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HUGE: The Coronavirus Tracking Project’s Numbers are Suspect After They Are Caught Tacking On Previous Deaths to Current Totals
Gateway Pundit ^ | 07/12/2020 | Joe Hoft

Posted on 07/12/2020 10:24:50 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

Twitter user Kyle Lamb put together a chart showing the number of deaths reported by the Coronavirus Tracking Project linked to the China coronavirus.

The results of his work show that the CTP is adding deaths each week from prior periods that make the current period death totals appear greater than they really are and some of these additions are very suspect.

The number of deaths reported publicly come from the Covid Tracking Project.

Kyle Lamb created a chart using data from the CDC that shows the number of COVID-19 deaths reported by the CDC and the weeks the death occurred. In the chart below he shows the total number of deaths from COVID-19 reported by the CDC in the top row in grey. These totals change as each week passes with new deaths being reported per week as is expected.

In a typical mortality table you should see a few deaths being reported in week one and many more in the following few weeks but then the number of deaths reported that occurred during a specific week decrease as time goes by. After a few weeks this lag in reporting diminishes and eventually all deaths are reported. This is typical in the insurance industry where the industry accounts for deaths being reported on a consistent rate over time with very few claims reported after a few months from the date of event (i.e. the date someone died). This may seem morbid to those not in the insurance industry but this is how it is done. Rarely are there jumps in reporting in prior periods unless something odd is going on (e.g. fraud).

What Kyle Lamb shows in his analysis is that the CDC is reporting deaths on a weekly basis. Many of the deaths are reported in the first few weeks after the death occurred (see cells in red, orange and yellow).


Top row: Deaths reported publicly by week
West to East: Provisional death counts by CDC when death occurred, columns representing the week when CDC added them.

Color striping indicates a way to track trends based reporting week. First red = 1st week of data, Orange = 2nd, etc.

Most recent four week sum of deaths by reporting week:

July 11: 2,340
July 4: 2,868
June 27: 3,064
June 20: 5,226
June 13: 5,665
June 6: 6,809
May 30: 7,769
May 23: 10,960
May 16: 11,545
May 9: 9,387
May 2: 12,590

— Kyle Lamb (@kylamb8) July 11, 2020

Lamb reports what he is seeing:

By analyzing this data, we can see if states were changing prior deaths to "probable" or if they're backlogging. When we do this, we can combat the increasing deaths narrative. What we found this week is that the couple of spikes that were seen in 'public' numbers were not spikes

— Kyle Lamb (@kylamb8) July 11, 2020



This is what's happening:

1) States report new deaths. Regardless of when they happened. If they increase, media blows it up.
2) These deaths are reported to the CDC and lag a bit
3) When CDC updates numbers, we can see when those deaths were occurring the states had reported

Another individual took the data from the CDC used by Kyle Lamb and created a chart showing anomalies in CDC reporting. During this past week, the number of deaths reported included deaths from April which were suddenly reported this week.

Kyle nice work. Same data, but with a "heat map" showing the peaks with respect to each column. pic.twitter.com/0ruiO7qgO3

— Justin Houston (@houstonniner) July 11, 2020


Same data, but with a "heat map" showing the peaks with respect to each column.

Another individual put together a chart based on the CDC data that shows that deaths have been decreasing since April – no matter what the MSM says:

Alistair, given what we now see in the CDC's Deaths by Date of Death data, which is broken out only by week, you can make the case that the date of peak deaths (assuming a smoothed curve) falls somewhere around the end of the WE Apr 11 or beginning of WE Apr 18. pic.twitter.com/34IsMIHSen

— Todd Lowdon (@tlowdon) July 11, 2020

Data reported by the CDC indicates that the China coronavirus reached its peak in mortality in April. The number deaths reported this past week included thousands of deaths from April. The CDC doesn’t share that the deaths reported in a given week include deaths from months ago.



TOPICS: Health/Medicine; Science; Society
KEYWORDS: cdc; coronavirus; deathrate; deaths; fraud; plandemic; tracking; trackingproject
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To: Texas Fossil

“expert”, press and politician induced mass hypochondria.


21 posted on 07/12/2020 6:42:31 PM PDT by Theophilus (Mask America Great Again)
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To: SeekAndFind
🤔

Also have questions about the away testing is done and the tests used.

There have been stories about people making appointments for tests, missing appointment, then they got notice in mail saying they were positive for CV? They never got tested.

And there was something about a dem politician who bragged they bought 1/2 million test kits from Chyyna. Problem is, the kits have 80% fail rate for accuracy.

What tests are being used to get these numbers?

And finally, just weird FYI-If anyone checks out George Webb-He has speculated that the CV could be sprayed or put into a fogger to infect people.

He also mentioned that he thought there was more than one type, and that one of them was severe, and could be killing young people (usually CV is mild for them or even no symtoms).

This could be dismissed, but-Heard third hand from someone who had spoken with their family in Mexico:

The virus is bad there.
And they are spraying something supposedly to kill it, but people, young and old, are getting sick anyway, and dying quickly of heart attacks?

The person said their grandmother did not want them spraying anywhere near her.

This person who relayed this is young, does not follow current affairs, politics, or conspiracies FYI.

Lastly, read that people are being brought here from Mexico for treatment?

It's great that we can help them out. But, are they adding these persons to the numbers to falsely increase them, and cause more fear in the public?

Just questions that need answers IMO.

22 posted on 07/12/2020 7:42:54 PM PDT by Pajamajan ( Pray for our nation. Thank the Lord for everything you have. Don't wait. Do it today.)
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To: Theophilus

Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds

Memoirs of Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds

https://www.gutenberg.org/ebooks/24518


23 posted on 07/12/2020 7:56:19 PM PDT by Texas Fossil ((Texas is not where you were born, but a Free State of Heart, Mind & Attitude!))
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Arthur Wildfire! March; Berosus; Bockscar; cardinal4; ColdOne; ...

24 posted on 07/13/2020 4:30:54 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (Imagine an imaginary menagerie manager imagining managing an imaginary menagerie.)
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To: Theophilus

Yes. The Left and their supporters are like that. They must lie, if they told the truth no one would ever elect them.

They must resort to Totalitarianism if they stay in power, because they all make promises that are totally impossible to fulfill.

They serve the wrong master, hence they always fail badly.


25 posted on 07/13/2020 5:36:56 AM PDT by Texas Fossil ((Texas is not where you were born, but a Free State of Heart, Mind & Attitude!))
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To: bitt

Conclusion:

Data reported by the CDC indicates that the China coronavirus reached its peak in mortality in April. The number deaths reported this past week included thousands of deaths from April. The CDC doesn’t share that the deaths reported in a given week include deaths from months ago.


26 posted on 07/13/2020 8:50:18 PM PDT by Whenifhow (when, if and how will Obama be gone?)
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To: SeekAndFind

Looks like this weeks death bump is bogus.


27 posted on 07/13/2020 9:37:28 PM PDT by FreeReign
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