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Election Prediction Thread - PV and EC (Vanity)
tatown | 11/3 | tatown

Posted on 11/03/2008 3:45:01 PM PST by tatown

This is a thread for everyone to make their election prediction in terms of Popular Vote and Electoral College.


TOPICS: Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: election; prediction
I'll start out:

M-49.5%, O-48.7%

M-273, O-265

1 posted on 11/03/2008 3:45:06 PM PST by tatown
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To: kesg; LS; Perdogg; Chet 99; impeachedrapist; HamiltonJay

Ping


2 posted on 11/03/2008 3:47:49 PM PST by tatown
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To: tatown

M-49.2%, O-48.9%

M-270, O-268


3 posted on 11/03/2008 3:48:00 PM PST by icwhatudo (PALIN VID=========>>>>>http://www.overstream.net/view.php?oid=n1ronxelmtin<++++++++)
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To: tatown

I have no clue, but I pray you are correct.


4 posted on 11/03/2008 3:50:05 PM PST by Wisconsinlady
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To: tatown

M-274 O-264

O wins popular vote by 4 million.

If Obama pulls out a win.
My tagline changes to: “11/4/08. The day America jumped the shark”


5 posted on 11/03/2008 3:50:52 PM PST by wilco200 (Typical White Person)
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To: tatown

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/2114385/posts

McCain 309(50.3%)
Obama 229 (49.5%)
Barr 0
Nader 0
Baldwin 0
McKinney 0


6 posted on 11/03/2008 3:51:41 PM PST by Perdogg (John McCain for President)
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To: tatown

M-227 O-311

M-47.5% O-51.5%

i wish i could be as optimistic as other freepers. i pray i’m wrong.


7 posted on 11/03/2008 3:54:40 PM PST by philsfan24
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To: icwhatudo

NH and ME-2 flip red, O takes Iowa, NM, and CO. I agree!

Lots of prayers tonight. Eternal Father Strong to Save... let’s win it for the old sailor Mac the Knife.


8 posted on 11/03/2008 3:55:45 PM PST by Massghanistani
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To: tatown

I think Mac will win all of the Bush states except for NM. I think he’ll win PA. That’s what I think, um hmm


9 posted on 11/03/2008 3:55:59 PM PST by SaintDismas (Starting to regret the handle I chose for this forum)
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To: tatown

M 278
O 260
I’ll go 49.0-49.9% O
~48% M
Just my view


10 posted on 11/03/2008 3:56:47 PM PST by fortunate sun (Hand out the arms and ammo, We're going to blast our way through here)
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To: tatown

McCain 273
Obama 265

McCain upset in PA (less than 1%) wins OH (1%) FL (1%), MO (2%), NV (2%), IN (2%)... Obama wins VA by 1%, wins CO by 3% ...
Obama wins popular vote by around 1,000,000 with huge disparities in CA, NY, IL, MA, CT ...
Long election night ...
Challenges pending in PA, OH and FL ...
Republican counter challenge in VA possible ...
It’s going to be ugly folks ...
Repeat of 2000, but which way will the disputed states turn? That’s the question ...
Dems fall short of 60 senate seats with 58 ... Mitch McConnell wins in Kentucky ...
This is what I see in the crystal ball ...
I picked the Giants to beat the Patriots in the Super Bowl in that upset, maybe I will be right this time, too.


11 posted on 11/03/2008 3:59:27 PM PST by chippewaman
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To: tatown

M 49% O 48%
M 280 O 258


12 posted on 11/03/2008 3:59:42 PM PST by Petronski (Please pray for the success of McCain and Palin. Every day, whenever you pray.)
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To: tatown

M-50.2%, O-48.1%

M-304, O-234


13 posted on 11/03/2008 4:00:28 PM PST by Momaw Nadon ("...with the ultimate goal of ending tyranny in our world.")
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To: chippewaman

Damn your scenerio sounds like a nightmare...lol.


14 posted on 11/03/2008 4:02:43 PM PST by tatown
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To: tatown

I know I’m a wet blanket:

O: 50.9
M: 48.1

O: 291
M: 247


15 posted on 11/03/2008 4:03:32 PM PST by PropMan
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To: tatown
Obama/Biden 50.6% 266 Ev votes

McCain/Palin 47.8% 272 Ev votes

And then all hell breaks loose.

16 posted on 11/03/2008 4:04:56 PM PST by jpf (World Champion Phillies!)
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To: PropMan

I was actually thing more along the lines of...”turd”.

~teasing~


17 posted on 11/03/2008 4:05:05 PM PST by tatown
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To: PropMan

I was actually thinking more along the lines of...”turd”.

~teasing~


18 posted on 11/03/2008 4:05:15 PM PST by tatown
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To: Momaw Nadon

I like yours the best! I want to say McCain 54% but I think I’m overly optimistic.


19 posted on 11/03/2008 4:05:15 PM PST by sarasota
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To: tatown
M- 200, 47% Popular vote

O - 338, 51.5% popular vote

McCain concedes at 8PM EST.

20 posted on 11/03/2008 4:07:56 PM PST by nwrep
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To: tatown

Popular vote:
McCain - 49.2%
Obama - 49.1%

Electoral college:
McCain - 269
Obama - 269

Goes to House of Reps in January and they pick Obama.

Obama indicted by Fitzgerald after HoR vote; Obama signs letter to make Biden President until he is acquitted; Pelosi whacks Biden and takes the Oval. Obama convicted. Riots in the streets. Election stolen!

It would make a good book, eh?


21 posted on 11/03/2008 4:11:50 PM PST by RandyRep (Winning is the ONLY responsible option in Iraq and Afghanistan.)
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To: nwrep

Concede at 8 pm EST? Before the west has finished voting?


22 posted on 11/03/2008 4:11:50 PM PST by HungarianGypsy
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To: tatown

Obama 49.1%
McCain 48.5%

Obama 253
McCain 285

Won’t know until Wednesday mid-day at least.


23 posted on 11/03/2008 4:12:07 PM PST by Tuxedo ((((--- In Stereo Where Available ---))))
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To: tatown
My prediction is below, with one exception. I think McCain will pick up 1 EV from Maine, making the totals McCain - 307, 0bama - 231.

For popular vote, I'm going with McCain 51%, Zero 48.6%, Third Party/Write-in 0.4%.

24 posted on 11/03/2008 4:14:01 PM PST by Jen (I am Sarah Palin and my husband is Joe the Plumber.)
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To: tatown

PV: McCain 51.5, Obama 48.2

EC: McCain 321 (all Bush states, PLUS NH, PENNS, & MINN), Obama: 217


25 posted on 11/03/2008 4:15:56 PM PST by Alas Babylon!
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To: tatown
MAC 285 Take PA, VA, OH and Fl loses CO
NOBAMA 252

MAC 49.1%
O 49.6%

Sen Dems 57
House Dems +20

26 posted on 11/03/2008 4:19:45 PM PST by The Klingon
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To: HungarianGypsy

If he loses FL or VA, and then loses PA, it will be over.


27 posted on 11/03/2008 4:22:14 PM PST by nwrep
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To: tatown

M-49.5%, O-49.5%

M-254, O-284


28 posted on 11/03/2008 4:22:53 PM PST by mhx
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To: mhx

McCain 53.2 Obama 45.7

EV: McCain 332


29 posted on 11/03/2008 4:24:48 PM PST by word_warrior_bob (You can now see my amazing doggie and new puppy on my homepage!! Come say hello to Jake & Sonny)
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To: tatown

McCain 335 52%

Obama 203 48%


30 posted on 11/03/2008 4:26:31 PM PST by John W (McCain 335, Obama 203)
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To: tatown
M-47.5%, O-50.9%

M-229, O-309

BTW, FR is creeping tonight.

31 posted on 11/03/2008 4:27:53 PM PST by paul544 (3D-Joy OH Boy!!!)
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To: tatown

M - 50.3%, 299 EV
O - 48.8%, 239 EV

NM and IA flip to 0bama, PA and NH flip to Mac.

Most likely to be wrong about Mac keeping CO and 0bama keeping WI.

NC - M +4
VA - M +1
OH - M +2
PA - M +1
IN - M +8
FL - M +3
MO - M +4
CO - M +1
NV - M +2
NH - M +2

IA - O +3
MN - O +4
WI - O +1
NM - O +5
ME(2) - O +3
ME(whole) - O +5
CA - O +10


32 posted on 11/03/2008 4:28:35 PM PST by Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus (Nihil utile nisi quod honestum - Marcus Tullius Cicero)
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To: nwrep
“If he loses FL or VA, and then loses PA, it will be over.”

If he loses Florida it's over, but thanks to Joe Biden and Jack Murtha, Pa. looks more likely to me than Va.

33 posted on 11/03/2008 4:30:37 PM PST by jpf (World Champion Phillies!)
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To: nwrep
M- 200, 47% Popular vote O - 338, 51.5% popular vote McCain concedes at 8PM EST.

Your numbers are certainly plausible, but I really don't see McCain conceding the race that early even in that scenario.

34 posted on 11/03/2008 4:34:39 PM PST by bcatwilly (West Virginia is McCain-Palin Country!)
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To: tatown
M-535
O-3

:-)

35 posted on 11/03/2008 4:35:06 PM PST by justlurking (The only remedy for a bad guy with a gun is a good guy with a gun.)
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To: justlurking

M-535
O-3
:-)

_________

That’s only with a McCain/Palin/Ditka ticket.

Ditka decided to spot Obama a Washington D.C. field goal before the election, that’s how they got 3.


36 posted on 11/03/2008 4:37:27 PM PST by word_warrior_bob (You can now see my amazing doggie and new puppy on my homepage!! Come say hello to Jake & Sonny)
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To: tatown

O-279 M- 259 :(


37 posted on 11/03/2008 4:39:43 PM PST by catfish1957 (Hey algore...You'll have to pry the steering wheel of my 317 HP V8 truck from my cold dead hands)
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To: bcatwilly
" but I really don't see McCain conceding the race that early even in that scenario.

I agree. Mccain knows better than to sabotage west coast Republican turnout by an early concession.

38 posted on 11/03/2008 4:42:28 PM PST by catfish1957 (Hey algore...You'll have to pry the steering wheel of my 317 HP V8 truck from my cold dead hands)
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To: tatown

m 270
o 268
m 48.5
o 49.3


39 posted on 11/03/2008 4:44:02 PM PST by RTF1979
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To: RTF1979

I don’t know, not a clue.

But if Obama loses there will be endless recounts, litigation that will make the last recount look like a church picnic.

If McCain loses by one EV, he will concede and not demand a recount or sue anyone.

People forget the heroics of GWB during the time of that election,,I will never forget James Baker and Olsen and his entire team.


40 posted on 11/03/2008 5:01:07 PM PST by cajungirl (no)
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To: tatown

PV does not matter.

McCain gets 308 ev.


41 posted on 11/03/2008 5:05:10 PM PST by Jet Jaguar (Who would the terrorists vote for?)
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To: tatown
O-51%/M-47%

O-291/M-243

Hopefully I am wrong...but if not...may we clean house and never nominate another "centrist/moderate" again.

42 posted on 11/03/2008 5:34:59 PM PST by NELSON111
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To: tatown

McCain 48.9%
Obama 49.6%

McCain 271 EVs
Obama 267 EVs

BOOK IT!


43 posted on 11/03/2008 5:39:24 PM PST by jokyfo ("OBAMA" is Arabic for "CIPHER" and Farsi for "VACUUM")
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To: tatown
Hussein - 311

McCain - 227

Screw the popular vote.

Wednesday buying Anheuser-Busch, Molson Coors, Brown-Forman, Diageo, Sturm, Ruger & Co. Inc, Smith & Wesson Holding Corp. and other potential alcohol and firearms manufacturers.

44 posted on 11/03/2008 5:51:44 PM PST by rollo tomasi (Working hard to pay for deadbeats and corrupt politicians.)
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To: rollo tomasi

Buy the stock of whomever makes Mossberg shotguns, and Remington, if the little Marxist squirrel wins on Tuesday. If he is not the winner on Tuesday it will be January before the ultimate winner is declared. Ain’t that encouraging, to have Pelosi and company declaring the winner ... I’m sure the several cities will no longer be smoldering from riot fires by then and she will argue the election must be given to Obama to avoid renewed rioting.


45 posted on 11/03/2008 5:56:52 PM PST by MHGinTN (Believing they cannot be deceived, they cannot be convinced when they are deceived.)
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To: tatown

EV O-341 M-197
PV Obama by 4 million

Hate it but this is my best guess.


46 posted on 11/03/2008 6:55:25 PM PST by brydic1
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To: All
As much as I hate it

Hussein 51, McCain 46

EC - Hussein 310, McCain 228

47 posted on 11/03/2008 7:46:38 PM PST by NYC Republican (PLENTY of time for analysis/I-told-you-so in 2 days. Now, Infuriate the MSM--- Support McCain/Palin)
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To: tatown

Popular Vote: 65% for McCain, 30% for Obama, 5% Others.

Electoral College Vote: 535 for McCain, 3 for Obama.

Why? Because once inside the voting booth, many voters will stop and recall that this Nation was built by Entrepreneurs who started Cottage Industries which developed into full-blown Manufacturing Plants. It wasn’t built on greed and corruption. It wasn’t built on “the dole.” Why, I recall a time in US History when a man would rather work the most menial job than to take money and not work for it.


48 posted on 11/03/2008 8:02:44 PM PST by HighlyOpinionated (All You Need is Money [Soros] and a Candidate Who Can Be Coached to Look Sincere [Obama]. A. Huxley)
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To: NYC Republican

For once, unfortunately, you are probably correct.


49 posted on 11/04/2008 12:49:54 AM PST by period end of story
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To: period end of story

That’s the one time I wish I was wrong


50 posted on 11/05/2008 6:46:47 PM PST by NYC Republican (This Too Shall Pass- in 8 years.. how much destruction will they create?)
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