Survey: 75% of businesses plan to adopt Windows 10 within first two years

First Post ^ | 06/29/2015

[Secret Agent Man]

Probably forced to by their s/w contracts.

[Swordmaker]

Ping to what is probably a bogus survey. . . no business moves that fast on a new OS. . .

[tacticalogic]

no business moves that fast on a new OS. . .

From the article:

Two years after launch, Windows 7 had a penetration rate of 60 percent

[Swordmaker]

Two years after launch, Windows 7 had a penetration rate of 60 percent

From the same article that is predicting a 75% penetration of Windows 10 in two years. . . not believable. And penetration of what, small business, medium business, or Enterprise? Also was it penetration by choice or default.

[tacticalogic]

From the same article that is predicting a 75% penetration of Windows 10 in two years. . . not believable.

Why is it "not believable"? All they have to do is pick up another 13% on the adoption rate from W7, and they weren't offering free upgrades in the first year then.

[dayglored]

> Ping to what is probably a bogus survey. . . no business moves that fast on a new OS. . .

Absolutely. From TFA:

> ...according to a survey conducted by Spiceworks...

I know all about Spiceworks; hell, I've used it the last two places I've worked. They are not to be trusted as a source for anything except echo chamber noise when it comes to surveys.

Nonetheless, even paid shills like Spiceworks get plenty of airplay. Microsoft has deep pockets for tech whores who write what they want to see.

I'm not sure this is worth a ping to the Windows List, since it's of highly dubious factual content (despite tons of bogus statistics). But I do appreciate the ping, if for no other reason than the humor aspect. :-)

[Swordmaker]

Why is it "not believable"? All they have to do is pick up another 13% on the adoption rate from W7, and they weren't offering free upgrades in the first year then.

Business upgrades are not just about "Free" for any operating system upgrades. If any IT department made such a decision based on the fact that the OS was "free" I'd can the head of the department. Testing alone should take two years for most businesses to assure that the OS is compatible with their operations.

Where is the uptake of Windows 8 and 8.1 in business, Tacticalogic? It was released to manufacturing in August of 2012. . . How about the business uptake of Windows Vista?

[tacticalogic]

Where is the uptake of Windows 8 and 8.1 in business, Tacticalogic? It was released to manufacturing in August of 2012. . . How about the business uptake of Windows Vista?

Most businesses skipped Vista and 8/8.1. The went straight from XP to W7, and they'll go directly from W7 to W10.

[Swordmaker]

I'm not sure this is worth a ping to the Windows List, since it's of highly dubious factual content (despite tons of bogus statistics). But I do appreciate the ping, if for no other reason than the humor aspect. :-)

You see the flack that Tacticalogic is giving me on this? i know about the lies that can be done with such statistics . . . and the total lack of logic. Under 15% general adoption but 60% by business? Where??? He is so absolutely sure of the facts given in the article. Totally lacking in healthy skepticism and convinced of his correctness.

[tacticalogic]

Testing alone should take two years for most businesses to assure that the OS is compatible with their operations.

Can you provide a source for that, because if it's true then stated figure of 60% penetration of W7 within 2 years can't be right.

[Swordmaker]

Most businesses skipped Vista and 8/8.1. The went straight from XP to W7, and they'll go directly from W7 to W10.

How do you know this??? I don't see it. . . and if Microsoft tries to force it they will see a lot of push back.

[Smokin' Joe]

WIndows 7 is fading fast, the XP holdouts are looking for their next OS, and 10 (hopefully) will work. I can see the penetration given that.

Sadly, when they do have a system that works (as XP did/does) they chuck it.

Some of us old (XP) farts who are holding out liked the barebones feel of the older systems and not having to learn hieroglyphics to do what used to be relatively simple tasks.

[dayglored]

> All they have to do is pick up another 13% on the adoption rate from W7, and they weren't offering free upgrades in the first year then.

Ummm, when Win7 appeared, companies were reeling from the horrific Vista experience.

Right now, the companies who will jump on Win10 are the ones reeling from the similar Win8 experience.

Those with Win7 are, by and large, quite content, and I predict they will stick with it for many years to come. I don't see 75% adoption in two years as likely at all. I think 50% would be a heck of an achievement in businesses.

I'm willing to bet $20 that they don't make 75%, decided by a reasonable average of industry acceptance monitors, two years from this July 29. Loser donates $20 to the contemporary FReepathon.

:-)

[tacticalogic]

You see the flack that Tacticalogic is giving me on this? i know about the lies that can be done with such statistics . . . and the total lack of logic. Under 15% general adoption but 60% by business? Where??? He is so absolutely sure of the facts given in the article. Totally lacking in healthy skepticism and convinced of his correctness.

I'm finding it entirely credible, because we did that upgrade on over 5000 machines (from XP to W7) well within 2 years, and we intend to do it again upgrading from W7 to W10.

[usconservative]

vPing to what is probably a bogus survey. . . no business moves that fast on a new OS. . .

DING DING DING!! Winner!

Exactly correct. Large enterprises such as the one I work in (20,000+ desktops) aren't going to be moving off Windows 7 anytime soon. We were lucky to actually upgrade to Windows 7 / 64 Bit after our dumb director of Engineering said "what user needs more than 4gb to do their job?"

Thank God and greyhound he's gone .......

OTOH, I just updated to the latest Windows 10 Bits (10158) and so far am liking what I see. It's downright ZIPPY!

[MediaMole]

I suspect a much of this is based on the “no cost” upgrade from Win 7 and 8. Microsoft seems to be looking to get rid of legacy operating systems much like Apple has largely done.

[tacticalogic]

I'm willing to bet $20 that they don't make 75%,

75% or 73%? I see both figures quoted in the article.

[dayglored]

> He is so absolutely sure of the facts given in the article. Totally lacking in healthy skepticism and convinced of his correctness.

The two of you crack me up. :-)

But I'm sure enough that Win10 won't achieve 75% adoption in businesses that I've offered a $20 bet (donation to a FReepathon) on it.

See #14 above.

[Swordmaker]

WIndows 7 is fading fast, the XP holdouts are looking for their next OS, and 10 (hopefully) will work. I can see the penetration given that.

Not that I have seen. . . Not for business. Business users are very conservative for doing upgrades. They wait for a long time to be sure it is the right thing to do, waiting for others to do it first, and even then they'll wait more.