Skip to comments.Trump takes the lead
Posted on 04/15/2011 3:16:07 PM PDT by Brown Deer
Only 38% of Republican primary voters say they're willing to support a candidate for President next year who firmly rejects the birther theory and those folks want Mitt Romney to be their nominee for President next year. With the other 62% of Republicans- 23% of whom say they are only willing to vote for a birther and 39% of whom are not sure- Donald Trump is cleaning up. And as a result Trump's ridden the controversy about Barack Obama's place of birth to the highest level of support we've found for anyone in our national GOP polling so far in 2011.
Trump's broken the perpetual gridlock we've found at the top of the Republican field, getting 26% to 17% for Mike Huckabee, 15% for Romney, 11% for Newt Gingrich, 8% for Sarah Palin, 5% for Ron Paul, and 4% for Michele Bachmann and Tim Pawlenty.
Among that 23% only willing to vote for a birther Trump is cleaning up even more, getting 37% to 13% for Huckabee and Palin, and 10% for Romney and Gingrich. He's a lot weaker with the 38% who say they're perfectly happy to vote for someone who's dismissed the birther theory- with them Romney leads at 23%, with Huckabee at 18%, Trump at 17%, Gingrich at 10%, and Palin at only 7%.
I'm still pretty skeptical that Trump's going to run but if he doesn't someone who taps into the same sort of hard, hard right sentiment he's appealing to right now will get their votes- it's hard to imagine these folks voting for a more centrist candidate like Romney or Pawlenty. And that means there's a very serious contingent within the Republican Party that's less concerned with beating Barack Obama than having a nominee who gets them fired up. That suggests many GOP voters have not learned the lessons of Nevada and Delaware and that Obama may survive despite his weak approval numbers because the Republicans end up defeating themselves.
If you take Trump out of the mix Huckabee leads with 22% to 16% for Romney, 15% for Gingrich, 12% for Palin, 8% for Paul, 6% for Pawlenty and Bachmann, and 3% for Haley Barbour.
If you look at the field with Huckabee, Palin, and Trump all out of the mix you end up with a showdown between Romney and Gingrich. Romney gets 25% to 23% for Gingrich, 13% for Paul, 10% for Pawlenty, 8% for Bachmann, and 4% for Barbour.
Anyone who stands up to Soros and the usurper has my vote.
Only 38% of Republican primary voters say they’re willing to support a candidate for President next year who firmly rejects the birther theory and those folks want Mitt Romney to be their nominee for President next year.
well howbout that
Let’s see. If The Donald gets the nomination... I am imagining the first presidential debate.
Well, it will be a ratings bonanza.
Oh boy. Bleh
The problem with these ‘early’ polls is that McCain was at the bottom in early polls for the 2008 election.
How the primaries are ‘fixed’ will determine the nominee, just like they did in 2008.
A birther and a denier and a teabagger are terms the MSM and the rest of the liberals use to demean and ridicule the opposition. Any challenge to conventional libral thought is deemed a threat.
I'd advise checking into exactly who Trump has business partnered with. It has been reported that Donald has had several dealings with the Soros group. I personally don't trust the guy any farther than I can throw him.
If Trump is the nominee you can forget about moving any social issues forward.
We would be better off drafting an anonymous tea party organizer from podunk USA.
However, I don’t think even the “TEA Party” would support ‘em. They’d rather rationalize supporting a RINO who has name recognition.
...And there is no “birther theory.” That too is made up by the MSM.
There is only the question:
Why will Obama not release a copy of his original long form birth certificate?
You did not hear Trump’s interview with Rush today.
Quit yammering about nothing.
What is Obama hiding?
I’m really anxious to here the Rove-Beck-O’Reilly-Coulter explanation for this poll. Talk about egg on your face.
Well, Trump is contemplating taking on Roe v. Wade. If he does, that's a big step. BOR asked him about 2 weeks ago on his show about making a law to support life. He said he'd get back to him.
“Birthers” was invented on DU to link Obama doubters to 9-11 truthers in the public mind.
I credit him for pushing the Obama constitutional eligibility issue, but that by itself doesn't make him a realistic choice for the presidency. One should also be concerned about Trump, after failing to obtain the GOP nomination, running a Ross Perot style third party campaign that would likely help the 'Rats.
Can’t you read!!
I didn’t say he is a candidate.
I said — he is the messenger telling us how to destroy the Democrats.
It looks at this point, Trump won’t even have to contemplate running as a third party.
Trump has been making pro-Israel comments
Its pretty doubtful that Trump could get elected as a republican.
Mark Levin - Donald Trump Did Everything He Could Do To Have An Old Woman Evicted From Her
Mark Levin - I Prefer To Call Mr Trump, Mr Chump
Mark Levin - Trump’s Casino Reinvestment Development Authority v. Coking The Abuse of Eminent
Trump is a DEMOCRAT trying to help OBama
The contributions to RATS dont concern me all that much. He’s a businessman in NYC. He gives to both sides, and particularly to those in a position to help his business (like Schumer).
Having had corporate clients who did the same thing, I’m used to businesses putting expediency before principle. It’s just how the game is played.
Thanks justiceseeker93, well put. Trump is the anti-Palin, and that aspect of his candidacy will emerge, soon.
He said in the Hannity interview last night that he would run as an independent ONLY IF all the polling and other reliable scientific tests showed he could win. He said he would not enter the race and split the anti-Obama vote.
He acknowledged that if he ran, he would take a substantial number of votes from the GOP candidate. I suppose he’s saying that if the GOP nominee is tanking vs. Obama, he’d step in if it showed he could win, but would not do so only because he didn’t get the GOP nomination.
“Im used to businesses putting expediency before principle. Its just how the game is played.”
And unprincipled “expediency” is exactly how this country got in the mess it’s in currently. No thanks.
And deniers and teabaggers?
Trump might keep RINO candidates from runnnig. He also can take political hits with impunity, clearing the path for the real candidate..
“Deniers” I don’t know about but “tea bagger” can be dumped right in the lap of CNN’s Anderson Cooper who strikes me as somebody who would have deep personal knowledge of such behavior.
Only if there is the chance he could lose it all, which is exactly what the left is after.
Unfortunately, the GOP isn't putting up enough of a resistance to that and other things.
Not one of the previous contenders have a hope in hell of getting my vote... I left the Republican party when the leftist scum McCain was nominated...
He looks like a fall guy, if ever there was one. But there’s no reason not to use his non-candidacy. Just have someone prominent endorse him, and then say some really loaded things that need to be said, so that only his candidacy implodes, while everyone remembers the statements of his endorser.
Ed Koch did that in ‘88, endorsing...was it Joe Biden? Then he launched a tirade against Jesse Jackson that blew him out of the water. Biden’s campaign collapsed after that, but so did the political aspirations of the “reverand”.
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