Posted on 11/04/2012 6:36:44 AM PST by Blue Turtle
RASMUSSEN SUNDAY: O 49% R 49%... DEVELOPING....
(Excerpt) Read more at drudgereport.com ...
This is likely to be his last poll.
Bottom line: O is still under 50%.
Oh lord please please please let this 4year nightmare go away!
No surprise.
Oh lord please please please let this 4year nightmare go away!
RIIIIIGHT....After reading Michael Barone’s clinical analysis and Kevin DuJan’s more emotional and anecdotal stories, I see Romney beating Obama 55-45 (or even more).
Not a chance. Romney may be the one who gets to 50, but no chance of 55.
Ras sold out. Just ignore him. He’s been changing his polling samples for weeks now to keep the race tied. He’s just looking for attention.
How can Romney be tied in or only slightly behind in traditionally blue states, be running away with red states and a bellweather like MO, and be tied nationally? It doesn’t make sense.
With yet another blue state poll (MI) showing Romney now taking a tiny lead it is hard to believe the national vote is so close, or that 0 would be ahead. But apparently it will be close. All we can do is hope for a last minute break to the challenger, like in 1980.
Starting to look like it. Hopefully Gallup comes out with Romney at +3 or higher.
AMEN!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I believe you are correct. Once Romeny wins this election, we must not rest until we have rid the Republican party of the RINO’s.
FIND OUT WHO HAS NOT VOTED AND DRAG THEM TO THE POLLS IF YOU HAVE TO
I read an amazing study that showed that Democrap turnout is roughly the same every election. So it is Republican turnout that decides
If R turnout is high we win
And the 2008 was an anomaly -Obambi got the maximum number of votes he was ever going to get. He has no where to go but down.
apparently this poll shows Romney up at 9-10% with indies, Obama does not win on that.
It would seem that pollsters have some big problems.
Maybe they are scared to take a stab at who the winner will be because they can no longer trust the people they poll to tell the truth....or else, they cannot predict the amount of cheating the dems are bound to do.
I wonder what these Pollsters are going to say they missed in their Polling.
Rasmussen would not poll on Monday?
Actually , it makes more sense than the polls where Ras showed Romney leading the popular vote while trailing in the EV. If anything, it should be the other way around.
Question? Have early votes actually been counted or are they assumed because voter affiliation? and what about the indies? How do they know how they voted.
What did they say the morning after the 1980 election?
You Don’t GET OUT THE VOTE, by being over confident.
I’m still making calls and knocking on doors!
I think youre on to something there. No one wants to stick their neck out. Romney up 9 with indies is good enough for me.
Interesting as the final polls will be forthcoming today or tomorrow then we’ll see how they stack up against Tuesday vote. I think Gallup is trying to put one together to be released tomorrow.
The events up in the northeast has to be factored into their data gathering efforts.
I tend to believe this poll. Every national poll now shows the race to be deadlocked.
And I know it looked like Romney in a landslide just a week ago, but it appears Christie helped out Obozo just enough to close the gap.
However, the key is who will turn out?
To be tied going into the last day against an incumbent who cannot break 50% is a good thing. There is no question who has the enthusiasm on their side. That’s Team R/R.
I think it’ll be Romney 51-48 with well over 300 EVs (with surprises like PA and/or MI coming through).
where do u see this?
A lot of them drop their final polls today but i think Rasmussen does a complete round up tomorrow but as his polling center got whalloped by Sandy, he might just throw in the towel today with his final predictions.
Oh BS. Ras is a solid pollster and fairly GOP friendly too. If he says the race is tied, it's probably tied.
one of the GOP numbers guys on twitter dropped the info.
No votes have been counted, its all a projection based on party affiliation. What the results do say is that dem early voting is way down from 08 though still ahead of pubbie early voting. This is not good news for the commie in chief.
These pollsters are also going on party I’d while ignoring Romney gets more crossover than Obama.
I think a lot of people are seeing Obama as one of the most vindictive leaders since Hitler and Stalin.
Thanks for posting this graph. As they say in investing, the trend is your friend — and Romney’s got it.
This uptick for Obama is very annoying.
You know, this may seem weird, but I just got to thinking.
All of these polling outfits magically have it at the SAME numbers for both candidates in every poll.
48-48
49-49
50-50
Now, I’m no statistics major, but you cant flip a coin 10 times 4 times and get 5 heads and 5 tails over and over again, so how can you poll 1200 people 5 times in 5 different polls and get an even split over and over again? That is statistically impossible at this level.
So what it, just what if, these guys are all “standing down” as a bloc and putting out “dead even” polls as a group, not to try to keep the story “interesting”, although it does help them, but as a way to officially take “no position”, so to speak, on this so that if they are all totally wrong, they are totally wrong together or if they are right, they are all right together and thus will all have the same level of credibility for the next election. There are literally no other pollsters out there that people are going to turn to, so they all have a virtual monopoly on this and there is plenty of suckers... business to be had.
Can’t believe im saying to myself, at least it’s tied. It wasn’t supposed to be this way.
They are just being pragmatic.
THey have some sense of where things will go, but are not sure, and need to balance risk versus gain.
They can slant things for Romney; if they are right, that's fine. If they are wrong, there will be recriminations from the regime's second term. Somewhat less risk, but chance of BIG Problems.
OR.... they can slant things for 0', much more likely they are wrong, but if they are indeed wrong, there will be no recriminations from Romney, and if they are right, there also are no recriminations from the regime's second term.
THus, one way has a two outcomes - the likely with no downside and the unlikely with BIG downside. Compare to the other way - also with two outcomes - both likely and unlikely with no downsides to either.
No they have not been counted, they are just assumed that democrat ballots are for Obama and Republican votes are for Romney. Which historically has been pretty accurate as 90% tend to vote for their parties candidate. However, there was an interesting tidbit buried in yesterday's Washington Post Poll that showed Romney getting 97% of Republicans but Obama only getting 91% of democrats. If 3% of Republicans vote for Obama and 9% of democrats vote for Romney, then the early vote estimates may be overstating Obama's vote by 6%....
Anything is possible, and I do see when you get Rasmussen emails you get lots of ads for things maybe he is a sell out.
I doubt it, certainly hope Gallup is right. Anyway, the national tied number doesn’t mean much when you look at the state polls.
IF we really are tied or leading in Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Ohio - then the election is over, Obama won’t get to 50% in those states and many of them should have been his. I say IF.
The media wants a horse race.
Get ready for exit polling showing Zero ahead, but don’t believe a word of it. The press is setting up a claim of a stolen election should Romney win.
1. We were told on the day of the Wisconsin Recall that the exit polling showed the race was too close to call. We all know how that turned out. Here is the link
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/47699042/ns/politics/t/wisconsin-recall-election-too-close-call-after-polls-close/#.UJZ_L8U0WSo
2. We were told that Kerry was up 5 points in Ohio in the 2004 election. Bush won OH. Here is the link to a story that says the election was stolen by Bush because exit polling had Kerry up 53 to 47.
http://www.michaelparenti.org/stolenelections.html
It had crossed my mind, no one wants to throw their reputation down the toilet so they all stick to the neutral tie position. Would not surprise.
Lets see what Gallup says tomorrow.
If R turnout is high we win
********
Will this be the Chick-Fil-A election? Could be.
http://www.amstat.org/sections/srms/Proceedings/papers/1981_011.pdf
Agreed
He has been twisting his figures to keep Nate off his back and Axelrod .
Sad to see their ability to shut down all opponents !
This figure makes Fox happy because ratings will be high on Election Day coverage .
Factoring in dem voter fraud?
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.