Posted on 11/05/2012 5:45:49 AM PST by kevkrom
Romney 51.5%
ZERO 47.5%
Other 1.0%
Romney 314
ZERO 224
FL, NC, VA, OH, PA, MI, WI, NH, and CO all in the win column.
IA and NV in the loss column.
+ 5 GOP Senate seats.
Fox will call it at 12:01 EST, only an hour after the first results are announced. Pennsylvania will be the surprise state to put Romney over the top.
At which time, my wife and I will take the champagne off the ice and eat some pie. :-)
PV- Romney- 48.9% Obama- 48.2%
Senate R-50 D-50
House R-236 D-199
Massive dim fraud allows punk POTUS to steal Ohio.
Hope like hell I am wrong, but these bastards are not to be trusted.
I predict win or lose that I will have a hangover wednesday morning.
And Barones opinion? Is that just wishful thinking on his part?
My conservative estimate is Romney 52% - Obama 47%.
Electoral College: Romney - 285 Obama - 253.
Again, being very conservative (and not going with my gut) I am throwing the EC votes of PA, MI, NE and WI to Obama with Romney getting Ohio.
Gutwise, I think Romney will get WI and NE and close in PA. I thing MI has too many inbred Democrat union morons to overcome. That gives R 300 - O 238. Throw in PA and MI and it’s R 336 - O 202.
Wow. What a pessimist.
Every radio show (not the big conservatives but the neutral ones like john and ken) and mainstream TV (not fox) says Obama will win and they go over the numbers and sound as definitive as freepers who say Romney will win.
I honestly don’t know who will win and I don’t trust the positive freepers because last time here everyone was sure McCain could pull it out. I felt deceived by the happy happy skittles poopers here.
I go over the maps and numbers and I frankly can’t be sure which states’ polls are more accurate, what turnout will be where, what cheating might get past, or anything.
I just don’t know. But praying and hoping for a clear Romney win!
You’ve got to go beyond the polls and look what’s inside them. It’s like the statistical information that you get for a baseball player. You see a certain player has a .300 batting average, but that really doesn’t tell you much about what kind of player he really is until you look at the other statistical information.
Here are some numbers to consider:
Rasmussen just came out with a poll that 5.8% more of the voters self identify as Republicans than Rats.
Just about every poll, including most of the left leaning ones are saying that Romney is getting 8% more independents than Obama.
In almost every national poll, ZERO is not getting 50% of the vote, and the undecideds will break for Romney. It is usually a rule of thumb that undecideds will probably break about 67% for the challenger. Those that are undecided are not really for ZERO.
The ballots requested for absentee and early voting are approximately 263,000 better for the Republicans than 2008. That is a huge sign of voter apathy for ZERO and voter enthusiasm for Romney.
Virtually ALL of the polls that have ZERO ahead or tied have unsustainable/unrealistic turnout projections for Rats, most showing the same or better projections than 2008. That’s just not going to happen. People are just not excited about ZERO. When you account for this, it becomes clear that the true numbers are not that close at all.
Dick Morris, Newt Gingrich, and Michael Barone all say what I’m saying above and all of them are projecting a 6% popular vote victory and 320 EVs. When you look at all of the above factors, what they are saying makes a lot more sense than the crap we’re being fed by the MSM.
The 263,000 is for Ohio.
“And Barones opinion? Is that just wishful thinking on his part?”
That article Barone wrote wasn’t wishful thinking, it was punditry to sell more page views...fun and entertaining no doubt, but nonsense. Though I REALLY wish that anecdotal punditry translated to measurable, social science data, it doesn’t. The worst part is that even some of his anecdotes weren’t based on reality.
When I don’t see historical precedents COMBINED with numbers and data in an article about the election, I don’t take it as a data point, I take it as entertainment. Anyone that looks at that article as anything beyond that, just bought snake oil.
“Obama will get popular vote by 1.8%”
You mean by fraud.
Romney with an electoral vote of 327-211.
I don’t think Ohio will matter, either. I think PA will go for Romney and start a roll of the tide.
I think something odd but positive is changing in Philadelphia, Canton, OH, suburban areas of the heartland cities, and in Chicago itself.
I also think military votes will appear like manna from heaven and will be counted. They may make the difference in 4 states.
People need to send the CBS story to everyone they know.
I do think 0bama will believe he has won and say so. He’s about gone round the bend. No one is telling him the truth.
This is a come to Jesus moment.
I will also add this:
I was in Orlando during the Bush v Gore recount. A minister was on TV, saying that we should pray for God to please appoint and decide the election for the man He wanted to guide the US for that next 4 years. It struck me that the minister was on to something. Just a feeling of electricity, as though he had The Holy Spirit with him.
This election is in God’s Hands.
Look at my post #148.
You ever heard of garbage in, garbage out? Anything can look good if you overemphasize it enough. The MSM is really good at doing this - they tell you half a truth or nothing at all.
Did Benghazi really happen, even if we didn’t see it on the MSM news media outlets? Does a tree make a sound, if you’re not there to hear it?
Is there ever a point in your mind where the samples of Democrats becomes statistically ridiculous? That’s what we’re talking about here.
Somebody is going to take a blood bath on Intrade.
Obama 66.0 million votes / 48%
Other 1.4 million votes / 1%
Romney flips IN, NC, VA, FL, NH, OH and WI
Obama 49.9 Romney 48.4
Obama 297 Romney 241
not falling for the polls are all wrong ...saw enough of that going around in 2008 ....
God save us
Romney wins narrowly. There will be no 300+ EV blowout like we saw with Obama in 2008.
I predict rioting laywers.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.