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PREDICTIONS THREAD! Lock in your predictions for tomorrow! [Vanity]

Posted on 11/05/2012 5:45:49 AM PST by kevkrom

Okay... election day is tomorrow, and it's time for all us to make final predictions on the record... you know, for bragging rights.

This is specifically for the Presidential race, but if you want to lock in overall and/or specific Senate and House races for "bonus points", by all means go ahead!


TOPICS: Chit/Chat
KEYWORDS: obama; predictions; romney
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My calls --

Popular vote: Obama seems to have a floor of 45%, and while a total of 47% would be deliciously ironic, I don't think he gets that much. Romney 53-45 (with 2% "other").

Electoral vote: This could be a complete rout, but I'll go with Romney 338-200, which happens if Romney takes NV, CO, IA, MI, PA, OH, WI, NH, and 1 EV in Maine. I think I'm on the low side, as we may see one or more additional "surprises".

House/Senate: Not going to predict any specific outcomes, but I think Obama will have negative coat-tails as much as Romney has positive ones, leading to a decisive GOP victory on the night, with a few pockets of 'rat holdouts and ticket-splitters.

1 posted on 11/05/2012 5:45:54 AM PST by kevkrom
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To: kevkrom

Romney by 3%, 300EVs, +5 Senate, +5 House


2 posted on 11/05/2012 5:47:13 AM PST by liberlog
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To: kevkrom

Romney 53-47 and 330+ EV’s.


3 posted on 11/05/2012 5:47:48 AM PST by HerrBlucher (Praise to the Lord the Almighty the King of Creation)
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To: kevkrom

Romney wins with 308-330EV’s
House pickup 3 seats
Senate pickup 4 seats


4 posted on 11/05/2012 5:49:16 AM PST by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped.)
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To: kevkrom

1980


5 posted on 11/05/2012 5:49:20 AM PST by Psycho_Runner (I never voted for change, I prefer folding money.)
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To: kevkrom

Romney- 348 Obama-190
Senate R-53 D-47
House R-252 D-183
Election Surprise- Akin, Brown, & Mandel all win.


6 posted on 11/05/2012 5:49:35 AM PST by barmag25
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To: kevkrom

Romney will carry Oregon and win over 350 EVs.

Pray for America


7 posted on 11/05/2012 5:49:40 AM PST by bray (Nov 6, tell Obama to Stand Down!)
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To: kevkrom

My take is similar to yours, except not sure about Michigan. I expect Romney to take Minnesota. Possible surprises are Oregon and Connecticut. I would have said New Jersey as a possible surprise, but with Christie allowing email voting, the Democrat cemetery vote will be out in force.

If Pennsylviania is called for Romney, we can all go to bed early.


8 posted on 11/05/2012 5:50:12 AM PST by Thane_Banquo (Support hate crime laws: Because some victims are more equal than others.)
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To: kevkrom

285 Romney to 253 Obama.
Pop vote 51 to 48


9 posted on 11/05/2012 5:50:17 AM PST by IsaacDian
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To: kevkrom

I predict lawsuits and riots.


10 posted on 11/05/2012 5:50:33 AM PST by Fresh Wind (If Obama is an empty chair, then Biden is the whoopee cushion.)
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To: kevkrom

I predict it will resemble 2000.


11 posted on 11/05/2012 5:50:38 AM PST by mnehring
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To: kevkrom

Popular: R-50 O-49
Electoral: R-275 O-263
R wins Florida, Virginia, Ohio, and Colorado
O wins Pennsylvania, Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin, New Hampshire and Nevada


12 posted on 11/05/2012 5:50:38 AM PST by wolfman23601
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To: kevkrom

I’m going to go with Barone’s prediction, down to the state and the EV.


13 posted on 11/05/2012 5:51:01 AM PST by Lazamataz (The Pravda Press has gone from 'biased' straight on through to 'utterly bizarre'.)
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To: kevkrom

Not that I’m projecting, but what are the largest popular vote difference, and the largest EC totals in history?

Wondering just to know when a landslide is truly a landslide.

Nice to say not that we won, but we kicked ass.


14 posted on 11/05/2012 5:51:15 AM PST by Quick Shot
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To: liberlog

The October surprise is coming on Nov. 6th I’m afraid . Voter fraud in astronomical proportions this time around . Obama in a squeaker a la Kennedy - Nixon .


15 posted on 11/05/2012 5:51:37 AM PST by sushiman
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To: kevkrom

Romney 52-47 and 290+ EV’s.

I think we will pick up a couple of senate seats.


16 posted on 11/05/2012 5:51:37 AM PST by RochesterNYconservative (ROMNEY/RYAN 20121)
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To: kevkrom

Free Republic shuts down completely.

My suggestion is that Jim allows ONLY an election thread, and it will only last two hours and then a new one starts up, easier for people to access all the comments and for posting.

No other thread or forum unless its emergency breaking news.


17 posted on 11/05/2012 5:51:46 AM PST by Eye of Unk (President Romney, get used to it.)
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To: kevkrom

Romney 296 (This assumes R loses PA and NV and wins ME-CD2)
Obama 242

Popular Vote

Romney 50.5
Obama 48.0
Other 1.5


18 posted on 11/05/2012 5:52:22 AM PST by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: mnehring

I’m going 305. Been calling that for ten days.


19 posted on 11/05/2012 5:52:32 AM PST by KC Burke (Plain Conservative opinions and common sense correction for thirteen years.)
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To: kevkrom

Romney takes FL and Ohio and wins in a similar fashion to Bush in 2004.


20 posted on 11/05/2012 5:52:43 AM PST by ohioman
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To: kevkrom

302-236 for Romney.

52 - 47 popular vote (with 1% going to Johnson)

Senate - 1 Gop pickup

House - 5 Gop hookups


21 posted on 11/05/2012 5:53:07 AM PST by lacrew (Mr. Soetoro, we regret to inform you that your race card is over the credit limit.)
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To: kevkrom

Dewey over Truman


22 posted on 11/05/2012 5:53:10 AM PST by shadeaud ( “Pray for Obama. Psalm 109:8”. Just doing my duty a Christian)
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To: wolfman23601

nobama will soil himself by 9:11 pm eastern time. Bo will bite nobama and run away by 8:46 pm eastern time.


23 posted on 11/05/2012 5:53:56 AM PST by hal ogen (First Amendment or Reeducation Camp?)
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To: kevkrom

Romney 52%

Brokeback Bronco Bamma 45%

Still Can’t Deciders 3%

Romney wins 315 EV

Isolated incidents of queer on straight violence


24 posted on 11/05/2012 5:54:04 AM PST by atc23 (The Confederacy was the single greatest conservative resistance to federal authority ever.u)
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To: kevkrom

Heads up. Ras has R up by one today. Just one point, but it’s better than tied.


25 posted on 11/05/2012 5:54:16 AM PST by randita
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To: kevkrom

I see America in a mess no matter what happens tomorrow.


26 posted on 11/05/2012 5:54:30 AM PST by bmwcyle (45% to 47% of American voters are stupid)
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To: Eye of Unk
Bookmark our official FR contingency sites: Free Republic on facebook and freerepublic2 on yahoo
27 posted on 11/05/2012 5:54:44 AM PST by onyx (FREE REPUBLIC IS HERE TO STAY! DONATE MONTHLY! IF YOU WANT ON SARAH PALIN''S PING LIST, LET ME KNOW)
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To: Quick Shot

A landslide used to be considered 10 points...but the litmus test for a rat win now seems to be 3-4 points, as far as the media is concerned.


28 posted on 11/05/2012 5:55:29 AM PST by lacrew (Mr. Soetoro, we regret to inform you that your race card is over the credit limit.)
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To: everyone


Keep the faith, ignore media driven polls, idiot talking heads, Pray and VOTE!


Please Support Free Republic Today!

29 posted on 11/05/2012 5:56:34 AM PST by onyx (FREE REPUBLIC IS HERE TO STAY! DONATE MONTHLY! IF YOU WANT ON SARAH PALIN''S PING LIST, LET ME KNOW)
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To: randita
Heads up. Ras has R up by one today. Just one point, but it’s better than tied.

I don't trust any of the media pollsters, not even Rass (though I have to give him props for historically being the most spot-on, consistently). I'm basing my predictions on the behavior and attitude of the two campaigns, which tells me a lot more about the real situation.

30 posted on 11/05/2012 5:56:49 AM PST by kevkrom (If a wise man has an argument with a foolish man, the fool only rages or laughs...)
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To: kevkrom

Big Bird-fil-A sandwiches for everyone.


31 posted on 11/05/2012 5:57:11 AM PST by FlingWingFlyer
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To: kevkrom

I predict a major win for Romney, although not a “landslide”. Then I predict all that is unholy and evil to descend on the courts, already pre-selected by the Chicago Thug Machine, to overturn the results. It’ll make 2000 look like a day at the beach.


32 posted on 11/05/2012 5:58:03 AM PST by MayflowerMadam
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To: kevkrom
Exactly the same EV and States as 2000:

R 285 0: 253

Republicans +2 in Senate; + 3 in House

Counties to watch: Bucks County PA; Wood County OH; Hamilton County OH; Tuscarawas County OH

33 posted on 11/05/2012 5:58:21 AM PST by Mikey_1962 (Obama: The Affirmative Action President.)
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To: sushiman

“The October surprise is coming on Nov. 6th I’m afraid . Voter fraud in astronomical proportions this time around . Obama in a squeaker a la Kennedy - Nixon”

I agree. Obama will be announced the winner the morning after. Hope I am as wrong as wrong can be.


34 posted on 11/05/2012 5:58:21 AM PST by Huskrrrr
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To: kevkrom

Romney wins, decidedly.

The Marxist is in for a shocker.

55-45

Senate is a shocker for GOP.

Rats retain control.

GOP keeps the House.


35 posted on 11/05/2012 5:58:30 AM PST by onyx (FREE REPUBLIC IS HERE TO STAY! DONATE MONTHLY! IF YOU WANT ON SARAH PALIN''S PING LIST, LET ME KNOW)
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To: wolfman23601

My head says yours.


36 posted on 11/05/2012 5:58:38 AM PST by Ravi
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To: kevkrom

Romney 50.5 O 48.7 other >1%

Two things: 1) The “Sandy Bounce” has faded and most polls, except Ras, will NOT have picked it up on time, and 2) the last hold outs will break for Romney especially after seeing the not so good news of the aftermath of Sandy and after hearing O talking about “Revenge”! BTW- we’re all good- Thank God- here in LIC, NY (that’s Long Island City in Queens) and you’d be VERY surprised how many of us are going to vote for Romney/Ryan tomorrow. I’m a Hispanic in NYC (so is my wife and sis-inlaw) and we’re voting R/R tomorrow...so is our Filipino Dentist and his Puerto Rican wife...voting R/R and not for the O!Have faith!!!


37 posted on 11/05/2012 5:59:28 AM PST by gumbie05
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To: mnehring

Agreed:
Exactly the same EV and States as 2000:
R 285 0: 253

Republicans +2 in Senate; + 3 in House

Counties to watch after polls close: Bucks County PA; Wood County OH; Hamilton County OH; Tuscarawas County OH


38 posted on 11/05/2012 6:00:07 AM PST by Mikey_1962 (Obama: The Affirmative Action President.)
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To: onyx

What about http://altfreerepublic.freeforums.org/welcome-f3.html?

Sorry if my link doesn’t work.


39 posted on 11/05/2012 6:00:26 AM PST by Eye of Unk (President Romney, get used to it.)
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To: kevkrom

40 posted on 11/05/2012 6:00:29 AM PST by sharkshooting
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To: MayflowerMadam
I'd almost agree with you, but Obama is not a good lawyer and would not have a clue what to do.
Just look at Benghazi, he cant run a crisis.
41 posted on 11/05/2012 6:00:38 AM PST by Quick Shot
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To: HerrBlucher; Georgia Girl 2

I concur with you 2.


42 posted on 11/05/2012 6:00:49 AM PST by US Navy Vet (Go Packers! Go Rockies! Go Boston Bruins! See, I'm "Diverse"!)
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To: kevkrom

I think that Romney will win 51%-47% with 300 EVs. I would love to see a 350 EV rout, and that could happen if Romney wins Wisconsin and/or Michigan/Minnesota. He will win Ohio and PA. 3% should be enough to counter Dem vote fraud and suppression. Needless to say, media exit polls will show Obama leading, setting up the “Romney stole the election” mantra.


43 posted on 11/05/2012 6:01:55 AM PST by Freestate316 (Know what you believe and why you believe it.)
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To: randita

Heads up. Ras has R up by one today. Just one point, but it’s better than tied.
+++++++++
But FR Admins pulled the threads??? What’s up with that?


44 posted on 11/05/2012 6:03:15 AM PST by InterceptPoint
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To: Eye of Unk

Your links works.
I’m going to FR on FaceBook!


45 posted on 11/05/2012 6:03:32 AM PST by onyx (FREE REPUBLIC IS HERE TO STAY! DONATE MONTHLY! IF YOU WANT ON SARAH PALIN''S PING LIST, LET ME KNOW)
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To: kevkrom

What I predicted on an earlier one of these here about a week ago I think.

Romney/Ryan 55-45
Romney/Ryan 342-196
House Rep +5
Senate Rep +8


46 posted on 11/05/2012 6:04:06 AM PST by John W (Viva Cristo Rey!)
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To: kevkrom

Romney 286 EVs 50.6%
Zero 252 EVs 48.3%


47 posted on 11/05/2012 6:04:29 AM PST by ReaganberAlles
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To: Eye of Unk

Excellent idea. Did you email it to him?


48 posted on 11/05/2012 6:04:45 AM PST by CaptainK (...please make it stop. Shake a can of pennies at it.)
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To: kevkrom

Romney 286 EVs 50.6%
Zero 252 EVs 48.3%


49 posted on 11/05/2012 6:04:49 AM PST by ReaganberAlles
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To: kevkrom
Popular Vote:

Romney 54%
Obama 45%
Others 1%

Electoral College:

Romney 331 EV
Obama 207

I predict that the race will be called by 11:00 PM.

50 posted on 11/05/2012 6:05:20 AM PST by pgkdan (A vote for anyone but Romney is a vote for obama. GO MITT!!)
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