Posted on 04/24/2018 8:17:09 PM PDT by JLAGRAYFOX
Pubbies easily win House Special Electionover Democrat in Arizona 8th CD!!!
If the demoncraps had won they would be calling that a blowout.
The Dem. who ran against Lesko is stating the race is too close to call per The AZ Rag web site.
You guys tout the MSM line everytime a Republican wins or loses.
Good win! To you crying that the margins were not big enough...grow up and get a pair! It’s a win fools, that is what matters. Don’t outsmart yourselves with things you do not understand.
Loretta Lynch and Bill Clinton could do a do-over in AZ! Would that make you feel better?
We’re really living in an “Idiocracy meets clown world” time.
Why ain’t I 50 points ahead. Oh,wait.............!
Don’t think you are crazy.
The House seats that have been lost or close in special elections
are from House Members who resigned in disgrace over scandals.
Scandals affect GOP voters a lot more than RAT voters by reducing
GOP voter turnout.
The few seats that have been lost are isolated due to scandal.
52.43% to 47.22%, 94% reporting.
Sorry, but I’m not terribly encouraged by that margin this morning.
I don’t think the absentee ballots have been counted as of yet which should widen the lead.
That is what the lamestreamers said when Trump began to overtake Hillary.
Someone asked what the 2016 figures were for this district.
I did not have the exact figures as I am not a full time analyst of all things election-wise, so I went with what was reported.
If Trump won by 20+ points in this district in 2016, with all that has happened since, you would expect that margin or higher by now.
That is was not shows the GOP is not getting their base out to vote, and they need to get in gear or lose the Congress in November.
Not enough to move the percentages in any significant amount. There’s also the fact that 46 precincts (out of 142) that went for President Trump in 2016 went to the Dem last night.
Sorry, trying to be a realist here. This wasn’t good.
Lordy would you pearl clutches just take a breath?
Your analysis is the stuff of democratic legends
No problem. I think it’s good information to know.
And your analysis is exactly what,o brilliant one?
I’m sure if he hasn’t already, DJ will weigh in, but here are some realities about AZCD8:
*the seat was Gabby Giffords’ seat a few years ago. Before that, RINO Jim Kolbe.
*In 2012, in a special election, Barber (D) won by 7 points. Later that year, in the regular November election, Trent Franks kicked his butt.
*Franks was VERY popular, and was not even opposed by a D in 2016.
As you can see, any of these facts make the district far different from a “typical” red district. Franks had a solid fan base there, and Lesko won DESPITE his scandal. This is very important. A party who has a person resign due to scandal almost never wins the subsequent election.
Lesko has already announced she will caucus with the Freedom Caucus-—a VERY big deal.
So understand DemoKKKrat election analysis:
R wins by 30 points = “a close election.”
R wins by 7 points = “The DemoKKKrat really won.”
R loses by 500 votes (as in PA18) = “muh blue wave.”
Bottom line, Rs have carried six out of seven special House elections since Nov. 2016 and lost one by 500 votes.
Sell, not so “expected.” Remember she was down six in an Emerson poll last week. But see my above comment on the district. It is NOT a typical “red” district.
Well said, LS!
Comparing what Trump did in a local election is meaningless. There are always other factors because it is local.
It’s a six point win. Good enough for a low turn out election that the dems hump as being their hope and the republicans went meh
Means nothing in November
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