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Odds on U.S Republican Nominee -- for the punter's.
Easy Odds ^ | 2014 | Easy Odds

Posted on 11/25/2014 6:40:18 AM PST by Usagi_yo

Odds on U.S GOP 2016 nominee. Date: Uncertain

Highlights ======= Jeb Bush 3-1 Rand Paul 5-1 Scott Walker 10-1 Ted Cruz 16-1 Mike Huckabee 28-1 Sarah Palin 33-1


TOPICS: Chit/Chat; Hobbies; Society; Sports
KEYWORDS: 2016; 2016election; bettingodds; election2016; jebbush; mikehuckabee; nominee; sarahpalin; scottwalker; tedcruz
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There's an arbitrage/leverage opportunity between who wins the Presidency in 2016 and the Gender of the Presidency in 2016 -- if you can actually get the bets booked and a normal vig. I don't know what the vig is.
1 posted on 11/25/2014 6:40:18 AM PST by Usagi_yo
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To: Usagi_yo

Once again, we may see the uninformed Republican primary voters demanding a third Bush.


2 posted on 11/25/2014 6:43:01 AM PST by Theodore R. (Liberals keep winning; so the American people must now be all-liberal all the time.)
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To: Usagi_yo

I don’t care what any poll or oddsmakers says Jeb Bush has no chance. None.


3 posted on 11/25/2014 6:47:28 AM PST by skeeter
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To: Theodore R.

Actually, I’m voting for Ted Cruz .. I sure hope he’s running .. otherwise I’ll have to write in his name.


4 posted on 11/25/2014 6:52:34 AM PST by CyberAnt ("The hope and changey stuff did not work, even a smidgen.")
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To: Usagi_yo

Anyone other than Bush, Romney or Christie should get lo-o-o-o-ng odds and Christie should be only moderately better than the pack critturs.


5 posted on 11/25/2014 6:53:58 AM PST by arthurus
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To: Usagi_yo

In 2006 I’m sure Sarah P. was a million to one on being the veep candidate.


6 posted on 11/25/2014 6:54:14 AM PST by HMS Surprise (Chris Christie can STILL go straight to hell.)
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To: Usagi_yo

Only two on the list that are my choices. Ted and Sarah.


7 posted on 11/25/2014 6:57:00 AM PST by Resolute Conservative
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To: skeeter

I agree. We tried compassionate conservatism and the 1000 points of light turned out to be tracer bullets. God bless George W., but military action should have been limited to a punative military expedition. Not a nation building exercise.


8 posted on 11/25/2014 6:58:36 AM PST by Usagi_yo (Coming events caste their shadow beforehand.)
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End It Before Thanksgiving


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Support FR, Donate Monthly If You Can

9 posted on 11/25/2014 7:00:44 AM PST by DJ MacWoW (The Fed Gov is not one ring to rule them all)
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To: Usagi_yo

We should have never gotten involved in intra-Arab squabbles in the first place.


10 posted on 11/25/2014 7:02:32 AM PST by dfwgator
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To: HMS Surprise

“In 2006 I’m sure Sarah P. was a million to one on being the veep candidate.”

And I bet George Clooney’s odds are a lot longer than given. I wouldn’t bet on him if he was 5000-1, nevertheless the 500-1 I think I saw him going for the win 2016 Pres.

Handicapping odds are a funny thing, but the first thing you should always do is line out the horses you figure have no chance.


11 posted on 11/25/2014 7:08:04 AM PST by Usagi_yo (Coming events caste their shadow beforehand.)
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To: Usagi_yo

I’ll place a thousand on SP at 33-1...

IF she announces anytime soon.


12 posted on 11/25/2014 7:14:26 AM PST by Resettozero
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To: skeeter
Bush has as good a chance as Romney. The chance that the Nominee will be one of those two is maybe 90% with Christie being maybe 9%. If it is Bush or Romney the Democrat will become President. If it is Christie he may even be elected. Unlike Bush and Romney Christie actually wants to be President and the Nomination is the necessary step. For the other two the Nomination is the ultimate honor and the Presidency would be a drag. A President Christie would be Octavian to Obama's Julius.

And then there is that 1% that someone will come out of right field and the DC Establishment will discombobulate for some reason and we get a Paul or a Jindal and the Fall would perhaps be postponed a little.

13 posted on 11/25/2014 7:32:02 AM PST by arthurus
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To: skeeter
No liberal republican will win the presidency.

The liberal republicans will be responsible for Hillary, or whoever taking the office.

/johnny

14 posted on 11/25/2014 7:35:01 AM PST by JRandomFreeper (Gone Galt)
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To: arthurus
Bush has as good a chance as Romney.

Not to win the presidency. Romney was unelectable, since he was a liberal republican.

/johnny

15 posted on 11/25/2014 7:36:38 AM PST by JRandomFreeper (Gone Galt)
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Rand Paul On Shutdown: "Even Though It Appeared I Was Participating In It, It Was A Dumb Idea"
I said throughout the whole battle that shutting down the government was a dumb idea. Even though it did appear as if I was participating in it, I said it was a dumb idea. And the reason I voted for it, though, is that it's a conundrum. Here's the conundrum. We have a $17 trillion debt and people at home tell me you can't give the president a blank check. We just can't keep raising the debt ceiling without conditions. So unconditionally raising the debt ceiling, nobody at home wants me to vote for that and I can't vote for that. But the conundrum is if I don't we do approach these deadlines. So there is an impasse. In 2011, though, we had this impasse and the president did negotiate. We got the sequester. If we were to extend the sequester from discretionary spending to all the entitlements we would actually fix our problem within a few years.
[Posted on 11/19/2013 12:16:51 PM by Third Person]
Rand Paul: Time for GOP to soften war stance
...by softening its edge on some volatile social issues and altering its image as the party always seemingly "eager to go to war... We do need to expand the party and grow the party and that does mean that we don't always all agree on every issue" ... the party needs to become more welcoming to individuals who disagree with basic Republican doctrine on emotional social issues such as gay marriage... "We're going to have to be a little hands off on some of these issues ... and get people into the party," Paul said.
[Posted on 01/31/2013 5:08:50 PM PST by xzins]
Rand Paul's immigration speech
...The Republican Party must embrace more legal immigration.

Unfortunately, like many of the major debates in Washington, immigration has become a stalemate-where both sides are imprisoned by their own rhetoric or attachment to sacred cows that prevent the possibility of a balanced solution.

Immigration Reform will not occur until Conservative Republicans, like myself, become part of the solution. I am here today to begin that conversation.

Let's start that conversation by acknowledging we aren't going to deport 12 million illegal immigrants.

If you wish to work, if you wish to live and work in America, then we will find a place for you...

This is where prudence, compassion and thrift all point us toward the same goal: bringing these workers out of the shadows and into being taxpaying members of society.

Imagine 12 million people who are already here coming out of the shadows to become new taxpayers.12 million more people assimilating into society. 12 million more people being productive contributors.
[Posted on 03/19/2013 7:04:07 AM PDT by Perdogg]
Rand Paul calls on conservatives to embrace immigration reform
Latinos, should be a natural constituency for the party, Paul argued, but "Republicans have pushed them away with harsh rhetoric over immigration." ...he would create a bipartisan panel to determine how many visas should be granted for workers already in the United States and those who might follow... [and the buried lead] "Imagine 12 million people who are already here coming out of the shadows to become new taxpayers...
[Posted on 04/21/2013 1:52:42 PM PDT by SoConPubbie]
[but he's not in favor of amnesty, snicker, definition of is is]
Rand Slams Congress for Funding Egypt's Generals: 'How Does Your Conscience Feel Now?'
Sen. Rand Paul is hammering his fellow senators for keeping billions in financial aid flowing to Egypt's military -- even as Cairo's security forces massacre anti-government activists. [by "anti-government activists" is meant church-burning Christian-murdering jihadists]
[Posted on 08/15/2013 5:44:10 PM PDT by Hoodat]

16 posted on 11/25/2014 7:58:29 AM PST by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/_______________________Celebrate the Polls, Ignore the Trolls)
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To: JRandomFreeper

Read what I wrote. Neither Bush nor Rmoney will be the next President though either stands almost a 50-50 chance of getting Nominated. It is the same reason for both. Both are liberals but that is not the reason. Neither wants to be President. Both crave the Nomination.


17 posted on 11/25/2014 8:03:43 AM PST by arthurus
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To: arthurus
Yep. I was agreeing.

/johnny

18 posted on 11/25/2014 8:04:42 AM PST by JRandomFreeper (Gone Galt)
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To: Usagi_yo

There was an article yesterday about the fact that moderate Republlicans were the only Republicans who lost in the mid-terms.

Those squishy moderate losers we’re Libertarians, dressed up as Republicans.


19 posted on 11/25/2014 8:06:23 AM PST by Eva
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To: arthurus

If Bush runs, I don’t think Romney will and vice versa. If Bush runs, Rubio might be out too. Same with Walker and Ryan...only one will run of those two. Probably Walker.


20 posted on 11/25/2014 8:13:24 AM PST by SMCC1
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