Posted on 08/02/2004 1:44:00 PM PDT by shoedog
First and foremost, all these polls are driving me nuts. It is early and overdone, I do think watching the trends is interesting.
The biggest concern I have is watching people get caught up in the likely vs Registered issue. While normally Likely is a better guage, I believe that the Dems will do anything to get first time voters to the polls, so the Registered and to a lesser degree Adult polls may not be as innacurate as we tend to think.
This race I believe will be all turnout based, there is 8-15% of people who may be moved but the rest is pretty well decided. It will be crucial that Repbulicans get out and vote. As usual don't let polls get you confident or depressed, just get yourself and 3-5 other out to vote!
Shoe
Don't worry about ranting!
I've said all along...........POLLS LIE !!!
The only poll that counts are the votes on Nov. 2nd!
Polls lie because your sample may or may not be accurate, even if it is registered or non-registered voters. One problem with polls is getting someone to participate. Plus, are those that participate representative pubs or dems. Add that to the bias of the poll taker and what they may or may not include, and you have a flawed system.
I agree with your title, especially with democrats, that they are "Likely Adults"
Polls don't lie. While they may be inaccurate, they don't lie. Pollsters and media bigwigs on the other hand . . . .
Absolutely or turn the Supreme Court over to the Dems.
I would expect that 5% of the responders lie to the pollsters.
Don't forget the Florida panhandle. Don't forget the votes of the military whose votes, when discarded by Gore operatives, the Gore attorneys HIGH-FIVED each other.
Read "At Any Cost" just before the election. Again.
Get out there and vote!
I give you my Five Star Freeper guarantee that turno out this election is the lowest ever. The candidates are raising money like crazy so by the time November comes around people will just want them both to go away.
The same about statistics.
Stats can be interpreted to prove any point you might wish.
This year, for perhaps the first time, Republicans are taking registration and GOTV as seriously as Democrats. If you live in a battleground state, get in touch with your local Bush campaign now--NOW!--and volunteer to help register Republican voters and get them to the polls.
If you're not in a battleground state, volunteer for your GOP Senatorial or Congressional or state legislative candidate, or just volunteer for the Republican Party in general.
If we lose this year, it will be no one's fault but our own.
My rule after many years on this earth.
IGNORE ALL POLLS,IGNORE ALL STUDIES!!!!
Works for me!
I agree, low turnout.
I've seen some of Registered's work but who is this Likely? ;^)
Like I said...........................polls lie!
And Steve, you're funny!
And KeyWest you're smart!
But it makes no difference who, what, where, when or why.
We know that the results are not correct!
(Except for the little, itsy, bitsy, teeny weeny, SPOT that took it, or it was taken for.)
In other words they are wishful thinking.
On whoever's part.
On such a LARGE country!
So, that's the reason I say...........polls lie.
Polls lie!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I would expect that at least 50% lie to pollsters.
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