I think you have made an excellent analysis.
> I think you have made an excellent analysis.
Yeah I would second that as well -- at least in terms of number of units, it's very likely to come true.
The enterprise editions will be a slow uptake -- business is mighty skeptical after Windows 8 and the lost productivity Metro brought.
Then again, it's possible the mobile versions -will- take off, at least enough to represent a fair fraction of the mobiles out there. Microsoft is bringing a lot of cool and/or useful stuff to the table. But success in numbers depends on whether people actually want what Microsoft brings to the table