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Election Prediction Thread - PV and EC (Vanity)
tatown | 11/3 | tatown

Posted on 11/03/2008 3:45:01 PM PST by tatown

This is a thread for everyone to make their election prediction in terms of Popular Vote and Electoral College.


TOPICS: Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: election; prediction
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To: tatown

Popular vote:
McCain - 49.2%
Obama - 49.1%

Electoral college:
McCain - 269
Obama - 269

Goes to House of Reps in January and they pick Obama.

Obama indicted by Fitzgerald after HoR vote; Obama signs letter to make Biden President until he is acquitted; Pelosi whacks Biden and takes the Oval. Obama convicted. Riots in the streets. Election stolen!

It would make a good book, eh?


21 posted on 11/03/2008 4:11:50 PM PST by RandyRep (Winning is the ONLY responsible option in Iraq and Afghanistan.)
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To: nwrep

Concede at 8 pm EST? Before the west has finished voting?


22 posted on 11/03/2008 4:11:50 PM PST by HungarianGypsy
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To: tatown

Obama 49.1%
McCain 48.5%

Obama 253
McCain 285

Won’t know until Wednesday mid-day at least.


23 posted on 11/03/2008 4:12:07 PM PST by Tuxedo ((((--- In Stereo Where Available ---))))
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To: tatown
My prediction is below, with one exception. I think McCain will pick up 1 EV from Maine, making the totals McCain - 307, 0bama - 231.

For popular vote, I'm going with McCain 51%, Zero 48.6%, Third Party/Write-in 0.4%.

24 posted on 11/03/2008 4:14:01 PM PST by Jen (I am Sarah Palin and my husband is Joe the Plumber.)
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To: tatown

PV: McCain 51.5, Obama 48.2

EC: McCain 321 (all Bush states, PLUS NH, PENNS, & MINN), Obama: 217


25 posted on 11/03/2008 4:15:56 PM PST by Alas Babylon!
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To: tatown
MAC 285 Take PA, VA, OH and Fl loses CO
NOBAMA 252

MAC 49.1%
O 49.6%

Sen Dems 57
House Dems +20

26 posted on 11/03/2008 4:19:45 PM PST by The Klingon
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To: HungarianGypsy

If he loses FL or VA, and then loses PA, it will be over.


27 posted on 11/03/2008 4:22:14 PM PST by nwrep
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To: tatown

M-49.5%, O-49.5%

M-254, O-284


28 posted on 11/03/2008 4:22:53 PM PST by mhx
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To: mhx

McCain 53.2 Obama 45.7

EV: McCain 332


29 posted on 11/03/2008 4:24:48 PM PST by word_warrior_bob (You can now see my amazing doggie and new puppy on my homepage!! Come say hello to Jake & Sonny)
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To: tatown

McCain 335 52%

Obama 203 48%


30 posted on 11/03/2008 4:26:31 PM PST by John W (McCain 335, Obama 203)
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To: tatown
M-47.5%, O-50.9%

M-229, O-309

BTW, FR is creeping tonight.

31 posted on 11/03/2008 4:27:53 PM PST by paul544 (3D-Joy OH Boy!!!)
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To: tatown

M - 50.3%, 299 EV
O - 48.8%, 239 EV

NM and IA flip to 0bama, PA and NH flip to Mac.

Most likely to be wrong about Mac keeping CO and 0bama keeping WI.

NC - M +4
VA - M +1
OH - M +2
PA - M +1
IN - M +8
FL - M +3
MO - M +4
CO - M +1
NV - M +2
NH - M +2

IA - O +3
MN - O +4
WI - O +1
NM - O +5
ME(2) - O +3
ME(whole) - O +5
CA - O +10


32 posted on 11/03/2008 4:28:35 PM PST by Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus (Nihil utile nisi quod honestum - Marcus Tullius Cicero)
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To: nwrep
“If he loses FL or VA, and then loses PA, it will be over.”

If he loses Florida it's over, but thanks to Joe Biden and Jack Murtha, Pa. looks more likely to me than Va.

33 posted on 11/03/2008 4:30:37 PM PST by jpf (World Champion Phillies!)
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To: nwrep
M- 200, 47% Popular vote O - 338, 51.5% popular vote McCain concedes at 8PM EST.

Your numbers are certainly plausible, but I really don't see McCain conceding the race that early even in that scenario.

34 posted on 11/03/2008 4:34:39 PM PST by bcatwilly (West Virginia is McCain-Palin Country!)
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To: tatown
M-535
O-3

:-)

35 posted on 11/03/2008 4:35:06 PM PST by justlurking (The only remedy for a bad guy with a gun is a good guy with a gun.)
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To: justlurking

M-535
O-3
:-)

_________

That’s only with a McCain/Palin/Ditka ticket.

Ditka decided to spot Obama a Washington D.C. field goal before the election, that’s how they got 3.


36 posted on 11/03/2008 4:37:27 PM PST by word_warrior_bob (You can now see my amazing doggie and new puppy on my homepage!! Come say hello to Jake & Sonny)
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To: tatown

O-279 M- 259 :(


37 posted on 11/03/2008 4:39:43 PM PST by catfish1957 (Hey algore...You'll have to pry the steering wheel of my 317 HP V8 truck from my cold dead hands)
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To: bcatwilly
" but I really don't see McCain conceding the race that early even in that scenario.

I agree. Mccain knows better than to sabotage west coast Republican turnout by an early concession.

38 posted on 11/03/2008 4:42:28 PM PST by catfish1957 (Hey algore...You'll have to pry the steering wheel of my 317 HP V8 truck from my cold dead hands)
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To: tatown

m 270
o 268
m 48.5
o 49.3


39 posted on 11/03/2008 4:44:02 PM PST by RTF1979
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To: RTF1979

I don’t know, not a clue.

But if Obama loses there will be endless recounts, litigation that will make the last recount look like a church picnic.

If McCain loses by one EV, he will concede and not demand a recount or sue anyone.

People forget the heroics of GWB during the time of that election,,I will never forget James Baker and Olsen and his entire team.


40 posted on 11/03/2008 5:01:07 PM PST by cajungirl (no)
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