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Groundhog Day 2013-Early Spring Predicted
ABC News ^ | Feb 2, 2013 | ABC News

Posted on 02/02/2013 5:25:46 AM PST by Gefn

An early spring is on the way, according to groundhog "Punxsutawney Phil."

When the Pennsylvania groundhog emerged from his dwelling at Gobbler's Knob Saturday morning, he did not see his shadow.

"And so ye faithful, there is no shadow to see, an early Spring for you and me," proclaimed Bob Roberts, one of Phil's handlers.

(Excerpt) Read more at abcnews.go.com ...


TOPICS: Humor; Pets/Animals
KEYWORDS: groundhog; napl; punxsutawneyphil; spring
Just for fun, an article and video of todays events from Punxsutawney, PA with the man, um, critter of the hour, Phil! Happy Groundhogs Day everybody!
1 posted on 02/02/2013 5:25:53 AM PST by Gefn
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To: Gefn

Anybody got Punxsutawney Phil’s accuracy record over the years?


2 posted on 02/02/2013 5:29:59 AM PST by PapaNew
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To: Gefn

At least Phil isn’t a denier.


3 posted on 02/02/2013 5:30:29 AM PST by Libloather (The epitome of civility.)
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To: Gefn
Don't know 'bout no varmint critter .. but I bin watchin' the squirrels' nests and paper wasp nests.

They all up high here in SW PA, meanin' t'say .. a mild winter.

Tha's all I think I know.

4 posted on 02/02/2013 5:32:47 AM PST by knarf (I say things that are true ... I have no proof ... but they're true)
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To: Gefn
Here's a another Phil who had some trouble with his Groundhog Day predictions.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DTo9T96TFOA

5 posted on 02/02/2013 5:33:08 AM PST by PapaNew
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To: PapaNew

Oh dear! Not very I am afraid. I found this in an article.

According to Stormfax.com, Punxsutawney Phil has only been correct approximately 39% of the time. Of course, long range forecasts can be difficult to predict for the human forecaster. For example, the 2012-2013 winter outlook for the United States was supposed to have equal chances to see a wet/dry and cold/warm winter as the lack of an El Niño and La Niña made the forecast rather difficult to predict

article is here.

http://earthsky.org/earth/groundhog-day-2013-how-accurate-is-punxsutawney-phil


6 posted on 02/02/2013 5:35:18 AM PST by Gefn ("I am waiting for a rebirth of wonder")
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To: Gefn
Every year about this time, people get all excited about an insignificant little rodent that comes out of his hole and “predicts” the future.

On the other hand, today is groundhog day and Punxsutawney Phil will tell us about spring.

7 posted on 02/02/2013 5:39:23 AM PST by Tupelo (Hunkered down & loading up)
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To: Gefn

Its Groundhog day....again...


8 posted on 02/02/2013 5:41:01 AM PST by Rightly Biased (Avenge me Girls AVENEGE ME!!!! ( I don't have any son's))
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To: Gefn
According to Stormfax.com, Punxsutawney Phil has only been correct approximately 39% of the time.

So given that random guessing should produce a 50% success rate, can we say that Punxsutawney Phil is misleading?

9 posted on 02/02/2013 5:44:51 AM PST by MAexile (Bats left, votes right)
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To: Gefn

I actually trust a rodent more than any meteorologist who embraces climate change!

I know what I am getting with the rodent.


10 posted on 02/02/2013 5:45:01 AM PST by Erik Latranyi (When religions have to beg the gov't for a waiver, we are already under socialism.)
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To: Gefn

So-— just 6 more weeks to winter instead of the usual month- and 1/2 ??


11 posted on 02/02/2013 5:51:04 AM PST by Exit148
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To: MAexile

Perhaps. But he’s kinda cute. And personally, isn’t he as accurate as the talking head weatherman on the nightly news? They never seem to get the weather correct where I live.

It’s all in fun anyway.


12 posted on 02/02/2013 5:51:55 AM PST by Gefn ("I am waiting for a rebirth of wonder")
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To: Gefn

13 posted on 02/02/2013 5:52:05 AM PST by JoeProBono (A closed mouth gathers no feet - Mater tua caligas exercitus gerit ;-{)
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To: Gefn
http://www.groundhog.org/groundhog-day/history/

Groundhog Day, February 2nd, is a popular tradition in the United States. It is also a legend that traverses centuries, its origins clouded in the mists of time with ethnic cultures and animals awakening on specific dates. Myths such as this tie our present to the distant past when nature did, indeed, influence our lives. It is the day that the Groundhog comes out of his hole after a long winter sleep to look for his shadow.

If he sees it, he regards it as an omen of six more weeks of bad weather and returns to his hole.

If the day is cloudy and, hence, shadowless, he takes it as a sign of spring and stays above ground.

The groundhog tradition stems from similar beliefs associated with Candlemas Day and the days of early Christians in Europe, and for centuries the custom was to have the clergy bless candles and distribute them to the people. Even then, it marked a milestone in the winter and the weather that day was important.

According to an old English song: If Candlemas be fair and bright, Come, Winter, have another flight; If Candlemas brings clouds and rain, Go Winter, and come not again.


14 posted on 02/02/2013 5:53:27 AM PST by HangnJudge
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To: Gefn

General Beauregard Lee, the most famous resident of the Yellow River Game Ranch in Lilburn, did his job Wednesday morning. But Beau took his time in emerging from his "Weathering Heights" home.

"We made enough racket that he finally came out," Art Rilling, owner of the ranch, told the AJC.

About 200 guests weathered the blustery temperatures to greet the groundhog, who finally crawled out of his home to the sound of cheering and bell ringing.

Beau made his entrance at 7:41 a.m. and did not see his shadow. Spring is coming early, according to Beau's prediction.

http://www.ajc.com/news/news/local/beau-fails-to-see-shadow-predicts-early-spring/nQqGD/

15 posted on 02/02/2013 6:01:10 AM PST by HangnJudge
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To: HangnJudge

Having a sister and son born on Groundhog’s day, It is important in my family. But......

The correlation seems to be with frontal movements.

If the front has passed, it will be clear and cold. If the front is just passing, it will be warmer but cloudy. The correlation prediction seems to be that if the day is clear there will be three more such frontal movements and six weeks of winter resulting from the cold trough. If cloudy the number of fronts till the trough recedes northward may be only two.

Like wooly worms, there is no real correlation.


16 posted on 02/02/2013 6:03:15 AM PST by bert ((K.E. N.P. N.C. +12 .....The fairest Deduction to be reduced is the Standard Deduction)
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To: bert
Having a sister and son born on Groundhog’s day,
It is important in my family

Our family has a birthday on the day after “Candlemas Day”
We've had fun with it

17 posted on 02/02/2013 6:09:16 AM PST by HangnJudge
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To: HangnJudge

Oh General Lee didn’t see his shadow. Staten Island Chuck didn’t see his shadow either.

http://www.silive.com/news/index.ssf/2013/02/post_421.html

Time to loose my 10 winter pounds, I want to get into those shorts!


18 posted on 02/02/2013 6:11:08 AM PST by Gefn ("I am waiting for a rebirth of wonder")
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To: JoeProBono

I never want to hear “I got you babe” again after seeing that movie!

Do you think they used the same critter from “Caddyshack” in this movie as well?


19 posted on 02/02/2013 6:14:59 AM PST by Gefn ("I am waiting for a rebirth of wonder")
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To: Tupelo

“insignificant little rodent”

Why did I immediately think of Paul Krugman when I read your post?


20 posted on 02/02/2013 6:24:40 AM PST by csmusaret (I will give Obama credit for one thing- he is living proof that familiarity breeds contempt.)
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To: Tupelo
On the other hand, today is groundhog day and Punxsutawney Phil will tell us about spring.

But can he also predict the world will end in 10 years because of global warming? Huh, huh, can he?

21 posted on 02/02/2013 6:40:28 AM PST by unixfox (Abolish Slavery, Repeal The 16th Amendment!)
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To: knarf

Started out unseasonably cool down in MS in Oct/Nov then became normal and has gotten a tad milder than “normal”. I expect a short period of cooler weather before Feb-Mar transition is over, but just so-so down here. Of course, i grew up in upstate NY, so 60 degrees this time of year is a heat wave while it’s “average” for the area.


22 posted on 02/02/2013 6:44:34 AM PST by trebb (Allies no longer trust us. Enemies no longer fear us.)
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To: Gefn
According to Stormfax.com, Punxsutawney Phil has only been correct approximately 39% of the time.

Phil's 39% correct is a heck of a lot better than Obama's 0%.

I say we run him (Phil) for the presidency next time.


23 posted on 02/02/2013 7:29:06 AM PST by Iron Munro (I Miss America, don't you?)
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To: Gefn; MeekOneGOP; Conspiracy Guy; DocRock; King Prout; Darksheare; OSHA; martin_fierro; ...


24 posted on 02/02/2013 11:45:16 AM PST by Slings and Arrows (You can't have IngSoc without an Emmanuel Goldstein.)
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To: Gefn

I love Punxsutawney.
Had the pleasure of working there one summer as a teen.


25 posted on 02/02/2013 11:47:40 AM PST by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: Gefn

At the WV/VA state line, the blackbirds had already returned last month and are still congregating near a truck stop on I-81.

Hubby thought I’d gone insane because I got extremely excited when I saw them.

They *never* come back to the area unless ‘spring’ is close at hand.

I was at the state line a couple days ago and most of them are still there, waiting.

I assume parts of the flock have gone further upstate by now.

So I am hopeful of an early spring, in spite of the fact that as of this moment, when I step outside, I pretty much instantly freeze in place.

[it’s viciously cold and windy]


26 posted on 02/02/2013 11:53:25 AM PST by Salamander (We're all kinds of animals comin' round here...occasional demons, too.)
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To: Salamander

I must be the only person in the world that likes winter LOL
Sled riding, soup on the stove, wood fire, Ice skating...
I like hiking in winter. Its quiet and beautiful.
Winter puts the lid on riff raff LOL
When its 20 degrees out you dont find punks hanging out on the street corner.
When its 20 below anyone you find outside is YOUR FRIEND!! LOL

Spring is overrated LOL
Tornadoes and **** pouring rain punctuated with some warm muddy days LOL

Autumn is the very best time of year


27 posted on 02/02/2013 12:02:05 PM PST by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: Slings and Arrows

28 posted on 02/02/2013 12:05:39 PM PST by a fool in paradise (America 2013 - STUCK ON STUPID)
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To: Slings and Arrows; Revolting cat!

29 posted on 02/02/2013 12:06:23 PM PST by a fool in paradise (America 2013 - STUCK ON STUPID)
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To: mylife

“I must be the only person in the world that likes winter”

Yes.

You are.

;D


30 posted on 02/02/2013 12:10:23 PM PST by Salamander (We're all kinds of animals comin' round here...occasional demons, too.)
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To: Gefn

Anyone who believes that rodent will probably be on welfare and food stamps shortly!


31 posted on 02/02/2013 12:18:58 PM PST by dalereed
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To: Rightly Biased
Its Groundhog day....again...

I saw this thread, and decided it was time for my annual viewing of Groundhog Day.

One of the interesting things about the film is that it is never actually said exactly how long he was there. In one of the initial ideas in the screenplay, Phil kept track of time by reading one page of a book from the library every day, and he made it all the way through every volume, so that would imply thousands of years.

32 posted on 02/02/2013 12:58:40 PM PST by zeugma (Those of us who work for a living are outnumbered by those who vote for a living.)
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To: Gefn

Phil must be very aware that whether we have 6,7,8,10 more weeks of winter, it will get blamed on global warming! Spring came early in 2013...Global Warming! Ah Shucks! Spring came 6 weeks late,,must be GLOBAL WARMING !!


33 posted on 02/02/2013 9:15:30 PM PST by Seventh_Tiger
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To: Gefn

Phil and Karl Rove have similar abilities in making predictions.


34 posted on 02/03/2013 4:24:42 AM PST by Conspiracy Guy (I voted Republican, no Conservative was on the ballot.)
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