Posted on 03/31/2020 9:38:35 AM PDT by Mariner
Yesterday's thread here:
http://freerepublic.com/focus/chat/3829893/posts?page=1
Perhaps are part is really staying at home....I did not go to the store today as planned. Not sure I want to go out again, rather make due with what I have food wise.
A report.
Went to local Fam Dollar.
Everything in good supply. Store VERY clean.
Came home and washed my hands.
Numbers from https://www.worldometers.info. Smaller ratio numbers are better. Data not validated. YMMV for informational interest only. PM me if you would like on or off the ping list.
Korea seems to have gained control over their last uptick. Italy still in a holding pattern. Spain is on a steady glide path. France has leveled off after an uptick.
Both the US and UK are experiencing troubling spikes. These numbers, at this time, more reflect some past event than issues with available health care, imo. Something must have cause the virus to spread at a larger rate one to two weeks ago - spring breakers returning home? Not sure what the issue may be in the UK. Looking at the plot, the UK spike began a day or two prior to the current US spike. JMHO, YMMV. The ND/TD for the US is 20. If nothing changes, that number = 100,000 deaths in the US about 15 April.
I now understand the somber mood, I picked up on at times, at today's Coronavirus Task Force Briefing. I'm anxiously waiting for success with HCQ, and other treatments to begin showing up in the numbers.
Daily percentage of new Corona virus deaths to previous day's total by country. 25% = total deaths double every 3 days, 20% = every 4 days, 15% = every 5 days.
LOL!
Well, what can you do? It’s for his good too.
If it’s easy...
Save my poor brain and tell me what number represents a 6 day, roughly, doubling.
And SK sure looking good.
True Bob,
And president Trump did halt flights from China. That certainly cut way back on odds of infection in the US around that time period.
Can you order your mustard, and any other non-persishables, online?
Was it mustard you were needing?
Very sad. Prayers up.
Good to know...about the store being well stocked AND clean. Bonus day @ Fam Dollar!
“The virus and the host may even form a symbiotic relationship,”
==
That entire case reads like a horror/scifi movie.
The days are rounded to give nice round percentages. Eyeballing 10% = about 7 days. I haven’t calculated 5%. But as you go lower, the spread increases exponentially.
Yes they do. Japan was looking good, now they have a significant uptick (15% ND/TD).
BNO Newsroom
@BNODesk
·
6m
NEW: U.S. coronavirus death toll reaches 4,000 after nearly 900 new deaths were reported today
So sad....HEALTHY, 30 y o HS coach....
Even the invincible aren’t invincible’: HS baseball coach, 30, dies of coronavirus
https://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3830439/posts?page=1
Thanks.
6 days to double was the last estimate I heard. So I’m assuming until the numbers reflect that the virus isn’t under control.
You’re using the best data we have and it’s not certain (different methods). That’s so frustrating.
I have confidence in SK.
Taiwan is the outlier, and they h ave good recent economic numbers too.
The common cold is technically just a group of symptoms, mostly caused by coronaviruses and rhinoviruses. Initially a lot of people dismissed CV19 as “just a cold” because it was a coronavirus, but the symptoms don’t match those of the common cold.
I don’t recall anyone calling SARS or MERS a cold.
It’s satire.
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