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Reporting on the 2,000th American Death in Iraq
Special to FreeFrepublic ^ | 23 October, 2005 | John Armor (Congressman Billybob)

Posted on 10/23/2005 12:22:39 PM PDT by Congressman Billybob

Shortly, the 2,000th death of an American serviceman or woman will occur in Iraq. That will generate an orgy of coverage in the American press on how “deadly” the war is. Sidebars will suggest that citizens are becoming “increasingly doubtful” about the conduct of the war. This Newsbusters article denounces that coverage as dishonest, in advance.

I wrote on 24 April, 2004, that the War on Terror is the LEAST bloody war in the history of the United States, measured by deaths per month. This is true going back to the Revolutionary War, even though the nation’s population then was only 1 percent of what it is today. (In impact on the population, every death in the Revolution was equivalent to about 100 deaths today.)

Source: http://www.chronwatch.com/content/contentDisplay.asp?aid=7041

Now, Dan Hallagan has done the detailed research to put all of America’s wars in context and compared them, by their cost in blood and money, to the nation’s populations and economies when those wars occurred. I had used “deaths.” Hallagan uses the correct military meaning of “casualties” including all those killed and wounded.

His conclusions are that Gulf War I was the least bloody war in our history with a casualty rate of 0.00029 percent of the population at the time. The second least is the War on Terror, with a rate of 0.00529 percent. Third, the Spanish American War, at 0.00551. By contrast, the three bloodiest wars were the Revolutionary War at 0.30351 percent, then World War II at 0.80761 percent, and by far the highest, the Civil War at 2.82865 percent.

Note that Mr. Hallagan uses a total of 2,184 for American troops killed in the War on Terror. This is because he includes all deaths in this war, those in Afghanistan plus a few in other places such as the Philippines, whereas the American press today ignores those other deaths. The not-so-subtle bias is that deaths other than in Iraq are in a good cause, and should be ignored. The effort to delegitimize this war applies only to Iraq.

On the cost of the wars, Mr. Hallagan presents his “War Cost Index” which divides “the average annual cost of a war ... by its ending Gross Domestic Product GDP.” In short, this measures how much of the nation’s total economy is devoted to each war.

The three least expensive wars, by that measurement, are Spanish-American War, War Against Terror, and the Vietnam War, with respective indices of 0.00271, 0.00746, and 0.01132. The three most expensive were WW II, the War of 1812, and the Revolutionary War, with respective indices of 0.33676, 0.49069, and 0.59524. Gulf War I and the War of 1812 both move far up the scale compared to their cost in casualties, because these two were fought mostly with more expensive assets, air and sea power.

Source: http://www.logictimes.com/dissent.htm

Mr. Hallagan presents his information both in text and numbers, and in simple, clear graphs. So even the editors and readers of USA Today can read and understand them.

In short, I condemn every reporter and every editor in every media source of all types who reports on the 2,000th American military death in Iraq as professionally incompetent, if they do not put those deaths in context with other American wars. Any competent reporter can click the link above, read Mr. Hallagan’s statistics (and their sources), check his math, and then write an honest and competent story when that “milestone death” in Iraq occurs, which will be soon.

I’m not holding my breath for the American press to become competent overnight on this subject, however.

John_Armor@aya.yale.edu


TOPICS: Editorial
KEYWORDS: civilwar; danhallagan; fallen; gulfwari; militarydeaths; revolutionarywar; spanishamericanwar; usatoday; vietnamwar; warcostindex; warof1812; waronterror; wwi; wwii
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To: Congressman Billybob
They are not in uniform. They are hiding among civilians. They do not represent any nation that is a signatory to the Conventions.

These and other facts disqualify them from protection under the Conventions. Instead, they are subject to the Law of War, as explained clearly by the US Supreme Court in the Quirin case in 1942. They are subject to "drum head trials" and execution if found guilty.

Thank you.

41 posted on 10/23/2005 7:03:04 PM PDT by conservatism_IS_compassion (The idea around which liberalism coheres is that NOTHING actually matters but PR.)
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To: conservatism_IS_compassion
WWII is called "the good war" by Democrats. But of course, FDR was in power over almost exactly the same span of time as was Hitler; to the extent that Churchill was right that WWII was "the unnecessary war," FDR was as responsible as anyone for failing to preempt it.

I've never heard such an odd view.

It was primarily the fault of Chamberlain and the French prime minister. The French president, Daladier, was a tragic figure who was unable to do anything to avert the doom he saw coming. He was also just a businessman who didn't belong in the presidency.

Hitler's government would likely have fallen if France and Britain had responded when he reclaimed the Rhineland. It is widely believed that his hold on government was so shaky that even a small show of force at that juncture would have caused a crisis of confidence in the German elite.

In a broader sense, it was the fault of all those who believed in the League of Nations, who issued security treaties willy-nilly that they couldn't possibly fulfill (Poland, Czechoslovakia, Austria, etc.), of refusing to recognize the necessity to re-arm and re-train their armies to counter the Hitler threat. And it was the fault of those other parties to the Treaty of Versailles who enacted such punitive measures against Germany, so severe that they could never hope to overcome them, especially after the Depression started.

I don't like FDR. But I don't see how you blame him for WW II.
42 posted on 10/24/2005 3:38:48 PM PDT by George W. Bush
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To: George W. Bush
I don't like FDR. But I don't see how you blame him for WW II.
There was tremendous resistance in Britain and in America to resisting Hitler before it was too late. But FDR proved he could play hardball in 1941; if he had done that earlier he might have been a real hero. I make no doubt that if he had done so he would have become unpopular, though.

43 posted on 10/24/2005 7:43:57 PM PDT by conservatism_IS_compassion (The idea around which liberalism coheres is that NOTHING actually matters but PR.)
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To: Non-Sequitur
No, this is a Halliburton War..the only reason, according to the idiots I've had to endure, that we invaded Iraq was to enrich the coffers of President Bush's cronies and Halliburton.

It was in all the papers../sarcasm

44 posted on 10/26/2005 1:41:10 PM PDT by concretebob (We should give anarchists what they want. Then we can kill them and not worry about jailtime.)
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To: Retain Mike
Somewhere in this statistical maze you also have to tally in the 3,000 Americans who died on a single day in September 2001,

It was less than a day.
3,000 people died in less than 3 hours, with a kill ratio of 600 to 1.
You couldn't do that with a mini-gun mounted on HUMVEE, if your life depended on it.

45 posted on 10/26/2005 1:50:36 PM PDT by concretebob (We should give anarchists what they want. Then we can kill them and not worry about jailtime.)
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To: Congressman Billybob

I am flattered you found my essay informative; the link to your analysis was excellent as well and I have referenced it on my site. Both of us make the same point; that the modern American culture appears to lack the perspective or the fortitude to defend liberty. It is almost as if war - as a principled matter of defense - is being removed from our arsenal. The credo of pacifists is becoming the military policy of this country: war is bad, nothing is worth fighting for or dying for.


46 posted on 10/26/2005 5:11:20 PM PDT by Logic Times
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To: Logic Times
Glad to hear from you. Your essay is more than merely informative. I've read enough statistical work to know the huge amount of hard work that went into the text and tables that you produced.

Newsbusters is a worthy site. I hope the links to your article got some serious use as a result of the link to your article that I included. Also, you should know that the BBC World News quoted at length from my article, yesterday our time, today their time.

The more reporters read your work or my work, the better and more honest the 0press coverage will be. But we can only do what we can and hope for the best.

Cordially,

John / Billybob

47 posted on 10/26/2005 7:47:45 PM PDT by Congressman Billybob (Quoted by the BBC this time, on Wednesday.)
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To: Congressman Billybob

Congrats on the BBC reference...you must feel special to be the conservative counterbalance in the socialist news.

Nice work on Newsbusters to. We think alike...you may like my latest post: www.logictimes.com/MUP.htm


48 posted on 10/27/2005 6:35:22 PM PDT by Logic Times
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