters ?
ABC News ^ | May 7, 2007 | By RICK KLEIN

Posted on 05/07/2007 7:18:11 PM PDT by 11th_VA

Rep. Ron Paul, R-Texas, who barely registers in public opinion polls of the Republican presidential field, won last Thursday night's debate.

That was the unmistakable conclusion of the online poll posted by debate sponsor MSNBC, which registered Paul with higher positive ratings and lower negative numbers than any of the other nine candidates on the stage.

In ABC's post-debate Internet survey showed an even clearer victory for Paul, with the congressman taking more than 9,400 of 11,000 votes as of 12:30 p.m. Monday. (Rudy Giuliani is the next ranked candidate, with barely 150 votes.)

So are the polls missing a Paul boomlet? Is the famously contrarian ob-gyn -- a libertarian nicknamed "Dr. No" because of his propensity to vote against anything he believes contradicts the Constitution's original intent -- poised to surge into contention in the GOP field?

Not likely. What's more likely, based on Web traffic over the past week, is that Paul supporters have mastered the art of "viral marketing," using Internet savvy and blog postings to create at least the perception of momentum for his long-shot presidential bid.

The Ron Paul Effect

Since online polls aren't scientific -- people choose to take them, and many people vote multiple times -- doing well in them doesn't necessarily mean a campaign is on the move.

But Internet buzz can have a carry-over effect, said Peter Greenberger, an online strategist at New Media Strategies and a former Democratic political operative.

"It's evidence of something -- either passionate supporters, active supporters, or just one very savvy supporter who's able to vote several thousand times," Greenberger said. "If it leads to one or two stories in the mainstream media, that could lead to a bounce online, and could lead to some fundraising successes."

With strong support among libertarians who are unhappy with the top-tier Republican contenders, Paul has a robust online presence.

His MySpace profile boasts nearly 12,000 "friends." Today, his name ranks in the Top 10 among blog search terms at Technorati.com, behind Paris Hilton but ahead of Mario Lopez.

After Thursday night's debate, the comment sections of several major news organizations -- including ABC's -- were inundated with pro-Paul messages.

Viewers raved about Paul's commitment to abolishing the IRS, his steadfast opposition to a national ID card, and a forthright tone that bloggers said set him apart from the other candidates onstage.

In The Paul campaign did not immediately respond to a phone call and e-mail message seeking comment.


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: arealchoice; constitution; dnctalkingpoints; drno; elections; howarddeanssecret; howtostealanelection; onlinepolls; rkba; ronpaul
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1 posted on 05/07/2007 7:18:13 PM PDT by 11th_VA
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To: 11th_VA
"...or just one very savvy supporter who's able to vote several thousand times"

That's nuts. It is two or three savvy supporters voting several thousand times.

2 posted on 05/07/2007 7:21:41 PM PDT by Artemis Webb (New York politicians do not think or believe like Americans. ...Thompson 2008)
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To: 11th_VA

The “Are you kidding me?” look he gave the other candidates when they raised their hands about evolution was priceless.

Sadly, he has a snowball’s chance in hell. But maybe he’ll remind the GOP elite that the Consitution matters.


3 posted on 05/07/2007 7:21:44 PM PDT by BJClinton (WWBJCD?)
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To: 11th_VA

He’s the only one who really understands what the role of Government ought to be.

http://www.ronpaul2008.com/


4 posted on 05/07/2007 7:22:55 PM PDT by LFOD777 (In 2006, Washington spent $2.7 Trillion and ran a $248 billion budget deficit.)
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To: 11th_VA

Four years ago, it was the “Howard Dean Effect”. Same stuff, different election.

No offense to Ron Paul, he is from my state and he at least has the courage of his convictions — so very rare among our politicians.

But Ron Paul is not presidential material. Neither was Howard Dean.


5 posted on 05/07/2007 7:23:20 PM PDT by Nervous Tick
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To: 11th_VA

Ron Paul is an anti war nut.

This is DUmmies, Kos Kidz, and HUFFPOs voting after tuning into Keith Olbermann.


6 posted on 05/07/2007 7:24:27 PM PDT by finnman69 (cum puella incedit minore medio corpore sub quo manifestus globus, inflammare animos)
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To: 11th_VA
It's a broad base of people craving a little liberty and a return to a constitutional federal government.

I don't give it a prayer, but I am a staunch supporter.

7 posted on 05/07/2007 7:25:04 PM PDT by elkfersupper
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To: 11th_VA
I'm sure Paul got the votes of a lot of DEM's for his anti-war and anti-Bush comments. These results were from those who voted on the MSNBC site... which is a totally DEM flavored polling site.

I'd think that a high percentage of the voters on MSNBC were not Republican and will not vote in the Republican primary.

8 posted on 05/07/2007 7:25:57 PM PDT by nctexan
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To: 11th_VA
From the article: Paul supporters have mastered the art of "viral marketing,"

Heck, they don't have anything else to do........besides, it's constitutional......

Heh heh heh.......

9 posted on 05/07/2007 7:27:45 PM PDT by Lakeshark (Thank a member of the US armed forces for their sacrifice)
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To: 11th_VA

His comments about wanting to castrate Libby with his teeth makes him a looney.


10 posted on 05/07/2007 7:28:22 PM PDT by LdSentinal
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To: finnman69

I think it’s interesting that Mr Constitution doesn’t see a problem with locking Lewis Libby up for lying about a crime that was never committed.


11 posted on 05/07/2007 7:29:12 PM PDT by cripplecreek (Greed is NOT a conservative ideal.)
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To: 11th_VA

Sounds like democrats were busy voting on that poll. Drudge’s site showed that people thought Romney won the debate.


12 posted on 05/07/2007 7:29:54 PM PDT by psjones (u)
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To: BJClinton

Oddly, I’m getting conflicting messages on this point. One person on his staff affirmed he did not believe in evolution after the debate, but a more closely placed person on the staff then contradicted that. I suspect this is one of those cases where the definition of “evolution” plays a big role.

That said, the slide in belief in evolution over the last generation among the general public gives the three who expressed disbelief a political advantage. (I’m thinking of the Gallup polls, for example, going from 42% to 52% over the last 25 years in support of the position that humans were created in the recent past.) With a minority of the public now expressing a belief in evolution (whether theistic or atheistic), these three split up the majority, while around 15 other majority candidates can vie for the minority of the public on this subject. Dr. Paul may want to make a correction quickly, if he made a mistake in the debate, to recover on this point.


13 posted on 05/07/2007 7:30:58 PM PDT by Liberty1970
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To: Artemis Webb
That's nuts. It is two or three savvy supporters voting several thousand times.

LOL !!! They're tying up the C-SPAN phones as well !!!

14 posted on 05/07/2007 7:31:04 PM PDT by 11th_VA
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To: Lakeshark
besides, it's constitutional

Like that matters to the Republican Party any more.

15 posted on 05/07/2007 7:32:11 PM PDT by tacticalogic ("Oh bother!" said Pooh, as he chambered his last round.)
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To: finnman69

agreed


16 posted on 05/07/2007 7:33:06 PM PDT by bnelson44 (http://www.appealforcourage.org)
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To: 11th_VA
You can “LOL” now my friend.

But I predict Ron Paul will finish no better than 5th in Iowa or New Hampshire...and I’m being generous.

17 posted on 05/07/2007 7:33:48 PM PDT by Artemis Webb (New York politicians do not think or believe like Americans. ...Thompson 2008)
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To: elkfersupper

I would be glad to be a staunch supporter, but people who want us to lose wars don’t deserve to even visit the Oval Office, much less be President.


18 posted on 05/07/2007 7:34:35 PM PDT by Mr. Silverback (A pacifist sees no distinction between the arsonist and the fireman--Freeper ccmay)
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To: Liberty1970

After seeing the clip after asking “who does not believe in evolution.” I shot off this email to the Ron Paul campaign:

On 5/4/07, Ron Shank wrote:

Dear Ron Paul team:

Does Ron Paul believe in evolution? I didn’t see his hand raised in the debate when asked “who does not believe in evolution.”

Thanks for your quick reply.

Thank you,

Ron Shank

They quickly replied.

——– Original Message ——–
Subject: Re: Didn’t see his hand
Date: Fri, 4 May 2007 16:15:06 -0400
From: Ron Paul 2008 Presidential Campaign Committee
To: Ron Shank

Ron,

Ron Paul did not raise his hand during that question, it was Tancredo, Huckabee & Brownback who raised their hands. Dr. Paul is physician and believes in evolution.

http://www.shanktified.com/archives/ron-paul-campaign-on-evolution/


19 posted on 05/07/2007 7:34:56 PM PDT by bnelson44 (http://www.appealforcourage.org)
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To: 11th_VA
With strong support among libertarians

Losertarians don't care about the GOP.

20 posted on 05/07/2007 7:37:54 PM PDT by Drango (A liberal's compassion is limited only by the size of someone else's wallet.)
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