Posted on 04/02/2015 12:33:44 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Less than a week after Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid announced his retirement, the March 27 Townhall/Gravis poll of 850 registered Nevada voters found that Republican Gov. Brian E. Sandoval has strong leads over possible Democratic opponents.
Sandoval is a very strong candidate and being of Mexican descent gives him inroads to the minority voters, said Doug Kaplan, the managing partner of Gravis Insights, the Florida-based firm that conducted the poll.
The poll surveyed 433 registered Republicans, 319 registered Democrats and 98 Independents on their preferences for the Senate race to succeed Reid and their presidential preferences, said Kaplan. The poll carries a 3 percent margin of error, 5 percent for Republican-only questions and 6 percent for Democratic-only questions.
The Nevada governor leads Democratic Rep. Dina Titus, 55 percent to 37 percent and leads former state attorney general Catherine Cortez Masto, 53 percent to 37 percent, he said. Reid endorsed Cortez Masto as his chosen successor. Her father was for many years the leader of the Las Vegas Convention and Visitors Authority.
Mastos successor Attorney General Adam P. Laxalt, the grandson of one of President Ronald W. Reagans First Friend, long-serving Nevada senator Paul D. Laxalt, trails Masto 44 percent to 39 percent, Kaplan said. Laxalt trails Titus 46 percent to 44 percent.
Laxalt is close against Titus and Masto, but in the first look at this Senate race, Sandoval is the one with real separation, he said.
Kaplan said in the presidential preferences, former secretary of state Hillary R. Clinton continues to dominate her potential rivals for the 2016 Democratic nomination.
Clinton leads the Democratic field with 61 percent, compared to 15 percent for Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, 7 percent for Independent Vermont Sen. Bernard Sanders, 3 percent for Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr., 3 percent for Albert A. Gore Jr., and 1 percent for former Maryland governor Martin J. OMalley, he said.
The former first lady is in uncharted waters in terms of her support, he said. Across the country, Clinton is polling at extremely high levels, in some places double her support in the same state in 2008.
In the crowded Republican field, Texas Sen. R. Edward Cruz with 18 percent surged out of the crowd to join the twin leaders, Wisconsin Gov. Scott K. Walker, 18 percent and former Florida governor John E. Jeb Bush, 16 percent, Kaplan said. Twenty percent of Nevadas GOP voters are undecided.
We were expecting to see a pop for Cruz, he said. The Texas senator announced his official candidacy March 23.
Walker should be concerned about hitting a ceiling right now, while Bush is in good shape. Bushs voters are not going anywhere and he has the money and organization to stick out a long campaign, he said.
Walker is fighting for the non-Bush vote and besides Cruz, he has to worry about Rubio, who is the next candidate we expect to pop. Florida Sen. Marco A. Rubio garnered the support of 7 percent of Nevada Republicans.
Notes: Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 850 registered voters in Nevada regarding potential matchups. The voter list sample includes 443 Republican Primary participants, 319 Democratic Primary participants, and the remainder are Independents/Other. The poll has a margin of error of ± 3% [5% for Republican Primary/6% for Democratic Primary]. The total may not round to 100% because of rounding. The polls are weighted separately for each population in the question presented.
(POLL DETAILS AT LINK)
Go Ted Go!!! Ted Cruz is a threat to the rhinos establishment and the liberals. May God protect Senator Cruz and his family. Well folks, off to bed, I hope I can sleep lol. Just 24 minutes ago, we had a strong jolt here in the EastBay and I”m getting sleepy.
With Reid retiring....can we go ahead and admit that at least two more Senate seats in 2016 will convert from Democrat to Republican? (Reid, and Bennet of Colorado)
bttt
I’d love to see the Hispanics turn on the commie ‘RAT gringos.
If Cruz is our nominee I predict he gets more than 50% of the Latino vote.
T also think he will get more than 50% of Latinos. The more the media spins otherwise just means they are doing their best to scare Latinos away from Cruz. He has the ground game to reach them and circumvent the media.
I see Marco Rubio get a small bump in the polls once he enters the race, but one people take a good look at him he will fade away and leave the race in the summer, that’s my prediction.
Cruz hopefully gets Marco Rubio supporters in about a month or around May.
Rand Paul will sight some reason to stay in the Senate and drop out of the race at the end of summer or fall.
I’m for Laxalt, and I do believe he can win against Dingy Harry’s meatpuppets.
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