Posted on 07/12/2015 12:35:31 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
As I have noted, I never bet more than a six-pack on politics. That keeps it at a level that is fun but not serious.
In that regard, I made a bet last spring with state Senator Mike Doherty over whether Chris Christie would formally enter the race for the 2016 Republican presidential nomination.
I said yes. Mike said no.
Frankly I was a bit surprised. Mike is a conservative Republican from Warren County who has been quite outspoken in his assessment of Christie's overbearing ego and ambition. I thought he of all people would predict that Christie would make a bid for the most important job on the planet.
But as you can see from the photo above, he took the wrong side of that bet. When Mike and his wife Linda visited Spring Lake last week I met him to collect my six-pack of Dogfish Head 60-Minute IPA.
It's quite delicious. I'm looking forward to winning more such bets.
In that spirit, I'm inviting readers to comment on how they would handicap a couple of candidacies. One is Christie's, of course. And the other is Donald Trump's run for the Republican nomination.
Here's how I would bet. When it comes to Trump, I'd invest 72 ounces of suds in the notion that he's not in it for the long haul.
My guess is that he's going to have his fun for a bit longer, perhaps through the August Fox News debate, and then think better of the notion.
At the moment he's riding high in the polls, but that doesn't mean much. Around this time in the last cycle Herman Cain was doing great in the polls. But those early polls are meaningless. To get actual voters to the actual polls requires a big organization....
(Excerpt) Read more at nj.com ...
Trump will last as long as Jeb and the GOPE need him to, in order to keep those pesky conservatives distracted.
Just one question, how does one collect an on line bet of a six pack?
We’ll know f he starts sending money on that organization
FedEx?
sixer no sixer I love what he is doing to the apple cart.......Hope he keeps it up?
Good question. If it were money, you could just fax it.
You don’t know who I am? LOL
yer call.....there are plenty of freeper functions where those that choose to get together
Trumps the cats meow at this point. Being #1 and that he’s lost a little business $ through media deceit means he’s got skin in the game. I say his ego spurs him on. Heifenweisen (pale citrus) for my sixer.
I’ve felt all along Trump is not in it for the long haul, although I think he is absolutely necessary right now and through the debates and some of the primaries. I think late in the game he will throw his support to someone like Cruz or Walker. Especially if it looks like a chance he would not be the nominee himself. I don’t think he would have any interest in being 2nd on the ticket. I think he cares deeply about turning the country around and defeating Hillary and Jeb, the cabal in other words.
That comment, “To get voters to the polls requires a big organization,” is correct.
That is one reason why Mitt Romney lost in 2012. The people who are the ‘foot solders’ of the conservative political movement in this country, who get the Republican voters to the polls, Romney never reached out to them. He shunned Palin and all fundamental Christians.
Trump will not make that mistake, as he is not so arrogant as Romney. The Donald will ask everyone who agrees with him to vote for him for President.
Will I take this bet? No, I don’t drink beer.
He may be comfortable in front of the cameras, but the man is a political infant. Get him into a debate and he will make Governor Mumbles Rick Perry look like a seasoned veteran.
Go to his campaign website. Today it's a very dignified and factual biography that states many accomplishments which show that he is totally qualified to be President.
Herm Cain’s campaign was scuttled due to allegations of sexual harassment....Trump has been around long enough that you would think something like that would have come out long before now.
Now, yes, they’ll try to destroy him every time he says something controversial. He recovered quite nicely on the immigration issue.
Same
He’ll stay.
He’s the klown candidate and he does indeed keep the base, whoever they are, and the press distracted by going after simple, popular issues - but without bothering to offer a solution.
When the going gets rough, he’ll get going...away. That’s what he did in NYC during his very brief run for Mayor (where he actually would have been good).
The primary period is for sorting out, but every time we go through this the initial leader turns out to be some total loser, such as Herman Cain, who gets ahead by blustering and portraying himself as just a humble man and not a politician. So that means that we will, as usual, end up with the most RINO of all (probably Bush).
Trump has said some things that need to be said (attacking Obama’s wide open borders policy) but he blew it by attacking Mexicans who are not the major problem and could easily be eliminated by enforcement, since this guy had been picked up 5 times, was a felon, etc. This “sanctuary city” stuff has got to go away - believe me, if they were “sanctuary cities” for persecuted Christians, they’d be gone in a heartbeat. So it can be done, but Obama encourages leftist illegality.
The legal immigrants turned illegal cause the biggest problems: remember that most of the Tsarnaevs were illegals, because they had first been admitted LEGALLY and then overstayed their visas. They were admitted as Muslim refugees fleeing the evil persecution of Putin. This was just an excuse, because they had anti-Western terrorist connections up one side and down the other and the Russians had even warned us about them, but they’re clearly the type that Obama likes.
We need to review all of our immigration policies and the quotas, but Trump isn’t interested in doing the hard stuff.
If Trump really had any guts, he’d take on the LEGAL immigration problems.
As long as the game stays challenging, Trump will stick. I think he really wants to wash Bush out along with Rubio. Give him credit for speaking the “peoples” language. We are fed up with Establishment types. I think he will bring MORE people into the Republican tent who have failed to vote because of the candidates being the same old, same old......At least he offers HOPE to save this country. We, the People, are tired of contributing, working ourselves to death, fighting the battles to win the elections only to be SOLD OUT as soon as elections are over. The fact is,Rubio is a point man for Bush who has already been selected by the Republican party. I’m a Floridian and WILL NOT VOTE for either one! I’m tired of voting for the lesser of two evils and so are a lot of other people. Trump (and Cruz) still show a spark to people dying of frostbite.
I don’t drink Beer and never have. Are you offering a nice bottle of wine or cognac?
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.