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Sea Level Rise: Climate Change and an Ocean of Natural Variability
Watts Up With That ^ | September 20, 2013 | Steve Goreham

Posted on 09/21/2013 5:43:30 PM PDT by Rocky

Today, leading scientific organizations support the idea that the ocean level is rising due to man-made emissions. Further, they claim to be able to measure ocean level to a high degree of accuracy. But a look at natural ocean variation shows that official sea level measurements are nonsense.

------------ (snip) --------------

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change stated in 2007, “Global average sea level rose at an average rate of 1.8 mm per year over 1961 to 2003. The rate was faster over 1993 to 2003: about 3.1 mm per year.” This translates to a 100-year rise of only 7 inches and 12 inches, far below the dire predictions of the climate alarmists.

But three millimeters is about the thickness of two dimes. Can scientists really measure a change in sea level over the course of a year, averaged across the world, which is two dimes thick?

-------------- (snip) ---------------------

Given the huge natural variation in global sea level, the three millimeter number is incredible. The fact that four different organizations have arrived at the same number is suspect.

As Dr. Willie Soon of Harvard shows, ocean level variation is large and affected by many factors. If temperatures rise, water expands, adding to sea level rise. If icecaps melt, levels rise, but if icecaps grow due to increased snowfall, levels fall. If ocean saltiness changes, the water volume will also change.

--------------- (snip) -----------------

Clearly, the official three millimeter sea level rise number is a product of scientific “group think.” Not only is this number far below what can be accurately measured, but all leading organizations support this nonsense number. Could it be that our leading scientists must endorse sea-level rise to support the ideology of man-made global warming?

(Excerpt) Read more at wattsupwiththat.com ...


TOPICS: Science
KEYWORDS: globalwarming
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The article lists several good reasons to doubt the accuracy of annual sea level rise measurements.

Water levels change due to water temperature, salt content, ice cap extent, land movements (lifting, subsidence, tectonics), tides, waves, wind. Satellites have errors of 1-2 cm, and yet supposedly measure annual change of 0.3 mm.

Why do several government agencies agree on the number? Is it collusion?

1 posted on 09/21/2013 5:43:30 PM PDT by Rocky
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To: Rocky

{ But a look at natural ocean variation shows that official sea level measurements are nonsense. ]

True. What is an even more fallacious and long termed belief is that shorelines change because the ocean is getting larger or smaller.

On the overall scale, the ocean is as smooth and uniform as a glass ball, while the land it surrounds is what moves up and down like a fishing bobber.


2 posted on 09/21/2013 5:51:43 PM PDT by UCANSEE2 (The monsters are due on Maple Street)
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To: Rocky
Why do several government agencies agree on the number?

Because consensus nets you more money than disagreement.

3 posted on 09/21/2013 5:53:23 PM PDT by UCANSEE2 (The monsters are due on Maple Street)
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To: Rocky
yet supposedly measure annual change of 0.3 mm.

Sorry, that should read "3 mm," not 0.3 mm.

4 posted on 09/21/2013 5:54:25 PM PDT by Rocky (Obama is pure evil.)
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To: Rocky

Hussein got elected and sea levels stopped rising. The goofball scientists who voted for the Kenyan should put it in their report.


5 posted on 09/21/2013 5:59:25 PM PDT by Libloather (The epitome of civility.)
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To: Rocky

http://www.21stcenturysciencetech.com/Articles%202007/MornerInterview.pdf

A rise in global sea level must, absolutely must, change the Earth’s rotation rate. This luckily is something we can do with considerable precision.


6 posted on 09/21/2013 6:01:13 PM PDT by DBrow
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To: Rocky
Could it be that our leading scientists must endorse sea-level rise to support the ideology of man-made global warming?

Not if they're real scientists; pseudo-scientists, however can endorse all manner of ludicrous propositions.

7 posted on 09/21/2013 6:09:19 PM PDT by Standing Wolf (No tyrant should ever be allowed to die of natural causes.)
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To: DBrow

Great article. Thanks for the link.


8 posted on 09/21/2013 6:23:01 PM PDT by Rocky (Obama is pure evil.)
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To: DBrow

Global warming is a hoax

The Sun ‘s solar cycles are starting to be the quietest in a century . so that means the Earth will cool in the coming decades. Google solar cycle 24 and solar cycle 25

It’s going to be a cold winter. so turn up your heaters you dumb democrats


9 posted on 09/21/2013 6:32:34 PM PDT by Democrat_media (IRS rigged election for Obama and democrats by shutting down tea party)
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To: Rocky
A scientific hypothesis must state a specific mechanism that can be falsified by testing or observation of physical data. When someone like Michael Mann goes out and says CO2 will lead to a vague and general "climate chaos", he is not acting like a scientist. And his idea is unscientific.
10 posted on 09/21/2013 6:50:54 PM PDT by R7 Rocket (The Cathedral is Sovereign, you're not. Unfortunately, the Cathedral is crazy.)
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To: Rocky

I am not a global warming hoax denier.


11 posted on 09/21/2013 7:14:04 PM PDT by preacher (I am not a global warming hoax denier.)
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To: Rocky

I am no scientist, but I know one thing.

There isn’t a freaking thing man can do about the Oceans rising.


12 posted on 09/21/2013 7:43:13 PM PDT by Venturer ( cowardice posturing as tolerance =political correctness)
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To: Rocky
If icecaps melt, levels rise, but if icecaps grow due to increased snowfall, levels fall.

is this true ? aren't icecaps generally over land ? why would levels fall ?
13 posted on 09/21/2013 8:46:52 PM PDT by stylin19a (Obama -> Fredo smart)
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To: Rocky

Climate is controlled by multiple variables, some so subtle that we don’t even know for sure what they all are - most, like cloud cover, we have no reliable way of measuring or relating in any consistent manner to actual climate variability - beyond simple one-to-one correspondence, we don’t know how the many variables interact with and affect each other, and how those interactions would in turn relate to climate change - most of the variables we do know of are not controllable so that it is virtually impossible to conduct predictive or replicative studies on the climate - - the doctrine of man-made climate change is a fantasy and a scam in search of a few data-points to prop it up......


14 posted on 09/21/2013 9:12:06 PM PDT by Intolerant in NJ
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To: DBrow

Excellent article!

Thanks for posting.


15 posted on 09/21/2013 9:17:54 PM PDT by BwanaNdege ("Life is short. It's even shorter if you suggest going out for pizza on your anniversary" Peter Egan)
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To: stylin19a
"If icecaps melt, levels rise, but if icecaps grow due to increased snowfall, levels fall."
is this true ? aren't icecaps generally over land ? why would levels fall ?

Because water is removed from the oceans and stored as ice on land.

16 posted on 09/21/2013 10:52:50 PM PDT by CedarDave (Benghazi victim's mom: "Hillary doesn't give a damn about you.")
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To: stylin19a

Plus, if extremely large volumes of water are tied up in glaciers, the land will subside due to the mass. Any nearby measurements of land surface would show the ocean rising which would be an erroneous conclusion.


17 posted on 09/21/2013 11:00:36 PM PDT by CedarDave (Benghazi victim's mom: "Hillary doesn't give a damn about you.")
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To: Rocky
Today, leading scientific organizations support the idea that the ocean level is rising due to man-made emissions. Further, they claim to be able to measure ocean level to a high degree of accuracy.

You mean these "leading scientific organizations" have never seen the gravimetric surface of the earth?

Measuring Sea Level Changes to a few millimeters?

I am just unreasonably skeptical.

18 posted on 09/21/2013 11:27:02 PM PDT by publius911 (Look for the Union label, then buy something else.)
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To: Rocky
But three millimeters is about the thickness of two dimes. Can scientists really measure a change in sea level over the course of a year, averaged across the world, which is two dimes thick?

Maybe - but they would have to stop the wind and the waves and the oceanic streams and the volcanic activity and the effects of the moon and the the Sun and the other neighbors on the tides, stabilize the temperature so no Arctic ice melted or froze, control the rains and let everything sit until it stabilized to get the initial measurement - then leave it like that and wait a year to take the next one.

19 posted on 09/22/2013 4:09:52 AM PDT by trebb (Where in the the hell has my country gone?)
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To: Libloather
Hussein got elected and sea levels stopped rising. The goofball scientists who voted for the Kenyan should put it in their report.

Yes, they haven't given the Messiah his credit, have they? He has stopped global warming and sea level rise just as he said he would. So let's move on to the next problem, and let's not hear any more nonsense about this global warming.

20 posted on 09/22/2013 7:43:24 AM PDT by Rocky (Obama is pure evil.)
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