New Polls from Mason-Dixon; Bush leads in Iowa, Oregon, New Mexico and Wisconsin

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ ^

[Nascardude]

Iowa

Bush 48 Kerry 42

New Mexico

Bush 47 Kerry 43

Oregon

Bush 47 Kerry 43

Wisconsin

Bush 46 Kerry 44

Pennsylvania

Kerry 45 Bush 44

Michigan

Kerry 47 Bush 41

[Nascardude]

The internals of the Pennsylvania poll show that it's a tad bit Dem heavy. So Bush is most likely up in this state as well. Everything looks good for Bush except Michigan. Don't know why he can't make any headway there. The battle is now definenlty in the blue states.

[Bonaventure]

In reporting these polls, MSNBC noted that Michigan's unemployment rate today is more than twice as high as it was in 2000, and is well above the national average. Also, Michiganders are very eager to import pharmaceuticals from Canada -- something the Bush administration opposes but that Kerry has indicated he would support.

[My2Cents]

This is great news. Clearly, Kerry is on the defensive in the Gore states.

[Lurking2Long]

Oregon!

Isn't that a bit shocking?

How did they end up in 2000?

[goldstategop]

Bush can win MI. Kerry should be up there by double digits. My guess is it'll come to down to turnout in Detroit. If he keeps imploding, that may not be enough to save him.

[demlosers]

Can Kerry stop the hemorrhaging in 42 days? *snicker*

[Fledermaus]

Two words to explain Michigan...Ann Arbor.

One of the most liberal, socialist style town in America.

[hawaiian]

Holy Sweet Crap! Bush up convincingly in Iowa AND Oregon???!!!?

[bray]

Gore won by 6000 after they left the two highest Rat princints open til midnight??? W will Win Oregon!

Pray for W and Our Troops

[airborne]

"Everything looks good for Bush except Michigan. Don't know why he can't make any headway there."

Large muslim population, maybe?

[zbigreddogz]

Gore won Oregon by fewer then 10,000 votes.

[Fledermaus]

Oregon 2000:

Gore - 720,342... 46.96%

Bush - 713,577... 46.52%

Nader - 77,357... 5.04%

[sarasotarepublican]

Can anyone confirm this? I must say, if true, I am very upset with Bush. This is a stupid move.

Three debates,
Sep 30 Florida....Subject: Iraq and homeland security
Oct 8 Missouri... Town hall style (Can't believe he agreed to this)
Oct 13 Arizona Subject: Domestic issues

VP debate: Oct 5 Ohio

[Don'tMessWithTexas]

Iowa, NM, Oregon and Wisconsin. Those Iowa numbers are looking especially good. PA hanging in there. NY in play along with NJ.

Looks like our states from 2000 are solidifying and we are taking this fight to their turf.

[Irish Eyes]

I have heard that the Mason-Dixon Poll is a very reliable one, anyone know if this is true?

[teletech]

"Everything looks good for Bush except Michigan. Don't know why he can't make any headway there."

Large muslim population, maybe?

Sure wish Illinois would move toward Bush again.

[TitansAFC]

Michigan has a disproportionately high Muslim population. I think I remember reading that it's highest or second highest in the country.

Detroit, the high college population, the Muslim explosion, the peace-nicks, and the unemployment rate are making this state almost unwinnable for Bush right now.

On a brighter note, it looks like Wisconsin and its 10 EVs have moved from blue to red. It seems to be a finished conversion, at least for this year. Good news!!!

[suzyq5558]

Bush only lost Oregon to Gore by 5,000 votes and thats not much for this liberal state. Oregonians have been trending conservative for some time now.

[LS]

Ras, I think, has Bush up by 1-2 in PA, so it's pretty close there with Bush probably ahead by 1 or 2. But it's not a growing lead, so far, like Wisconsin or Ohio.

I WANT Michigan, just for the heck of it. I want a total Bush sweep of the midwest. Nothing but coasts for the ultra-lefties.

[engrpat]

I don't care what the polls say, on the morning of 11-3 I want French Toast..with a little disappointed dashole on the side.