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Analysis New poll analysis finds a wasted summer for Donald Trump and a boost for Hillary Clinton
The Los Angeles Times ^ | August 20th 2016 | Cathleen Decker

Posted on 08/20/2016 2:48:23 PM PDT by Mariner

The last six weeks have been a time of tumult in the presidential campaign — two conventions and a fistful of controversies, many of them created by Republican nominee Donald Trump himself.

With the campaign moving toward a final general election sprint, Trump finds himself in a dangerous place. He has narrowed his support to a segment of the electorate, and curbed his own momentum, according to an analysis of six weeks of findings in the USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times Daybreak presidential tracking poll.

Over the same period, Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton has built support — even among groups previously arrayed against her — into demonstrable advantages.

The poll was first published July 10 and is in its seventh week. The analysis covered the six full weeks, and thus did not chart any impact from Trump’s high-profile speeches this week, or his midweek decision to shake up his campaign’s leadership.

Over six weeks’ time, Trump’s 22-point lead among whites narrowed to 18 points. Among nonwhites, Clinton’s advantage rose from 38 points to 46 points.

Trump’s lead among voters without a college degree shrank from 12 points to five points. Among those with college degrees, Clinton’s edge increased from 13 points to 15 points.

Among men, Trump’s advantage dropped from 12 points to eight points. Among women, Clinton’s edge grew from five points to 12 points.

(Excerpt) Read more at latimes.com ...


TOPICS: Cheese, Moose, Sister
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; polls; trump
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Trump comes back from 5-6 points behind in the same poll to now be essentially even. Much of that support coming from Blacks.

And all the LA Times can talk about is some of his previous advantages are diminishing.

That's some analysis. Somebody had to dig hard for these little jewels.

1 posted on 08/20/2016 2:48:23 PM PDT by Mariner
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To: Mariner

Check out this Don Lemon interview and you will see the spirit of the LA Times there.


2 posted on 08/20/2016 2:50:02 PM PDT by GilGil
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To: Mariner

...Hillary has it in the bag.


3 posted on 08/20/2016 2:51:31 PM PDT by Bobalu (Democrats use guns to shoot the innocent. Republicans use them for self-defense.)
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To: Mariner

Polls are not a Predictive Instrument.

Polls only show a snapshot of the moment.


4 posted on 08/20/2016 2:52:06 PM PDT by Timpanagos1
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To: Mariner

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3461374/posts

Sorry forgot the link.


5 posted on 08/20/2016 2:52:29 PM PDT by GilGil
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To: GilGil

AND The Times analysis covers only the six weeks from inception until July 12th when Trump recovered his standing in this poll.


6 posted on 08/20/2016 2:53:10 PM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: Mariner

As of a week ago... the analysis is accurate.
Since it only takes a half-hour to analyze the poll they’re leaving out the last weeks findoings on purpose.


7 posted on 08/20/2016 2:53:22 PM PDT by mrsmith (Dumb sluts: Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat/RINO Party!)
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To: Mariner

In statistics, you can often find what you want if you throw context out the window. As a convinced Clintonite her self inflicted glee is fueled by wishful thinking, looking ominously at recent speeches by trump and news shots of catheter tubes running down legs.


8 posted on 08/20/2016 2:53:47 PM PDT by BigEdLB (Take it Easy, Chuck. I'm Not Taking it Back -- Donald Trump)
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To: Mariner

Why read such tripe. WILL NOT COME FROM UNDER THE BED in order to read derogatory remarks about our next President.

The lies and hateful rederick are becoming outrageous, even for the MFM and #Never Trumpers. There is a limit to how much one can take!


9 posted on 08/20/2016 2:54:17 PM PDT by V K Lee (u TRUMP TRUMP TRUMP to TRIUMPH Follow the lead MAKE AMERICA GREAT)
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To: GilGil

I couldn’t watch more than 20secs of that.


10 posted on 08/20/2016 2:54:57 PM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: Bobalu
"...and a boost for Hillary Clinton" Med-Lift Two-Way Reclining Power Lift Chair & Reviews | Wayfair
11 posted on 08/20/2016 2:55:13 PM PDT by Leep (Cut the crap!)
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To: Mariner
this is push/polling to the max...the Delphi technique to the max....

planting this false assumption...

I don't see it anecdotally....just don't see it...

12 posted on 08/20/2016 2:55:28 PM PDT by cherry
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To: Mariner

Pure Dreck from Cathleen..


13 posted on 08/20/2016 2:55:52 PM PDT by Paladin2 (auto spelchk? BWAhaha2haaa.....I aint't likely fixin' nuttin'. Blame it on the Bossa Nova...)
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To: Mariner

The liberal media and their fabricated Khan story tried to destroy Donald Trump but like Jason he keeps coming back. Nothing the media can throw at him will work because he speaks truth to power and his followers are sick and tired of the status quo.


14 posted on 08/20/2016 2:57:09 PM PDT by NKP_Vet (In matters of style, swim with the current; in matters of principle,stand like a rock ~ T, Jefferson)
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To: Mariner
LOL. What you see here is the LAT trying to make a Hillary Purse out of their own Sow's Ear. Apparently the are unhappy with their own poll and find the need to write this sort of crap.


15 posted on 08/20/2016 2:57:17 PM PDT by InterceptPoint (Ted, you should have endorsed. Big mistake.)
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To: Mariner

Headline doesn’t match poll graph trendlines.... Looks to me like Indian Summer is going to see the rebound of Trump and the stagnation of Clinton.


16 posted on 08/20/2016 2:58:17 PM PDT by MHT (,`)
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To: cherry
this is push/polling to the max...the Delphi technique to the max.... planting this false assumption...

Exactly right. It's disgusting.

17 posted on 08/20/2016 2:58:48 PM PDT by Talisker (One who commands, must obey.)
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To: Mariner

Yeah, yeah, we know, Trump should have quit day one.


18 posted on 08/20/2016 2:58:53 PM PDT by bgill (From the CDC site, "We don't know how people are infected with Ebola")
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To: Timpanagos1

No polls, no news


19 posted on 08/20/2016 2:59:12 PM PDT by Sybeck1 (Remember the Court)
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To: Leep

20 posted on 08/20/2016 2:59:51 PM PDT by Bobalu (Democrats use guns to shoot the innocent. Republicans use them for self-defense.)
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