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The Value of Petroleum Fuels (Comparing 1840 to 2015 )
wattsupwiththat.com ^ | December 26, 2015 | Guest essay by Andy May

Posted on 12/28/2015 12:02:26 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach

It is difficult to compare 1840 to 2015, so much of what we have today didn’t exist then.  But, they had to move people and goods from place to place as we do now.  They had farms then as we do now. They used wagons pulled by horses, mules or oxen.  We use cars and airplanes. They used muscle power to farm, we use tractors, combines, grain carts, and trucks powered by petroleum fuels. In 1840 crude oil and natural gas production and use were rare. Coal was used in manufacturing, but steam engines were still in their infancy. So the world in 1840 was fossil fuel free for the most part. Biofuels, that is burning wood and dung, were common. Windmills would not appear until 1854. Hydropower was not in common use until after 1849. Solar power had not been invented yet.

The cost of gasoline can be seen on the sign at any gas station, but what is its value?  Using gasoline or diesel saves us time and manual labor. It also saves air, water and waste pollution. Let us not forget that the automobile was lauded as a great environmental improvement after the “Great Horse Manure Crisis” of 1894. Nothing like having horse manure up to your knees to help you appreciate gasoline!

How much manual labor is replaced when we use gasoline? In other words what is the value of gasoline? In large part our standard of living is determined by the difference between what we pay for petroleum fuels and coal and their value in time and labor. I’ll try and compute that value by comparing a 1,812 mile trip, along the Oregon Trail from Independence, Missouri to Oregon City in 1840 with a trip today. I’ll also compute the value of diesel by comparing a 10 acre grain harvest in 1840 to a harvest today.

In 1840 to make the 1,812 mile trip, most people used Prairie Schooner wagons pulled by six oxen.  Oxen were cheaper than horses or mules and could survive on lower quality grass.  The total cost of an equipped Prairie Schooner with Oxen was around $1,000 in 1840 money, the equivalent of $23,373 today.  The normal time to make the trip was 4.5 months or 137 days.  Fuel for the Oxen was free.

Today we have two choices for the trip.  We could drive a car for $1,052 using the IRS business car reimbursement of $0.575 or fly a family of four for $1016.  The driving time would be two days.  Fuel would be about 72 gallons at $144.  Using these figures and considering the 135 extra days in 1840 at today’s minimum wage of $7.25, the value of the gasoline is $411 per gallon for the driving case. A family of four flying in a Boeing 757 will use 92 gallons of jet fuel according to wikipedia, so the value per gallon of the jet fuel is $329. But, the trip is much quicker and easier than driving.

clip_image002

Figure 1: The trip today

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Figure 2: The trip in 1840

But, traveling isn’t the only thing that has improved since 1840 due to the invention of gasoline and the internal combustion engine.  Farming is much more efficient.  In 1840 nearly everyone was employed in the agricultural industry or supported it in some fashion.  Now only a small portion of our population is engaged in farming.  According to the USDA farm workers are only 1% of US workers.

In order to harvest 10 acres of grain in 1840, it took 130 men working all day.  The average wage in 2015 for farm workers in the US is $12.27, this is a total cost of $12,761 in 2015 dollars to harvest 10 acres in one day.  In 2015 40 skilled farm workers can harvest 450 acres in one day.  Farms are larger today and much more efficient, so we need to scale down to 10 acres to do a valid comparison. On a large modern farm, the cost of the men required, a combine, grain cart and truck to harvest 10 acres sums to $540. The total diesel and lubricant required comes to 24 gallons. This results in a value of $509 per gallon of diesel. So, generally we are paying about $2 per gallon for fuels that are worth over 100 times that, a pretty good deal. The details of the calculations described in this post can be found, along with more references, here.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Computers/Internet; Science; Weather
KEYWORDS: climatechange; energy; methane; opec; petroleum
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1 posted on 12/28/2015 12:02:26 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach
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To: NormsRevenge; Tolerance Sucks Rocks; Smokin' Joe; thackney; TigersEye; Marine_Uncle; SierraWasp; ...

fyi


2 posted on 12/28/2015 12:07:58 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
In 1840 crude oil and natural gas production and use were rare. Coal was used in manufacturing, but steam engines were still in their infancy. So the world in 1840 was fossil fuel free for the most part.

Rail roads?

http://www.american-rails.com/1840s.html

By 1840 the states east of the Mississippi River boasted over 2,800 miles of track and this number quickly rose as the decade wore on.

3 posted on 12/28/2015 12:14:38 PM PST by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: thackney

Bottom link not working.


4 posted on 12/28/2015 12:28:21 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

http://www.american-rails.com/1840s.html


5 posted on 12/28/2015 12:30:14 PM PST by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
Windmills would not appear until 1854.

Off the coast of Philadelphia, theer was a windmill dating to the mid-eightenth century

Windmill Island was named for a windmill built in 1746 by John Harding and his son. Legendary pirate stories evolved from the execution of three men who were hanged on the island for looting a ship. http://ilovebricks.blogspot.com/2010/11/windmill-island.html

I doubt that was the only one.
6 posted on 12/28/2015 12:32:10 PM PST by Dr. Sivana (There is no salvation in politics)
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To: Dr. Sivana; Ernest_at_the_Beach

The first English settlers in North America were aware of windmills and their laborsaving benefits. But no one built one in the first colony, Virginia, for fourteen years. That was in 1621, when Governor George Yeardley erected a windmill on his James River plantation, Flowerdieu Hundred, where a replica stands today. The Massachusetts settlers constructed their first windmill in 1631.

http://www.history.org/foundation/journal/autumn02/windmill.cfm


7 posted on 12/28/2015 12:38:20 PM PST by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

I am sure I heard fossil fuels were all used up 15 years ago.


8 posted on 12/28/2015 12:43:33 PM PST by stocksthatgoup (Trump and Cruz are not attacking each other. Why don't their follows take note)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
I really liked the article and the point it made (technology = good, better) but...

Hydropower was not in common use until after 1849.

Just not so!

Hydropower was first! Most all of the industrial revolution mills started at the Fall Line of the various riverine systems, first in the Northeast and then spreading down the East Coast, where the swiftly flowing water could turn wheels and gears used to weave cloth, mill things, and provide industrial power.

The article the writer linked to (1849) covers only hydro-electrical power--not hydropower. Two separate things.

9 posted on 12/28/2015 12:49:17 PM PST by Alas Babylon! (As we say in the Air Force, "You know you're over the target when you start getting flak!")
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To: stocksthatgoup; All
I am sure I heard fossil fuels were all used up 15 years ago.

Yeah! peak oil...what happened to that?
10 posted on 12/28/2015 12:51:49 PM PST by notdownwidems (Washington DC has become the enemy of free people everywhere)
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To: thackney
Sorry...I was referring to the bottom link in the article,.

Not the one you posted.

From the comments at WUWT regarding the article....

Some interesting comments started by this comment :

***********************************EXCERPTS*************************************************

zemlik says:

December 26, 2015 at 3:50 pm

hello,

you are saying something like the burning of fossil fuels is a good thing because it makes it possible for there to be more people ?

11 posted on 12/28/2015 1:25:26 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
Windmills would not appear until 1854.

Good news, Don Quixote!

12 posted on 12/28/2015 1:32:29 PM PST by Buttons12
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To: thackney
From the comments at WUWT:

**********************************************EXCERPT******************************************

jmarshs says:

December 26, 2015 at 4:16 pm

I had a client involved in rail roads. Like many, I thought that rail roads were a thing of the past. But moving freight by rail is incredibly efficient.

https://www.aar.org/BackgroundPapers/Environmental%20Benefits%20of%20Moving%20Freight%20by%20Rail.pdf

13 posted on 12/28/2015 1:42:51 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach; Robert A. Cook, PE; AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; ...
Thanks Ernest.

14 posted on 12/28/2015 2:20:18 PM PST by SunkenCiv (Here's to the day the forensics people scrape what's left of Putin off the ceiling of his limo.)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
Hydropower was not in common use until after 1849. Solar power had not been invented yet.

Oh yes it was. I have it on good authority that the Sun has been in existence for a huge number of millenia.

Solar power collectors had not been invented yet.

15 posted on 12/28/2015 2:44:48 PM PST by Bloody Sam Roberts (Democracy is not freedom. Democracy is simply majoritarianism. It is incompatible with real freedom.)
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To: thackney

At that time railroads used wood. So much so that they projected that America would have no trees left by 1900, which caused them to switch to coal.


16 posted on 12/28/2015 2:58:39 PM PST by Vince Ferrer
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
Hydropower was not in common use until after 1849. Solar power had not been invented yet.

They probably had a bit of hydro power with water wheel mills. They actually used a lot of solar power. They stored it in grass, which powered the oxen.

17 posted on 12/28/2015 3:02:42 PM PST by Vince Ferrer
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

I read a book on the history of light which I can’t remember the name of now but it was amazing what awful choices we had for lighting even up to the early nineteen hundreds. Lighting was expensive as was travel. We take a lot for granted now. Everybody rags on Big Oil and Big utilities but they have made our lives so much better than our ancestors. Thank you Exon, Thank you PG&E.


18 posted on 12/28/2015 3:24:41 PM PST by Lurkina.n.Learnin (It's a shame enobama truly doesn't care about any of this. Our country, our future, he doesn't care)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Bump


19 posted on 12/28/2015 5:26:51 PM PST by CPT Clay (Hillary: Julius and Ethal Rosenberg were electrocuted for selling classified info.)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Really cool article!!!


20 posted on 12/28/2015 5:29:41 PM PST by CPT Clay (Hillary: Julius and Ethal Rosenberg were electrocuted for selling classified info.)
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