Vikings are going down!
Posted on 01/02/2016 5:37:04 PM PST by ETL
Given the problems with back-up QBs this year, it’s amazing to realize that the Colts had different starting QBs in 1967 and 1968, Unitas and Morrall, who each won the MVP in their year.
They also finished 11-1-2 in ‘67, and didn’t make the playoffs.
One has to wonder what the algorithm fo this, NFL Play Off placements.
As a Bills fan, I tried to get behind him, but knew it was a terrible choice.
Why couldn't they have hired Mike Smith instead of the NYJ rejects?
I have given up on the Bills, and football in general. I rarely watch, nor do I listen to it on the radio. Too many disappointments, too much egotistical BS from overpaid, under-performing, functional illiterates who can barely speak coherent English.
:D
So, the live thread? I see the Bills are defeating the Jets, I think the Jets really need this to go into the Wildcard playoffs.
14-0 Buffalo if this TD holds up.
Well Cowboys fans there’s still hope, after all TCU was down 31-0....BWAHAHHAHAHAHA!
For the Colts to make the playoffs, ALL 9 of the following teams (on the left) have to win.
I calculated the odds of this happening, using the simple formula, 2^n, where 2 represents the 50-50 probability of a Win vs Loss, and n represents the number of events, in this case, games.
And so 2^n = 2^9 (2 to the 9th power) = 512!!...
That’s 511 to 1 !!! (that all 9 win as needed)
Of course this is based on mere mathematical probability, treating the situation as if it were flips of a coin, heads vs tails.
Colts vs Titans
Jags vs Houston
Bills vs Jets
Ravens vs Bengals
Falcons vs Saints
Dolphins vs Pats
Steelers vs Browns
Raiders vs Chiefs (4pm)
Broncos vs Chargers (4pm)
In other words, it would be like heads coming up 9 straight times in a row! Or, similarly, tails.
...and the odds of 9 straight heads (or tails) in a row are 511-1 !!! There are 512 possible combination outcomes in 9 flips of the coin, but only all heads, or all tails, would win.
If you guys are interested in hot rods and customs, check out this thread I posted yesterday.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/3378937/posts
Nice!
I just heard them say on ESPN radio that the odds were “less than one percent,” and you’re calculating 2/10ths of one percent.
But my calculations are based on pure mathematical probability, treating each game as if were a heads or tails equal chance of either team winning.
BTW, of the 7 of the 9 games taking place now (1pm games), 6 of them are winning. Of course there’s a long time to go with the 2nd halves about to start. Houston is up 17 at the half vs Jax. That is the only game of the 7 taking place now that is not ‘cooperating’.
You do have to figure that ESPN used different probabilities per game in their calculation.
But to guesstimate the upper bound simply by using .6 for each game, and raising to the ninth power, gives 1% overall.
Thanks, nice, along with old motorcycles, motorbikes (Hornet) or even old bikes.
What I mean is the odds of a particular team winning their game depends on how good they are vs their opponent. It's rarely a 50-50 chance like in flipping a coin, heads or tails. For example, the Patriots are probably pretty big favorites vs Miami.
Exactly. A different win/loss probability for each game.
Just
Ended
The
Season
Okay, all teams in and all the teams out is finalized, Pittsburgh in, I can’t believe the other thread is not discussing this more. I guess they are jockeying for position.
Bills end up 8-8, so .500 and eliminate the Jets.
None of the teams laid big goose eggs this year, Cleveland and Tennessee 3-13 are the worse records.
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