Feel free to "comment" about the poll when asked.
Posted on 09/09/2005 4:37:18 PM PDT by new yorker 77
AP Question: Do you consider a Democrat, Republican, Independent, or None of These?
Result:
*Half the respondents were polled at the end of the survey (NOTE: ANY POLLSTER WILL TELL YOU THIS IS WHEN THEY ARE MOST HONEST)
51% Democrat 42% Republican
OVERSAMPLING DEMS BY 9 POINTS
Are you a registered voter?
Yes 76% No 23%
60% of registered voters voted in 2004.
60% of 76 is 45.6%
54.4% of the people in this poll will never vote
REMEMBER: FAKE POLLS DO NOT TRANSLATE INTO REAL VOTERS
No need to check CBS/NY Slimes or Pew.
RASMUSSEN: Bush job Approval: 46% 'national adults', 49% 'likely voters'
Of course you realize that Zogby is of Middle East extraction, and adamantly against the deployment of our troops into Iraq.
Zogby is a palestinian schill.
These polls set the samples by the self-identification of dems. There may be more people identifying themselves as dems these days.
I just got a hold of CBS poll sample. This is hysterical.
I have to post it seperately.
Please ping me when you do.....
Feel free to "comment" about the poll when asked.
That's why I call such manufactured news Zogbyism and Bull Zogby.
The skewed election day results were an attempt to swap the 2004 election.
All polls do not use the same methods to arrive at weighting BUT, I can dispute your claim.
Carville's own group has conducted studies recently. They have stated while Republicans popularity has fallen, Democrats have fallen more. They haven't been able to pick up dissatisfied voters. So it just isn't believeable 9% more identify with Democrats now based on even James Carville's own studies.
Fake polls? We'd better get some overweight "documentary" film maker to do a huge expose on this national scandal! LOL.
According to Scott Rasmussen, who got the 2004 and 2002 election right, Bush has polled from 43% to 50% among national adults all year.
An average of 46.5%, which is similar to today's result.
He also states that 'likely voter models have Bush 3 points higher.
This means Bush's Job Approval is about 49.5% among likely voters. This is down 2.5 points from Election Day 2004.
Not bad considering the media onslaught.
Also, keep this in mind.
Bill Clinton averaged 65% approval in 1996 in all lib polls.
He got 49.2% on election day 1996.
It is media bias inflation.
"These polls set the samples by the self-identification of dems. There may be more people identifying themselves as dems these days."
Like they did for the Exit Pollsters in 2004?! Give me a break!
An astute observation. I see Klink trying to run Hillary's campaign using Snakehead as his Svengali, and I see Hillary resisting almost all of their advice.
(Gotta make some lemonaid, ay!)
Just to add to the media polling bias, here is the recent history of the "ever-reliable" AP/Ipsos polls (January - September 2005) and their political Party ID sample composition for each poll. The AP/Ipsos polls push Independents to identify with either Republicans or Democrats, only the 'hard-core' remain as self-identified 'Independents'...
This is an mixed ADULTS and Registered Voters poll, not just registered voters. Note the consistant gap in the party ID between Democrats and Republicans, strange given the the 2004 Presidential Election exit polls identified 37% Republicans, 37% Democrats and 26% Independents among the voting American public. The Republicans have achieved voter self-indentification parity with the Democrats for the first time since the late 1920s.
This series of AP/Ipsos poll result on Presidential job approval and the American public views on the 'direction of the country' was as always based on a skewed demographic sample that averages 41% Republican, 49% Democrat and 10% Independent composition. I think that when the AP poll fails to get the results they desire, they 'play' with both the registered voters composition and vary the un-registered voter portion of the poll sample. Since the Registered voter portion of the poll averages around 79% and the 'breathing' voter averages around 21% you can see they have quite a bit of "statistical slack" to play with to get the results they require...
Note: The AP/Ipsos polls are published in PDF format and become unavailable after one month. You must be a 'premium' member to access those PDF files on their web site. No consistant links are provided for that reason. The September AP/Ipsos poll is listed below.
Source: AP-Ipsos Poll, September 6-8, 2005 Project #81-5139-54
Hope this helps,
dvwjr
Case closed.
Thanks for always being on top of this dvwjr.
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