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Poll: Trump Inching Up With Battleground-State Latinos
The Weekly Standard ^ | July 27, 2016 | Ethan Epstein

Posted on 07/27/2016 2:29:08 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

Donald Trump has said, with characteristic braggadocio, that he will "win the Latino vote." Probably not. But if a new poll from Latino Decisions is to be trusted, the real estate magnate is doing better among Latinos than conventional wisdom would ever have thought possible.

The poll of 800 registered Latino voters in 12 battleground states, which was released during a press conference a couple of miles from the site of the Democratic National Convention on Wednesday afternoon, found that Hillary Clinton takes 71 percent of Latino support, versus 24 percent who back Trump, and five percent who are undecided. That's nearly identical to the exit polls from the 2012 presidential race, which found that Barack Obama took 71 percent of the Latino vote, against 27 percent who pulled the lever for Mitt Romney. (Though because that national exit poll included states like Texas, where Latinos tend to vote more heavily Republican, the Latino Decisions poll, which covered only battleground states, may actually understate Trump's Latino support.)

Polls of Latino voters has varied slightly recently, though they've tended to peg Trump's support at somewhere between a fifth and a quarter of that community. A Pew Research survey from early this month, for example, was somewhat more favorable to Trump than Latino Decisions: It found Trump winning 24 percent of Latino voters. But a Univision poll in mid-July was less rosy for the tycoon. That network—which Trump sued last year for $500 million—pegged Trump's Latino support at only 19 percent.

Still, the less-than-overwhelming numbers can only come as a disappointment to the Clinton campaign, which has courted the Latino vote heavily, ghost-writing Spanish-language tweets for monolingual Hillary, trumpeting its Spanish-speaking vice presidential nominee Tim Kaine, and embracing a nearly anarchistic immigration stance, which essentially says that anybody who enters the United States can stay here indefinitely. Yet for all that, Clinton is merely replicating Obama's performance among Latinos. She may not be able to afford that and still win the presidency, given Clinton's historic hemorrhaging among white voters. Stay tuned for more Spanish language tweets.

(VIDEO-AT-LINK)


TOPICS: Campaign News; Parties; Polls; State and Local
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; 2016swingstates; hillary; hispanics; latinovote; polls; trump

1 posted on 07/27/2016 2:29:09 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

If I were a Latino that came here legally and earned my stay, Trump is the logical choice.

This is America, not shanty town.


2 posted on 07/27/2016 2:34:18 PM PDT by soycd
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

When Obama unleashed a flood of unvetted immigrants into the country, they dis-proportionally moved into Latino neighborhoods. Their kids had had to live with more gangbangers in their schools, and they had more competition for jobs.


3 posted on 07/27/2016 2:37:53 PM PDT by BeauBo
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Overt pandering isn’t the only way to attract Latino voters?

Who would have guessed?


4 posted on 07/27/2016 2:38:25 PM PDT by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I know a LOT of Latinos who are going to vote for Trump


5 posted on 07/27/2016 2:38:58 PM PDT by rovenstinez (Har)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Legal Latinos are workers just like anyone else. They see that its an Obama Administration policy to actively recruit people to migrate to the US to take jobs. They see that Hillary will continue that policy. So they are asking themselves, do I want a good paying job, or am I going to adhere to some false loyalty to my Central American “brothers” and vote to keep letting them in to take my job or drive my wages down?


6 posted on 07/27/2016 2:40:08 PM PDT by Opinionated Blowhard ("When the people find they can vote themselves money, that will herald the end of the republic.")
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To: soycd
If I were a Latino that came here legally and earned my stay, Trump is the logical choice.

You would think that, but Latino voting patterns in general would seem to indicate otherwise.

7 posted on 07/27/2016 2:42:59 PM PDT by CatOwner
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To: CatOwner

Kane speaks Spanish but will that help Hillary?. Hillary just doesn’t look or sound well. Does she have the energy to compete with Trump? Hillary cannot even hold a news conference to answer questions. She may not be up to even a fair and balanced debate. Spanish speaking people may just say Trump can help the entire country better than Hillary and her scandal prone group.


8 posted on 07/27/2016 3:24:45 PM PDT by FreedBird
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To: soycd

“If I were a Latino that came here legally and earned my stay, Trump is the logical choice.”

In my personal encounters with Latinos in the construction area, I found their work to be EXCELLENT, reasonably priced, and well-supported (i.e., if something breaks, they fixed it, regardless of whether they were technically on the hook to do so - and even if it’s 9 PM). Of course these were LEGAL PEOPLE, at least the ones that I dealt with (who spoke decent English). Therefore I’m not surprised that they see a bright future with decent Republicans, like Trump.

Also, the ones that I work with (in Texas) have more guns that most gun shops...it’s no secret that why they also support Republicans.


9 posted on 07/27/2016 3:38:31 PM PDT by BobL (A vote for anyone but Trump is a vote that HELPS HILLARY. Think about it.)
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