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Ridgecrest temblors tripled chance of big earthquake on San Andreas fault: Study
ktla ^ | Updated: Jul 13, 2020

Posted on 07/13/2020 5:07:43 PM PDT by BenLurkin

The study, published in the Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America on Monday, says there is now a 2.3% chance of an earthquake of magnitude 7.5 or greater in the next 12 months on a section of the 160-mile-long Garlock fault, which runs along the northern edge of the Mojave Desert.

That increased likelihood, in turn, would cause there to be a 1.15% chance of a large earthquake on the San Andreas fault in the next year.

(Excerpt) Read more at ktla.com ...


TOPICS: Local News
KEYWORDS: california; earthquake; earthquakes; garlockfault; mojavedesert; quake; quakes; sanandreas
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"The possibility of a San Andreas quake AT ANY TIME should already be part of your planning or you shouldn't be in California." — Dr. Lucy Jones (@DrLucyJones) July 13, 2020
1 posted on 07/13/2020 5:07:43 PM PDT by BenLurkin
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To: BenLurkin

If my odds of winning at gambling tripled from .77 to 2.3 I would not gamble more. Those odds are so low that they are meaningless. Give me numbers like 23.0 and I will start to worry, but 1 in 40? I will bet against those odds every single time.


2 posted on 07/13/2020 5:12:59 PM PDT by webheart (Coronavirus, I give up. Come get me.)
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To: webheart

The odds of there being a major earthquake in California are way more than dying of Covid. Shouldn’t Governor Newsom evacuate the state?


3 posted on 07/13/2020 5:15:14 PM PDT by webheart (Coronavirus, I give up. Come get me.)
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To: BenLurkin

Well.

Murder hornets.

Alligators in trees.

Flying spiders.

Chinese plague.

Riots and race wars.

Chinese Communists angling for war.

Lockdowns.

Facemaksks.

I guess an 8.0 earthquake in California would fit right in.


4 posted on 07/13/2020 5:16:48 PM PDT by rlmorel ("Truth is Treason in the Empire of Lies"- George Orwell)
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To: BenLurkin

We’ve lived in California for 75 years, and heard this same dire warning of anywhere from 6.8 - 9.0 to the point we just say “OK, here we go again”. Someday it will happen, but the little boy has cried Wolf so often we just can’t get excited.


5 posted on 07/13/2020 5:20:22 PM PDT by rockinqsranch (Dems, Libs, Socialists Call 'em what you will, they all have fairies livin' in their trees)
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To: rlmorel

“...Well. Murder hornets. Alligators in trees. Flying spiders.
Chinese plague. Riots and race wars. Chinese Communists angling for war. Lockdowns. Face masks. I guess an 8.0 earthquake in California would fit right in.....”

Yep...lol...no surprise there.
However, you maybe should have added a massive alien invasion from outer space to the list.


6 posted on 07/13/2020 5:21:22 PM PDT by lgjhn23 (Libs are a virus.....the DemoVirus!!)
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To: webheart

Don’t give him any ideas. He might send those left coast idiots here.


7 posted on 07/13/2020 5:24:45 PM PDT by Blood of Tyrants (Where do you find the word "except" in the 2nd Amendment?)
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To: BenLurkin

Yep, another new study.


8 posted on 07/13/2020 5:25:11 PM PDT by SkyDancer (~ Pilots: Looking Down On People Since 1903 ~)
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To: BenLurkin

Chance?

Of total course.

Science? Not yet there in Cali ‘quake prediction.


9 posted on 07/13/2020 5:25:51 PM PDT by Paladin2
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To: BenLurkin

Trump’s Fault!


10 posted on 07/13/2020 5:26:24 PM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: lgjhn23

No! That would ridiculous!!!!

Oh, wait...


11 posted on 07/13/2020 5:27:52 PM PDT by rlmorel ("Truth is Treason in the Empire of Lies"- George Orwell)
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To: rockinqsranch
We’ve lived in California for 75 43 years, and heard this same dire warning of anywhere from 6.8 - 9.0 to the point we just say “OK, here we go again”. Someday it will happen, but the little boy has cried Wolf so often we just can’t get excited.
12 posted on 07/13/2020 5:28:16 PM PDT by Grampa Dave (The virus is so easily spread why do they shove a Qtip up your nose and into your brain for a sample)
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To: BenLurkin

Could be God taking care of business.


13 posted on 07/13/2020 5:28:31 PM PDT by MayflowerMadam
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To: rockinqsranch

“We’ve lived in California for 75 years, and heard this same dire warning of anywhere from 6.8 - 9.0 to the point we just say “OK, here we go again”. Someday it will happen, but the little boy has cried Wolf so often we just can’t get excited.”

I was there in the Northridge quake. That was enough for me.


14 posted on 07/13/2020 5:29:14 PM PDT by ModelBreaker
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To: ModelBreaker
I was there in the Northridge quake. That was enough for me.

I was too and I'm still here. Looking to get out but where to? There's no place I can think of that's entirely safe from tornadoes, floods, hurricanes, earthquakes, volcanoes, wildfires, crime, mob violence etc. Big quakes are really devastating but thankfully they don't happen that often, even in Calipornia.

15 posted on 07/13/2020 5:56:55 PM PDT by Bernard Marx
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To: ModelBreaker

me too That was a mofo


16 posted on 07/13/2020 6:21:37 PM PDT by al baby (Hi Mom Hi Dad)
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To: ModelBreaker

So was I. I lived in the heart of Northridge when the quake hit....

Moved to New Hampshire, now I feel much safer. :)


17 posted on 07/13/2020 6:57:30 PM PDT by 4Liberty (CoVid19, n. A seasonal respiratory infection politicized to harm the U.S. economy & its President.)
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To: BenLurkin

See _The Big One_ by Kevin E. Ready for a novel-length depiction of an earthquake on the Garlock and San Andreas faults.


18 posted on 07/13/2020 7:23:39 PM PDT by Thud
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To: BenLurkin
Johnny Kidd & The Pirates - Shakin' All Over

Johnny Kidd & The Pirates - Shakin' All Over

19 posted on 07/14/2020 10:05:44 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (Imagine an imaginary menagerie manager imagining managing an imaginary menagerie.)
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To: Bernard Marx

“I was there in the Northridge quake. That was enough for me.
I was too and I’m still here. Looking to get out but where to? There’s no place I can think of that’s entirely safe from tornadoes, floods, hurricanes, earthquakes, volcanoes, wildfires, crime, mob violence etc. Big quakes are really devastating but thankfully they don’t happen that often, even in Calipornia.”

Born in Ca, but lived several other places.

Sylmar, Northridge, and other quakes not enough to make me think about leaving over quakes.

Weather can’t be matched.

Societal decline, liberalism, would be my reason to move, but my wife doesn’t agree.


20 posted on 07/20/2020 11:43:47 AM PDT by truth_seeker ( ^^\/**|_|**\/ ^^^^)
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