SUSA: Missouri: Bush 48%, Kerry 47%, Washington: Kerry 51%, Bush 43% (also Mo Gov, WA, MO Senate)

Survey USA ^ | 08/18/2004 | Survey USA

[GAGOPSWEEPTOVICTORY]

President Missouri
8/18/2004
Bush (R) 48%
Kerry (D) 47%
Other/Undecided 5%
Data Collected 8/15/04 - 8/17/04
Geography State of Missouri
Sample Population 643 Likely Voters
Margin of Error 4.0%
Client KSDK-TV St. Louis
KOMU-TV Columbia

President -- Washington
8/18/2004
Kerry (D) 51%
Bush (R) 43%
Nader (I) 2%
Other/Undecided 3%
Data Collected 8/15/04 - 8/17/04
Geography State of Washington
Sample Population 602 Likely Voters
Margin of Error 4.1%
Client KING-TV Seattle
KHQ-TV Spokane

Senate - Missouri

U.S. Senate, MO 8/18/2004
Bond (R) 55%
Farmer (D) 38%
Other/Undecided 8%
Data Collected 8/15/04 - 8/17/04
Geography State of Missouri
Sample Population 639 Likely Voters
Margin of Error 4.0%
Client KSDK-TV St. Louis
KOMU-TV Columbia

Senate - Washington

U.S. Senate, WA 8/18/2004
Murray (D) 53%
Nethercutt (R) 39%
Other/Undecided 7%
Data Collected 8/15/04 - 8/17/04
Geography State of Washington
Sample Population 597 Likely Voters
Margin of Error 4.1%
Client KING-TV Seattle
KHQ-TV Spokane

Governor - Missouri

Governor, MO 8/18/2004
Blunt (R) 49%
McCaskill (D) 44%
Other/Undecided 8%
Data Collected 8/15/04 - 8/17/04
Geography State of Missouri
Sample Population 639 Likely Voters
Margin of Error 4.0%
Client KSDK-TV St. Louis
KOMU-TV Columbia

[GAGOPSWEEPTOVICTORY]

Not much of a difference from the last polls. Washington is unchanged. Kerry gained a point in MO.

[cmsgop]

Dude ,Kerry is spending a good amount of $$$ here in a Dem Lock State, I ask why?

[AC1]

Good to see Blunt and Bond ahead.

[skaterboy]

I just wish Gay Marriage was still on the ballot instead of getting decided a few weeks ago.

[mdittmar]

Washington is kerrys'. To many libs on the west side of the mountains,maybe we'll win the governership.

[TheBigB]

Would like to see W. ahead by more, but with the strength of Blunt and Bond, I see a GOP sweep in Missouruh this year.

[zencat]

I'm working the Republican campaign through my local headquarters.

My take, I think Bond is a given. Blunt will probably win as well since Missourians are still pissed about Holden.

As far as Bush, he took Missouri by 4 points in 2000. Not sure by how much, but we'll definitely be putting the Show-Me-State's electoral votes in the Bush column on November 2nd. Bank it.

[GAGOPSWEEPTOVICTORY]

He doesn't have Washington locked up yet. If you look at the poll's internals, he does not have enough "certain" voters locked up to get a majority.

I would guess that he would stop the ad buys if the campaign was status quo after the Republican convention in Washington.

FYI Metro Seattle comprised of 53% of all adults polled and 52% of all likely voters polled. Kerry is up a whopping 25 points in the Seattle area. Also of interest is that there is no real gender gap in WA. Kerry leads both groups by 8 points.

[johniegrad]

Do you have some data to suggest he is spending out of proportion to the electoral votes? If so, he may not be so sure of the outcome. Imagine what it would be like if he couldn't rely on Washington......what about really close states like Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Iowa? They could be enough to put it out of reach for the Swiftie Poseur.

[GulliverSwift]

Subtract about 2 points from Kerry and add them to Bush and you have an accurate result.

Survey USA is a Democrap polling firm and always skews its polls to favor them.

[Paul8148]

Is it true that a lot of Christin Consetive voters did not vote from Southwest Missiour because Ashcroft had to turn off his GOTV in 2000. I hear 50,00-75,000 voters did not turn out.

[okstate]

This is pretty good news. Kerry gets no bounce in Missouri, the MO Senate seat is safe, we'll probably get the Governor, too.

As for Washington, we didn't need it anyway.

[cmsgop]

No Data, Just a good TV Viewer. If it were me,and I was a Demo, I would spend as little as possible.

[NorCal Patriot]

Bush could wrap up Washington in a heartbeat if he could just get the IMF to schedule a meeting in New York on Nov 3rd. They'd be too busy protesting something they have no grasp of.

[COEXERJ145]

IIRC, Survey USA blew the recent vote on queer marriage by a wide margin.

[el_texicano]

Could be that Kerry don't have any states "locked" up...

I smell a landslide in Nov.

[WideGlide]

I'm about to blow chunks with all these damn polls. All the respondents lie and the pollsters get paid to prodeuce results confirming their preconceived notions. I've stopped looking at them. Well I won't look at anymore after this one. Really. I swear.

[POA2]

SUSA has a very solid record in terms of State polls - One of the best if not the best! - (they are no rag for the Dem's at all) -

MO should be in the GWB lean column by now - Not a good sign no matter how we try and spin it -

Losing the premise on the economy is killing GWB big time - That and 527's and still Rove has no answer to the 527 issue -

[Castlebar]

Also of interest is that there is no real gender gap in WA.

Is there any real difference between the sexes in the Seattle area?

[DaughterOfAnIwoJimaVet]

Well, in the Seattle area, there is. Inside the city limits, I'm not so sure.