Posted on 04/03/2016 8:31:57 PM PDT by cba123
America First. Not the globalist/banker/lobbyist/political class.
Another fantasy poll from a company no one has ever heard of. The desperation from the Trumpkins is getting bad.
I'm sitting on Emerson College Polling's twitter account right now. An updated poll is imminent.
They have a reasonable track record.
Some Trump supporters in Twitter generate stuff like this and it is very confusing,
Two weeks ago there was a tweet running around to the effect that Harrison Ford had endorsed Trump. Had a pretty convincing photo that was well done with Ford holding a Trump sign if I recall. It made me actually Google Ford to see if accurate. It wasn’t.
Emerson does seem to be fairly reliable.
Will be good to see if any new reputable WI polls are released in the next 24 hours.
Most of the existing polls were done before Walker endorsed Cruz and Milwaukee talk radio aligned behind him as well.
So the new Emerson poll shows Cruz expanding his lead on Trump from the last Emerson poll that was taken. It shows Cruz ahead by 5 points statewide (up from 1 point in the last poll), and show him leading in 5 of the 8 congressional districts. IF that holds, Cruz should get about 33 of the 42 delegates on Tuesday.
You mean like a Chuck Norris’ endorsement of Cruz?
Cruz: 40%
Trump: 35%
Kasich: 21%
So it’s not 10 points?
It depends on the district results as well. I doubt any candidate pulls 33 delegates.
This is rich coming from Cruzbots who have to push Left-wing rags to try and trash Trump and prop up Mr. Haney.
What are you Cruzbots so worried about? If Ted’s Wisconsin win is a sure thing, why does this bother you guys so much?
Strange indeed!
Well the good news is we’ll know come Tuesday who’s living in fantasy land......Go Cruz!
549 Likely GOP Voters
3/30-4/3.
MOE 4.1% with 95% confidence.
The last Emerson poll only gave Cruz a 1-point lead, so this one is showing Cruz expanding his lead. It also shows Cruz leading in 5 congressional districts, Trump leading in 1 CD, and the others are a tossup.
Yeh that sounds more like it. I was not believing Cruz ahead by 10 pts.
Also just out (for anyone who cares) Bernie 51, Hag 43
Poll is of likely GOP voters. WI is an open primary.
National Fox has not released a Wisconsin poll yet. Fox Business has, which showed Cruz +10.
Here’s something of interest. Breakdown by CD for the Optimus push poll for Kasich. I think some of the Kasich support will go to Cruz, but it looks like Trump’s best chances for taking a CD are 3, 7 and 8. Kasich’s best chance is CD2 in Milwaukee.
They are running neck-and-neck in Ryan’s district CD1 and CD 6. Cruz looks good in CD 4 and 5.
If you apply a shift to Trump -5 or so, Trump could be poised to take 7 and 8 and possibly 3. Kasich could win the Milwaukee district CD 2 with Cruz taking 1, 4, 5 and 6 plus the extra 18 statewide delegates for 30 of 42 total.
I’d put the statewide winner in a 30-36 delegate range on Tuesday night. With Trump at 6-9 and Kasich at 0-3.
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BwpQSOvk_aoAMDQ1TmJUeW13OTQ/view
MOE at 4.1%
The congressional districts are winner take all, so if Cruz wins 5 CDs and wins statewide, that would give him 33 delegates. Two other CDs are a tossup, with Trump only leading in 1 CD. So Cruz could even wind up with 39 delegates out of 42.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.