Posted on 08/16/2016 8:12:32 AM PDT by PJ-Comix
For those of you worried about the polls, I have one word---RELAX. First of all this is August so the polls can say anything they want plus many people are still not focused on the upcoming election. For that reason I automatically take whatever the polls say and conservatively deduct 3 points from Hillary and give 3 points to Trump.
In addition there is what is called the Shy Voter Effect. Those many voters shy of being ID'd as Trump supporters. I also call this the Reverse Bradley. Again, another 3 from Hillary and 3 to Trump.
Therefore if a poll shows Hillary leading by 10, I deduct 6 from Hillary and reward 6 to Trump with the net result that he leads by 2.
As final confirmation that the polls are complete BS, I give you the current NBC poll that shows that only 17% of all voters think Trump has the temperament to be president. And if you believe that then perhaps you should panic. Not over the what the polls say but over your own extreme gullibility.
Which is why Trump spent his Saturday night with me in Fairfield, CT.
Trump would not be wasting valuable campaign time in CT if things weren't looking much better for him with the internal (real) polling. I actually think CT is in play based on what my CT neighbors are telling me around the barbecue grill. All of them are for Trump. I do live in a mostly white affluent neighborhood so may not be representative of the rest of the state. However quite the crowd turned out Saturday night in Fairfield to hear Trump speak on a brutally hot night. Protesters were scarce.
I truly believe that many Trump supporters feel "bullied" and prefer to keep silent about the election. They just keep their heads down and go about their business, but they are determined to vote in November.
Something else anecdotal, I overhead one of my co-workers, who I know is for Trump, telling another co-worker that he didn't like any of the candidates and might write in somebody. Afterwards I asked him about that and he basically said that he was not going to tell that person he was a Trump supporter because he knew she for Shrillary and he didn't want to start an argument.
Basically they feel safe telling us but we don't feel safe telling them.
I will boldly enter the voting booth November 8 holding nothing but love for my country. It’s TRUMP 2016!! or bust. And I’m excited there is no mccain or romney this time!
Well, we still have a Bill of Rights.
Me too. We have a MAN, not a wussie running.
I agree that they do things to depress conservative turnout all the time (in error, of course...). That doesn’t mean we should laugh it off or assume it will work itself out. We should be concerned and confront it whenever possible.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.
