Posted on 02/15/2016 9:58:53 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
Donald Trump has led every reliable public poll of voters in the South Carolina Republican Primary for the past 200 days. To say that he is the frontrunner in the Palmetto State is an understatement.
Like New Hampshire, where Trump scored a resounding victory last week, the many Trump supporters who are not Republicans are welcomed into the GOP primary. Trump has held many events in South Carolina and even recruited one of the leaders of the state's political establishment, Lt. Gov. Henry McMaster, to the Trump train.
While South Carolina is slightly more challenging for Trump given its higher concentration of Christians and very conservative voters than New Hampshire, he should be set for a big win on Saturday. Trump out performed his pre-election polling average in the Granite State so no one should take Trump's 20-point lead in the Real Clear Politics average lightly.
But the South Carolina frontrunner did not shine in Saturday's debate. His lines about blaming then-President George W. Bush for 9/11, praise for Planned Parenthood and continued support for eminent domain are losers in the ultra-conservative "first-in-the-South" primary. With the 43rd president on the campaign trail in South Carolina this week, Trump's claims will fall under even heavier scrutiny.
Let us assume, however, that Trump's support has a fairly hard floor under it, likely above 25 percent of the vote.
Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, is harder to box in in South Carolina. He has invested prodigious sums and time in the state, and has a message tailor made for evangelical Christians and staunch conservatives who populate the Upstate region.
Could Cruz do better than expected? You bet. But Trump is so far ahead that it's hard to imagine Cruz could close the gap completely....
(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...
You guys LOVE polls except the ones that show Trump losing in head to heads versus Clinton and Cruz winning.
Congratulations on supporting a loser for the general!
Rather than looking off into the distance ahead of him, perhaps Cruz should be looking over his shoulder at Rubio.
Actually, the polls show Hillary beating Don Trump but losing to Ted Cruz. But you believe whatever makes you happy.
Why? Rubio is going down like the Andrea Doria.
Show me a poll from 9 months ago (last May) that gets the results in SC correct and I will take your polls for hypothetical match ups 9 months in the future seriously.
Uh... how come you don’t make any sense? You are repeating exactly what I said...
I think that Donald Trump knew what was in Roger Stone’s new book about JEB! and the Bush Crime Family which includes stuff such as this:
With Americans still feeling the pain and fear of 9/ 11, in 2002 the Bush administration began to build a case for invading Iraq and toppling Saddam Hussein. George W. Bush created a special office in the Pentagon— called the Office of Special Plans— specifically for the purpose of supplying him with intelligence regarding Iraq, a task previously performed by the CIA. He put his friends Secretary of Defense Don Rumsfeld and Paul Wolfowitz in charge of that intelligence reporting, creating a political “interpreting” operation that supplanted expert analysis by the CIA.
Suddenly the reports coming to the president, and leaked to the public, were full of contentions that Saddam possessed an arsenal of chemical and biological weapons, and suggested the possibility of nuclear weapons as well. Those accusations provided the ingredients for a well-orchestrated public relations campaign to lay the groundwork for an invasion with the express purpose of deposing Saddam Hussein. The justification: With WMDs at the ready, Saddam posed a threat to the United States.
After months of preparation and a demand that Saddam leave the country “or else,” on March 20, 2003, George W. Bush ordered the invasion of Iraq to begin. U.S. forces rapidly dispatched the Iraqi military and toppled Saddam’s government. In December of 2003, Saddam was captured, and three years later, executed.
Mission accomplished, at least for George W. Bush. The man who plotted to kill his father, and committed untold other crimes, is dead. But 12 years later, more than 4,000 American troops have died in Iraq— and $ 1.7 trillion have already been spent, a number that increases every day. The weapons of mass destruction George W. claimed were there, and used to justify that human and financial cost, were never found.
The people of Iraq? The horror of Saddam has been replaced by the horror of civil war, ISIS, and an entirely uncertain future.
Stone, Roger; Hunt, Saint John (2016-02-16). Jeb! and the Bush Crime Family: The Inside Story of an American Dynasty (Kindle Locations 4272-4286). Skyhorse Publishing, Inc.. Kindle Edition.
Because Canadians are winners?
Wow. Dumbest comment of the day given hardly any candidates had announced then.
They’re both tied in the latest SC poll. If Theodore is not careful Don and Marcoroboto will leave him in the dust. Or do you have another Jeb PAC push poll that shows something different?
1 state at a time, FRiend.
We both know the general match ups change drastically this fall, and mean nothing now.
Stone worked for Trump until about 6 months ago. Please tell me you knew that already.
I saw polls that gave Trump huge leads in Iowa. Remind me what happened there.
The point is that polls for hypothetical stuff in 9 months time are worthless in every way. We do not know what the situation will be 9 months from now any more than we knew what would happen now 9 months ago. Trump, Cruz and Clinton may not even be running in November, it could be some other rat against Carson, Rubio or Jeb!
Of course! But facts are facts and facts are stubborn things. Wait until we start on the Bush — Clinton connection. “Jeb Bush and Hillary Clinton share many of the same Wall Street donors.” Or maybe this Bush stuff will all be moot after Saturday.
And any poll that is based on a plurality of cult-like followers when the field is still packed is equally worthless. So many people will NEVER vote for Trump that he can’t possibly win a general. Trumpettes are leading conservatives down a path of destruction with their ignorance.
So you think Cruz will win too? Welcome aboard!
Nice try at ignoring the facts. Typical Trumpette willful ignorance.
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