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Rasmussen Poll: Bush Job Approval - 49% 'Likely Voters', 46% 'National Adults'
Rasmussen Reports ^ | November 13, 2005 | Scott Rasmussen

Posted on 11/13/2005 8:21:07 AM PST by new yorker 77

Sunday November 13, 2005--Forty-six percent (46%) of American adults approve of the way George W. Bush is performing his role as President. Fifty-three percent (53%) of Americans Disapprove of the President's performance.

....

During 2004, reports on the President Job Approval were based upon surveys of Likely Voters. Typically, a survey of Likely Voters would report a Job Approval rating 2-3 points higher than a survey of all adults.

On Election Day, the President's Job Approval was at 52%. During all of 2004, the President's Job Approval ranged from a high of 57% in early January to a low of 40% on October 28.

The President's highest rating of 2005 was 54% on February 4.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: bush; jobapproval; poll; rasmussen; term2
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Lib rage leading to Dem meltdown.
1 posted on 11/13/2005 8:21:07 AM PST by new yorker 77
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To: new yorker 77

What a bunch of horse-hockey. They claimed that Gore had beaten Bush. Then their exit polls showed that Kerry had beaten Bush. Why would we listen to anything the liberal media says?


2 posted on 11/13/2005 8:23:51 AM PST by Brilliant
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To: Brilliant; Blurblogger

Why is there only a 3% difference between likely voters and adults? Something is off here.


3 posted on 11/13/2005 8:26:44 AM PST by Arthur Wildfire! March ("We might have dodged a bomb but we lost a lot of brains." Bill Clinton [Veteran Sink Soldier])
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To: Arthur Wildfire! March

Not really.

Traditionally, the satisfaction of those likely to vote is always slightly better than that of the apathetic non-voter. It does not matter if the President is Democrat or Republican.


4 posted on 11/13/2005 8:34:43 AM PST by new yorker 77 (FAKE POLLS DO NOT TRANSLATE INTO REAL VOTERS!)
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To: new yorker 77

You'll never hear this poll quoted in the MSM.


5 posted on 11/13/2005 8:38:37 AM PST by dc-zoo
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To: new yorker 77

Moving up and out!

Go W!


6 posted on 11/13/2005 8:39:41 AM PST by Salvation (†With God all things are possible.†)
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To: new yorker 77

Bush needs to keep up the heat


7 posted on 11/13/2005 8:40:30 AM PST by wardaddy (Captain Spaulding (the perfect dinner guest))
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To: Salvation

Steadily trending back up... looks like Katrina/Libby are being put into proper context as reality is overtaking the media hype.


8 posted on 11/13/2005 8:43:55 AM PST by operation clinton cleanup
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To: new yorker 77

Fascinating. I assumed that likely voters are much more conservative than non-voters. Then again, conservatives aren't terribly happy right now, either. But that brings up a question: what percentage of 'likely voters' actually do vote?


9 posted on 11/13/2005 8:51:30 AM PST by Arthur Wildfire! March ("We might have dodged a bomb but we lost a lot of brains." Bill Clinton [Veteran Sink Soldier])
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To: Arthur Wildfire! March

Here's a fact you can research on your own.

VAP is Voting Age Population. It represents 'National Adults'.

In 2000 and 2004, 55% of the VAP voted.

In 1998 and 2002, 36% of the VAP voted.


10 posted on 11/13/2005 8:53:33 AM PST by new yorker 77 (FAKE POLLS DO NOT TRANSLATE INTO REAL VOTERS!)
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To: Arthur Wildfire! March
Midterm Election Reality: 64% of 'National Adults' Will Not Vote in 2006
11 posted on 11/13/2005 8:55:30 AM PST by new yorker 77 (FAKE POLLS DO NOT TRANSLATE INTO REAL VOTERS!)
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To: new yorker 77

Thank you for the information.

Sometimes, my hunches are right on target, like the 2004 election. Tending to get better at hunches all the time. But I was baffled by 2005 the same as I was baffled by 1998. Still don't understand polls well enough. Nor do I understand 'likely voter' stats. FRegards....


12 posted on 11/13/2005 9:02:35 AM PST by Arthur Wildfire! March ("We might have dodged a bomb but we lost a lot of brains." Bill Clinton [Veteran Sink Soldier])
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To: new yorker 77

Finally a poll that isn't skewed to make W look bad and that isn't oversampled with liberals and democrats.


13 posted on 11/13/2005 9:02:40 AM PST by rs79bm
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To: wardaddy
Bush needs to keep up the heat

And herein lies the problem...

14 posted on 11/13/2005 9:04:34 AM PST by CommandoFrank (Peer into the depths of hell and there you will find the face of Islam...)
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To: new yorker 77

From what you are showing me, there is a new trend. Low voter turnout, back in the 80s, used to benefit conservatives. But now, it appears that low voter turnout benefits liberals. Is that about the gist of it?


15 posted on 11/13/2005 9:04:42 AM PST by Arthur Wildfire! March ("We might have dodged a bomb but we lost a lot of brains." Bill Clinton [Veteran Sink Soldier])
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To: Arthur Wildfire! March

No.

1998 was a wash.

2002, the GOP picked up seats.


16 posted on 11/13/2005 9:07:36 AM PST by new yorker 77 (FAKE POLLS DO NOT TRANSLATE INTO REAL VOTERS!)
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To: CommandoFrank

Something not emphasized is that a fair percentage of FReepers don't approve of GW. A standard job approval rating rarely distinquishes left-from-right regarding approval.


17 posted on 11/13/2005 9:11:12 AM PST by Arthur Wildfire! March ("We might have dodged a bomb but we lost a lot of brains." Bill Clinton [Veteran Sink Soldier])
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To: new yorker 77

Ah, so low voter turnout is now becoming a volitile loose cannon? And high turnout hurts the left, generally?


18 posted on 11/13/2005 9:12:40 AM PST by Arthur Wildfire! March ("We might have dodged a bomb but we lost a lot of brains." Bill Clinton [Veteran Sink Soldier])
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To: Arthur Wildfire! March
My emphasis to 'voter turnout' is in relation to 'likely voter' versus 'national adult' polling.

If 64% of 'national adults' are not 'likely voters' in midterm elections, then 64% of people polled by the MSM are non-voters.

Therefore, the fact that these MSM polls undersample GOP voters in most cases is only compounded by the fact that most people within the poll have zero value to predicting an election because they are non-voters.

Who cares what the opinion of the feckless non-voter is?

Moreover, this is why turning out your base is so important. Conservatives outnumber liberals. If it becomes a battle of the bases in an election cycle, we win.

51% of the vote was GOP in 2002.

51% of the vote was GOP in 2004.
19 posted on 11/13/2005 9:18:25 AM PST by new yorker 77 (FAKE POLLS DO NOT TRANSLATE INTO REAL VOTERS!)
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To: new yorker 77

I think what shows is that when Bush is out, talking about his agenda, the war, and WHY we are there..his numbers go up. Whenever he is silent or "disengaged" the media fills the void with BS. What it means is that President Bush has to continue educating the people and reminding them what is truly happening..and I DON'T mean, cheerleading. The speech on Veteran's Day was the right mixture...and he must keep it up. Put the DEMS on the defense and ask THEM what their plan is. If their plan is to pull out, ask them what they expect will happen to Iraq. When I ask Bush-haters that question, they are stumped. They just resort to the old argument about WMD...showing that they have NO solutions!
Show the Dems for the backward thinking idiots they are.


20 posted on 11/13/2005 9:48:17 AM PST by t2buckeye
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