Gaffer wrote: “Based on some of the pre IA polls for IA, I’d say something was off. Maybe the media, campaign hype or because they let ‘newcomers’ register right before voting, IIRC.”
You have to give Cruz credit for his “ground game” for sure. I would suppose that would mean understanding the rules, having lots of local people involved, knowing how local politics plays, and turning that around to your advantage to maximize how many get out and pull the lever for you. I’m impressed actually. Then again, I was impressed with the community organizer’s ground game too.
I had heard a report for example that Trump had not lined up enough minivans to get his people out to vote. I’m pretty sure Ted Cruz didn’t haul many Trump voters to the caucuses, thus the ones that didn’t get there showed in the poll but not in the vote.
You’re focusing on Cruz’ 4% lead over Trump, and my thoughts were actually more as to why everybody was so wrong about RUBIO!
I don’t dispute ground game. I gave the other reasons why I think everyone might have been off. That’s all.