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Where will the next ‘big one’ be in California? Seismologists name faults of top concern
KTLA ^ | Danielle Dawson

Posted on 03/06/2023 3:12:17 PM PST by BenLurkin

The last “big one”-level movements in California’s recorded earthquake history are the 1857 earthquake in the central third of the San Andreas and the 1906 earthquake in the northern third...that’s not to say there haven’t been major earthquakes since then.

The 1989 San Francisco-area earthquake and the 1994 Northridge earthquakes, for instance, were both devastating and destructive shocks...

The impact that a large earthquake has, whether it’s a 6.5 or an 8.0, largely depends on the proximity to urbanized areas.

The southern San Andreas is particularly of concern for experts when looking at places that are overdue for an earthquake above a 7.5, impacting areas like San Bernardino, Palm Springs and Imperial County.

That portion of the 700 mile-long fault has not had an earthquake around that size in magnitude since about 1690...

But scientists are also especially worried about...the Hayward fault, which runs directly under cities in the Bay Area.

With these two areas of concern for seismologists, there are a number of potential scenarios that could play out in the earth’s crust – some of which could look a lot like the catastrophic, magnitude 7.8 earthquake in Turkey and Syria due to similarities in the way those faults are set up compared to California.

One such lesson is the potential for a “doublet” earthquake, or additional earthquakes triggered along nearby faults to one that has a “big one.”

The Hayward fault would be a candidate for a secondary earthquake that is dynamically set off if an earthquake, like a 7.4, were to hit in Southern California, she said, considering how much stress has already built up between the plates – mirroring what was seen in Turkey.

(Excerpt) Read more at ktla.com ...


TOPICS: Local News
KEYWORDS: california; earthquakes; faults; turkey
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1 posted on 03/06/2023 3:12:17 PM PST by BenLurkin
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To: SunkenCiv
"there are a number of potential scenarios that could play out in the earth’s crust – some of which could look a lot like the catastrophic, magnitude 7.8 earthquake in Turkey and Syria due to similarities in the way those faults are set up compared to California."
2 posted on 03/06/2023 3:14:15 PM PST by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion, or satire, or both.)
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To: BenLurkin

Trying to imagine 7.8 in the LA area....The looting would go on for weeks...


3 posted on 03/06/2023 3:18:03 PM PST by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
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To: dragnet2

Just one week.

Then the cannibalism would start.


4 posted on 03/06/2023 3:20:49 PM PST by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion, or satire, or both.)
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To: BenLurkin

WEF would send boxes of bugs...to eat, then to live in.


5 posted on 03/06/2023 3:22:42 PM PST by RckyRaCoCo (Please Pray For My Brother Ken.)
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To: dragnet2

“It’s terrible! I had 72 85” tvs and next thing I know some other fellah broke into my home and nicked them! It’s getting to where a dishonest fellow can’t even steal for a living in LA!”


6 posted on 03/06/2023 3:25:14 PM PST by Rurudyne (Standup Philosopher)
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To: BenLurkin

At 7.8 in the LA area, they would have to wait until tens of thousands of fires burned themselves out. Then the looting and cannibalism starts.


7 posted on 03/06/2023 3:26:18 PM PST by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
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To: dragnet2

The LA area is so spread out—issues would probably be localized.

SF is the worst place to be in “the big one” imho—especially since things have gone downhill there since the last big quakes.


8 posted on 03/06/2023 3:26:24 PM PST by cgbg (Claiming that laws and regs that limit “hate speech” stop freedom of speech is “hate speech”.)
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To: BenLurkin

Born and raised near one of the BIG Kalifornia fault lines, just bsouth of San Francisco. ‘They’ have been stating ‘The Big One’ since I learned how to hear.

FTA “”mirroring what was seen in Turkey””

Riiiiiiiight, our construction is on par with Turkey? Some of the newer skyscrapers have been built to roll and sway, but not fall (yes, yes, a big enough quake will topple almost anything).

During the 1989 quake I had a grip on a door jam inside the house. When the big wave came through, the house came out of my grip. Crazy.


9 posted on 03/06/2023 3:26:43 PM PST by Ronaldus Magnus III (Do, or do not, there is no try)
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To: dragnet2

**Trying to imagine 7.8 in the LA area....The looting would go on for weeks...**

IDK... having to dig through rubble for a rolex or gold coins? That’s very hard work for most free stuff types.


10 posted on 03/06/2023 3:27:30 PM PST by Zuriel (Acts 2:38,39....Do you believe it?)
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To: cgbg

A 7.8 would destroy much of the infrastructure in S. CA. then the fires would take out much of the rest. Serious damaging aftershocks would go on for many months possibly triggering other faults..


11 posted on 03/06/2023 3:30:35 PM PST by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
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To: dragnet2; BenLurkin

Sylmar and Northridge were 6.6 and 6.7 quakes. I was 50 miles away from both and both times I thought that this was The End.

One point on the Richter scale means a quake 10 times more powerful and those Turkish quakes were beyond that.


12 posted on 03/06/2023 3:31:31 PM PST by Pelham
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To: BenLurkin

I have insomnia, so listen to a lot of Coast to Coast. A lot of the guest experts think Da Big One is going to be in the middle of USA, the New Madrid fault. That would be right through Missouri... I’d sure the Hell rather be in a little town in Missouri than in Los Angeles in a 7.8!


13 posted on 03/06/2023 3:32:22 PM PST by Pigsley (I)
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To: BenLurkin

Part 1 - San Francisco Earthquake - 17 Oct 1989
https://youtu.be/TgkarfRxta8

Part 2 - San Francisco Earthquake - NBC - 17 Oct 1989
https://youtu.be/OSCCkZVEtRM

Part 3 - San Francisco Earthquake - 17-18 Oct 1989
https://youtu.be/z2hL0UDzvGU

Part 4 - San Francisco Earthquake - 18-19 Oct 1989
https://youtu.be/DMqSiXS5UYw


14 posted on 03/06/2023 3:35:55 PM PST by mairdie (Grandfather Jack Bell - miner, reporter, lawman, naturalist - https://youtu.be/Dnnb63UEk9c)
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To: BenLurkin

“1994 Northridge earthquakes...”

I remember all the flat-as-a-pancake highway overpasses and all the crushed cars and people. :(

I’ve been through a 3.0 when I was living in San Diego in the early 80’s. Knocked stuff off of walls and shelves and moved furniture away from the walls, but I just thought it was a very large truck passing by. I found out later from the Land Lady that it was an earthquake.


15 posted on 03/06/2023 3:36:01 PM PST by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have, 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set. )
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To: Pelham

The Northridge one was wild. I lived in the hills above the Valley and was looking at the water fly out of my pool. Sounded like a freight train in my kitchen.


16 posted on 03/06/2023 3:36:19 PM PST by Pigsley (I)
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To: Pelham

Yep. I’ve seen it rock so hard, chandeliers swinging so violently they chip away at the ceilings, with parked vehicles bouncing off the ground in parking lots.


17 posted on 03/06/2023 3:36:29 PM PST by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
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To: dragnet2

Attended a briefing from LA City Fire Department some years ago.

The PIO stated in clear terms that under the right conditions (specifically dry and windy), tens of thousands of people would find themselves running for their lives from out of control fires.

His recommendation: copy all your important documents to a thumb drive and wear it around your neck like dog tags, because that is all you be able to save.

(Of course that was before “cloud” storage.)


18 posted on 03/06/2023 3:37:28 PM PST by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion, or satire, or both.)
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To: dragnet2

I remain skeptical.

I lived in Southern California years ago and the area is huge and really spread out—larger than my current state (CT).

It would be like claiming something would “destroy” CT—makes no sense.

The Northridge quake was a good example—totally devastated Northridge but had minimal impact for most of the metro area—just scary shaking.


19 posted on 03/06/2023 3:37:39 PM PST by cgbg (Claiming that laws and regs that limit “hate speech” stop freedom of speech is “hate speech”.)
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To: dragnet2

Well if looting happens does that mean reparations are off the table? Steal free Sh!t or get free money? Seems like good trade.


20 posted on 03/06/2023 3:37:49 PM PST by OHPatriot (Si vis pacem, para bellum)
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