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RASMUSSEN SUNDAY: O 49% R 49%... DEVELOPING....
Drudge Report ^

Posted on 11/04/2012 6:36:44 AM PST by Blue Turtle

RASMUSSEN SUNDAY: O 49% R 49%... DEVELOPING....

(Excerpt) Read more at drudgereport.com ...


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: 2012polls
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1 posted on 11/04/2012 6:36:46 AM PST by Blue Turtle
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To: Blue Turtle

This is likely to be his last poll.

Bottom line: O is still under 50%.


2 posted on 11/04/2012 6:38:11 AM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Blue Turtle

Oh lord please please please let this 4year nightmare go away!


3 posted on 11/04/2012 6:38:37 AM PST by GoCards (I am a Hobbit)
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To: Blue Turtle

No surprise.


4 posted on 11/04/2012 6:38:39 AM PST by CatOwner
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To: Blue Turtle

Oh lord please please please let this 4year nightmare go away!


5 posted on 11/04/2012 6:38:47 AM PST by GoCards (I am a Hobbit)
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To: Blue Turtle

RIIIIIGHT....After reading Michael Barone’s clinical analysis and Kevin DuJan’s more emotional and anecdotal stories, I see Romney beating Obama 55-45 (or even more).


6 posted on 11/04/2012 6:39:01 AM PST by MuttTheHoople (Pray for Joe Biden- Proverbs 29:9)
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To: Blue Turtle
Photobucket
7 posted on 11/04/2012 6:40:19 AM PST by ConservativeInPA (I advocate indentured servitude for the 47% until the national debt is eliminated.)
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To: MuttTheHoople
"After reading Michael Barone’s clinical analysis and Kevin DuJan’s more emotional and anecdotal stories, I see Romney beating Obama 55-45 (or even more)."

Not a chance. Romney may be the one who gets to 50, but no chance of 55.

8 posted on 11/04/2012 6:40:26 AM PST by CatOwner
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To: Blue Turtle

Ras sold out. Just ignore him. He’s been changing his polling samples for weeks now to keep the race tied. He’s just looking for attention.


9 posted on 11/04/2012 6:40:58 AM PST by BarnacleCenturion
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To: Blue Turtle

How can Romney be tied in or only slightly behind in traditionally blue states, be running away with red states and a bellweather like MO, and be tied nationally? It doesn’t make sense.


10 posted on 11/04/2012 6:41:50 AM PST by KansasGirl ("If you have a business, you didn't build that. Somebody else made that happen."--B. Hussein Obama)
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To: CatOwner

With yet another blue state poll (MI) showing Romney now taking a tiny lead it is hard to believe the national vote is so close, or that 0 would be ahead. But apparently it will be close. All we can do is hope for a last minute break to the challenger, like in 1980.


11 posted on 11/04/2012 6:42:27 AM PST by TNCMAXQ
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To: BarnacleCenturion

Starting to look like it. Hopefully Gallup comes out with Romney at +3 or higher.


12 posted on 11/04/2012 6:42:40 AM PST by CatOwner
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To: GoCards

AMEN!!!!!!!!!!!!!


13 posted on 11/04/2012 6:43:13 AM PST by pollywog ("O Thou who changest not, abide with me.".......)
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To: MuttTheHoople

I believe you are correct. Once Romeny wins this election, we must not rest until we have rid the Republican party of the RINO’s.


14 posted on 11/04/2012 6:43:38 AM PST by elephant
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To: Blue Turtle
TURNOUT IS EVERYTHING

FIND OUT WHO HAS NOT VOTED AND DRAG THEM TO THE POLLS IF YOU HAVE TO

I read an amazing study that showed that Democrap turnout is roughly the same every election. So it is Republican turnout that decides

If R turnout is high we win

And the 2008 was an anomaly -Obambi got the maximum number of votes he was ever going to get. He has no where to go but down.

15 posted on 11/04/2012 6:43:48 AM PST by Mr. K (What The World would hate more than the USA in charge is the USA NOT in charge")
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To: Blue Turtle

apparently this poll shows Romney up at 9-10% with indies, Obama does not win on that.


16 posted on 11/04/2012 6:44:19 AM PST by sunmars
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To: BarnacleCenturion

It would seem that pollsters have some big problems.

Maybe they are scared to take a stab at who the winner will be because they can no longer trust the people they poll to tell the truth....or else, they cannot predict the amount of cheating the dems are bound to do.


17 posted on 11/04/2012 6:44:22 AM PST by dforest
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To: CatOwner

I wonder what these Pollsters are going to say they missed in their Polling.


18 posted on 11/04/2012 6:44:31 AM PST by scooby321 (AMS)
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To: goldstategop

Rasmussen would not poll on Monday?


19 posted on 11/04/2012 6:47:04 AM PST by Perkalong
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To: KansasGirl
How can Romney be tied in or only slightly behind in traditionally blue states, be running away with red states and a bellweather like MO, and be tied nationally? It doesn’t make sense.

Actually , it makes more sense than the polls where Ras showed Romney leading the popular vote while trailing in the EV. If anything, it should be the other way around.

20 posted on 11/04/2012 6:47:19 AM PST by Sans-Culotte ( Pray for Obama- Psalm 109:8)
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To: Blue Turtle
             300 +
21 posted on 11/04/2012 6:47:26 AM PST by tomkat ( PAlabama '12 < < RR > > 300 +)
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To: Mr. K

Question? Have early votes actually been counted or are they assumed because voter affiliation? and what about the indies? How do they know how they voted.


22 posted on 11/04/2012 6:47:31 AM PST by GoCards (I am a Hobbit)
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To: scooby321

What did they say the morning after the 1980 election?


23 posted on 11/04/2012 6:47:31 AM PST by CaptainK (...please make it stop. Shake a can of pennies at it.)
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To: MuttTheHoople

You Don’t GET OUT THE VOTE, by being over confident.

I’m still making calls and knocking on doors!


24 posted on 11/04/2012 6:47:31 AM PST by G Larry (Which of Obama's policies do you think I'd support if he were white?)
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To: dforest

I think youre on to something there. No one wants to stick their neck out. Romney up 9 with indies is good enough for me.


25 posted on 11/04/2012 6:47:57 AM PST by Ravi
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To: Blue Turtle

Interesting as the final polls will be forthcoming today or tomorrow then we’ll see how they stack up against Tuesday vote. I think Gallup is trying to put one together to be released tomorrow.

The events up in the northeast has to be factored into their data gathering efforts.


26 posted on 11/04/2012 6:48:25 AM PST by deport
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To: Blue Turtle

I tend to believe this poll. Every national poll now shows the race to be deadlocked.

And I know it looked like Romney in a landslide just a week ago, but it appears Christie helped out Obozo just enough to close the gap.

However, the key is who will turn out?

To be tied going into the last day against an incumbent who cannot break 50% is a good thing. There is no question who has the enthusiasm on their side. That’s Team R/R.

I think it’ll be Romney 51-48 with well over 300 EVs (with surprises like PA and/or MI coming through).


27 posted on 11/04/2012 6:48:53 AM PST by nhwingut (Get out & Vote as if your life was on the line. Because it is.)
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To: sunmars

where do u see this?


28 posted on 11/04/2012 6:48:57 AM PST by StopDemocratsDotCom
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To: Perkalong

A lot of them drop their final polls today but i think Rasmussen does a complete round up tomorrow but as his polling center got whalloped by Sandy, he might just throw in the towel today with his final predictions.


29 posted on 11/04/2012 6:49:01 AM PST by sunmars
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To: BarnacleCenturion
Ras sold out. Just ignore him. He’s been changing his polling samples for weeks now to keep the race tied. He’s just looking for attention.

Oh BS. Ras is a solid pollster and fairly GOP friendly too. If he says the race is tied, it's probably tied.

30 posted on 11/04/2012 6:49:44 AM PST by Longbow1969
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To: Blue Turtle
I keep reminding myself of the turnout at Chic-fil-A a few months ago. I can't help my feeling that the turnout on our side is going to be of epic proportions. Do these idiots on the Left even factor in the Christian vote?
31 posted on 11/04/2012 6:49:44 AM PST by Artcore
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To: StopDemocratsDotCom

one of the GOP numbers guys on twitter dropped the info.


32 posted on 11/04/2012 6:49:54 AM PST by sunmars
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To: BarnacleCenturion
Rasmussen is practically begging for a new conservative pollster to burst onto the scene. Its not hard to place calls using computer telephony, and then to add up the numbers in a spreadsheet.
33 posted on 11/04/2012 6:50:36 AM PST by o2bfree (All us minorities got us an Obamaphone!!!)
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To: GoCards

No votes have been counted, its all a projection based on party affiliation. What the results do say is that dem early voting is way down from 08 though still ahead of pubbie early voting. This is not good news for the commie in chief.


34 posted on 11/04/2012 6:51:29 AM PST by HerrBlucher (Praise to the Lord the Almighty the King of Creation)
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To: sunmars

These pollsters are also going on party I’d while ignoring Romney gets more crossover than Obama.


35 posted on 11/04/2012 6:52:08 AM PST by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: Blue Turtle
First and last impressions are always the most important in influencing human decisons. I think the "revenge comment" is going to sway the tiny sliver of undecided moderates.

I think a lot of people are seeing Obama as one of the most vindictive leaders since Hitler and Stalin.

36 posted on 11/04/2012 6:52:18 AM PST by catfish1957 (My dream for hope and change is to see the punk POTUS in prison for treason)
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To: ConservativeInPA

Thanks for posting this graph. As they say in investing, the trend is your friend — and Romney’s got it.


37 posted on 11/04/2012 6:53:07 AM PST by Starboard
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To: Blue Turtle

This uptick for Obama is very annoying.


38 posted on 11/04/2012 6:53:17 AM PST by goodolemr
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To: scooby321

You know, this may seem weird, but I just got to thinking.

All of these polling outfits magically have it at the SAME numbers for both candidates in every poll.

48-48
49-49
50-50

Now, I’m no statistics major, but you cant flip a coin 10 times 4 times and get 5 heads and 5 tails over and over again, so how can you poll 1200 people 5 times in 5 different polls and get an even split over and over again? That is statistically impossible at this level.

So what it, just what if, these guys are all “standing down” as a bloc and putting out “dead even” polls as a group, not to try to keep the story “interesting”, although it does help them, but as a way to officially take “no position”, so to speak, on this so that if they are all totally wrong, they are totally wrong together or if they are right, they are all right together and thus will all have the same level of credibility for the next election. There are literally no other pollsters out there that people are going to turn to, so they all have a virtual monopoly on this and there is plenty of suckers... business to be had.


39 posted on 11/04/2012 6:53:17 AM PST by VanDeKoik
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To: Blue Turtle

Can’t believe im saying to myself, at least it’s tied. It wasn’t supposed to be this way.


40 posted on 11/04/2012 6:54:47 AM PST by Proudcongal
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To: dforest
Maybe they are scared to ...

They are just being pragmatic.

THey have some sense of where things will go, but are not sure, and need to balance risk versus gain.

They can slant things for Romney; if they are right, that's fine. If they are wrong, there will be recriminations from the regime's second term. Somewhat less risk, but chance of BIG Problems.

OR.... they can slant things for 0', much more likely they are wrong, but if they are indeed wrong, there will be no recriminations from Romney, and if they are right, there also are no recriminations from the regime's second term.

THus, one way has a two outcomes - the likely with no downside and the unlikely with BIG downside. Compare to the other way - also with two outcomes - both likely and unlikely with no downsides to either.

41 posted on 11/04/2012 6:55:17 AM PST by C210N ("ask not what the candidate can do for you, ask what you can do for the candidate" (Breitbart, 2012))
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To: GoCards
Question? Have early votes actually been counted or are they assumed because voter affiliation? and what about the indies? How do they know how they voted.

No they have not been counted, they are just assumed that democrat ballots are for Obama and Republican votes are for Romney. Which historically has been pretty accurate as 90% tend to vote for their parties candidate. However, there was an interesting tidbit buried in yesterday's Washington Post Poll that showed Romney getting 97% of Republicans but Obama only getting 91% of democrats. If 3% of Republicans vote for Obama and 9% of democrats vote for Romney, then the early vote estimates may be overstating Obama's vote by 6%....

42 posted on 11/04/2012 6:55:30 AM PST by apillar
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To: BarnacleCenturion

Anything is possible, and I do see when you get Rasmussen emails you get lots of ads for things maybe he is a sell out.

I doubt it, certainly hope Gallup is right. Anyway, the national tied number doesn’t mean much when you look at the state polls.

IF we really are tied or leading in Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Ohio - then the election is over, Obama won’t get to 50% in those states and many of them should have been his. I say IF.


43 posted on 11/04/2012 6:55:44 AM PST by Williams (No Obama)
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To: Blue Turtle

The media wants a horse race.
Get ready for exit polling showing Zero ahead, but don’t believe a word of it. The press is setting up a claim of a stolen election should Romney win.

1. We were told on the day of the Wisconsin Recall that the exit polling showed the race was too close to call. We all know how that turned out. Here is the link
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/47699042/ns/politics/t/wisconsin-recall-election-too-close-call-after-polls-close/#.UJZ_L8U0WSo

2. We were told that Kerry was up 5 points in Ohio in the 2004 election. Bush won OH. Here is the link to a story that says the election was stolen by Bush because exit polling had Kerry up 53 to 47.
http://www.michaelparenti.org/stolenelections.html


44 posted on 11/04/2012 6:56:15 AM PST by ShovelThemOut
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To: VanDeKoik

It had crossed my mind, no one wants to throw their reputation down the toilet so they all stick to the neutral tie position. Would not surprise.

Lets see what Gallup says tomorrow.


45 posted on 11/04/2012 6:56:31 AM PST by sunmars
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To: Mr. K

If R turnout is high we win
********
Will this be the Chick-Fil-A election? Could be.


46 posted on 11/04/2012 6:57:43 AM PST by Starboard
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To: Blue Turtle
There may need to be an update of this paper done in 1980 on the Reagan victory and how polling did not accurately reflect the huge victory. Reading the first page it is like 2012 dejavu.

http://www.amstat.org/sections/srms/Proceedings/papers/1981_011.pdf

47 posted on 11/04/2012 6:58:01 AM PST by ScottinSacto (Liberals support abortion on demand and gay marriage....sounds like a great strategic plan!)
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To: Proudcongal
Can’t believe im saying to myself, at least it’s tied. It wasn’t supposed to be this way.

Exactly. We need to change our outlook. We would have died for this outcome (deadlocked with a day or so to go), a month ago.

It reminds me of a football game when we were blowing out the other team, only to see them catch up in the 2nd half. But we have the ball with about 2 minutes to go. We can do this!
48 posted on 11/04/2012 6:58:09 AM PST by nhwingut (Get out & Vote as if your life was on the line. Because it is.)
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To: BarnacleCenturion

Agreed
He has been twisting his figures to keep Nate off his back and Axelrod .
Sad to see their ability to shut down all opponents !
This figure makes Fox happy because ratings will be high on Election Day coverage .


49 posted on 11/04/2012 6:58:17 AM PST by ncalburt (Axelrod Psych OPS has gone to 24/7 non stop - "The election is over " status until Nov)
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To: Blue Turtle

Factoring in dem voter fraud?


50 posted on 11/04/2012 6:58:52 AM PST by Toespi
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