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Le Pen's Very Narrow Path
Cascade Free Zone ^ | 4/21/2017 | xeroxero

Posted on 04/21/2017 5:23:14 AM PDT by Jack Black

The two phase French election system dooms Marine Le Pen, just like it doomed her father, Jean-Marie Le Pen in 2002.

Their are five main parties contending, the top four are getting roughly 19-23% each, and only the top two finishers will go to the second round runoff.

* Leading at 23.8% the so called “Centrist”, Marcon, who was the protege of the current President, Hollande, who is a Socialist. For various reasons Marcon is running as an independent, but in France “Centrist” means “Socialist”, and that’s not Obama style Socialism, that’s “let’s nationalize the 100 biggest companies in France” Socialism.

* At 22.1% LePen. She’s been ahead the whole race by a small amount until recently.

* At 19.1% the Republican candidate, Fillon, who is described as “center right” by the Euro press. He’s from the same party that Sarkozy was the head of when he won a few years ago.

* At 19.0% the far left candidate Jean-Luc Mélenchon, whose coalition of leftists is running under the “Unsubmissive France” label. His positions have been compared to Pol Pot.

* At 8.5% is Hamon, the actual Socialist candidate, he’s down in the polls but his voters are still available for round two.

Assuming they finish in this order Le Pen will run off against the ‘centrist” Marcon.

(Excerpt) Read more at cascadefreezone.com ...


TOPICS: Government; History; Politics; Society
KEYWORDS: elections; france; lepen
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1 posted on 04/21/2017 5:23:14 AM PDT by Jack Black
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To: Jack Black

We can only hope that our French friends make the proper decision.


2 posted on 04/21/2017 5:30:24 AM PDT by Ciexyz (Happy days are here again, with Trump/Pence!)
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To: All

Comparing her father and Marina’s political viability is ridiculous.

The savagery of the vengeful Islamic’s bloody attacks on innocent Parisians DID NOT EXIST in her dad’s time in politics.

2002 was another time and another place when Paris was the center of culture and beauty.

Now Paris is nothing but a bloody battlefield.


3 posted on 04/21/2017 5:32:25 AM PDT by Liz (The shutting down of free speech IS a form of hate speech. samtheman)
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To: Liz
I agree that it's incredible. But, assuming the polls are anywhere near correct, she's at 21%, while her Dad got 16.8%.

So, no matter what you and I think about the destruction in France it appears to have only moved about 5% of voters in the last 15 years to consider the only candidate who is plausibly going to address the issue.

The term "pathological altruism" was never more applicable than in the case of France and her misguided refugee and immigration policies. But, most French just do not see it that way, apparently.

You would think, with all that has gone on, she would win on Round 1 with 55% of the vote, at least. But no one doing polls considers that as even a distant possibility.

Instead they will select someone who will continue the policies that are killing them.

It's crazy. It's incredible. But it's also true.

4 posted on 04/21/2017 5:38:26 AM PDT by Jack Black (Dispossession is an obliteration of memory, of place, and of identity)
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To: Jack Black

The only one who will do something about the m*slims who are overrunning France and killing the French is le Pen.


5 posted on 04/21/2017 5:53:18 AM PDT by I want the USA back (The media is acting full-on as the Democratic Party's press agency now: Robert Spencer)
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To: Jack Black

The “so-called Centrist” is named Macron, not Marcon.


6 posted on 04/21/2017 5:54:01 AM PDT by Verginius Rufus
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To: Jack Black

The Brexit and Trump analogies are rampant....


7 posted on 04/21/2017 6:05:00 AM PDT by Principled (OMG I'm so tired of all this winning....)
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To: Jack Black

I wonder if her path to victory is as narrow as Trump’s was.


8 posted on 04/21/2017 6:09:46 AM PDT by Former Proud Canadian (We live in interesting times)
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To: Eaker; Absolutely Nobama; afnamvet; AK2KX; Ancesthntr; An Old Man; APatientMan; ApesForEvolution; ..

Illustration from Bracken's "Tet, Take Two" article.

About a year ago Matt Bracken wrote this article, which was widely circulated on the web: Tet,Take Two: Islam's 2016 European Offensive. Like so many of Matt's articles it proved prophetic. Matt outlined three main players in what is to come: Islam, Socialism and Nationalism. These three forces are now contending openly in France's election. Three left-of-center parties against an open and articulate nationalism, the Islamic terrorists attempting intimidation of voters with AK-47s used for random killings in the streets.

Essentially Nationalism stands as the last plausible attempt at a political solution that exists prior to the outbreak of full hostilities.

Marine Le Pen represents this final chance for France to avoid what looks more and more inevitable. War in the streets.

Bracken defined international Socialism like this:

Over the course of the past century, while Communism collapsed in the Soviet Union, the Fabian socialists have been increasingly successful at poisoning the roots of national, cultural and ethnic identity, leaving the inheritors of Western Civilization disorganized and demoralized, with no central belief system to rally behind. Why has this deliberate demoralization and dumbing-down process occurred? The international socialists have believed at least since the French Revolution that it was their duty to impose a top-down feudal order upon the ordinary “dumb masses,” a new world order managed by self-proclaimed experts chosen from among the correctly-educated elites, both for the benefit of the ignoramuses, and as a way to line their own pockets and continue to live an elite lifestyle of wealth and power.

While we may not have seen the Tet level of coordinated mass attacks of Bracken's article title in 2016, we certainly saw an increase in both the frequency and ferocity of Islamic attacks in Europe, and in France in particular.

Yesterday's brazen gun attack in the very center of Paris comes as an explanation point at end of the list of terrorst attacks that the Charlie Hebdo massacre kicked off in Jan of 2015. Since that horror an additional 230 French have been killed in terrorist attacks. The circumstances enabling these killings are well understood, and have amazingly not abatted. Again, Bracken:

A vast and concerted act of treason has been taking place across Europe since the creation of the European Union. Under the Schengen Agreement, Brussels promised to guard the outer frontiers of the EU, while abolishing internal border controls. The Eurocrat elites broke the first promise but kept the second, thus opening a wide path for the onrushing Muslim hijra immigration invasion.

Right now, approximately a million new Muslim migrants are engaged in a struggle to find a warm place to sleep in a continent with nothing approaching the capacity to adequately house them. At least 75% of the migrant invaders are Muslim men of fighting age. Native-born ethnic Germans, Swedes and others are being thrown onto the street to provide emergency housing for Muslim “refugees.” Tens of thousands of migrants are currently living in tents, and in temporary shelters like school gymnasiums and underused warehouses.

So, this is the context for this election. It's not merely about tax rates or whether Renault will be a public company or a private company this decade, as so many other French elections have been.

It's about whose side the government will be on when the inevitable escalations occur and France moves into open rebellion by the Islamic invaders.

It's pathetic that it appears 3/4 of the French remain committed to the Internationalist Socialist vision and are essentially embracing their own future destruction. But that is what the polls tell us, and what the election results will tell us.

Some commentators elsewhere have said "who cares? France baked their cake, let them eat it".

I understand the cynicism and even anger behind that comment, but I refuse to grant the enemy that victory. I will never agree that successful Leftist brain-washing of, even millions of Europeans, somehow makes them deserving of the fate that now looks almost unstoppable - of submission and subsuming to Islam within a generation. The culture is not being given away, it is being stolen by some of the most clever thieves in history. As long as I can I will continue to fight against the theft, against the left, and against the escalating dispossession of the European people from their homelands by the combined International Socialist and Islamic menace.

9 posted on 04/21/2017 6:15:24 AM PDT by Jack Black (Dispossession is an obliteration of memory, of place, and of identity)
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To: Jack Black

The MSM told us Trump had no path. I guess if the MSM tells us she has a narrow path it is good news.


10 posted on 04/21/2017 6:18:29 AM PDT by jospehm20
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To: Jack Black
Alors....wait til Parisian women discover the Muslim street bloodshed is just the beginning. The Muslim takeover means "clitorectomies" .... even for little French schoolgirls.

FACTS ON FILE---Islam considers female genital mutilation obligatory.....primarily b/c Islam teaches enjoyment of sex is better for the Islamic male when the sex act is performed on a mutilated female.

=========================================

REFERENCE---Obama resettled refugees in the US from Somalia, Ethiopia, Eritrea, Liberia, Nigeria and Sudan......these are listed among the ‘Top 10 Countries of Origin’ where female genital mutilation is practiced....usually on little girls.

Verified by US based pediatrician and fellow at the American Academy of Pediatrics, Dr. Hatem Al Haj Elhagaly, listed as a member of the Assembly of Muslim Jurists of America (AMJA).

This ‘Islamic scholar’ issued a 2006 ‘fatwa’ (an authoritative Islamic law ruling), saying that Islam sanctioned genital mutilation b/c sexual enjoyment is ‘better for the husband' when performed on a mutilated female.

Dr Elgahaly acknowledged that ‘the majority of the scholars regard it allowable and some consider it wajib (obligatory)........’ but advised that because FGM is illegal in the West, it should not be performed.”

And yet it is being performed....just recently in Tennessee...without parents' knowledge or consent. A Somali doctor performed the mutilation on American children brought into the hospital's emergency room for other emergency care.

=======================================

Maybe "tolerant and compassionate" Meryl Streep and Michelle Obama could subject their little girls to clitorectomies?

Maybe Rosie O'Donnell should have it done....just to show her camaraderie w/ Muslims banished by that bad old Trump.

11 posted on 04/21/2017 6:20:45 AM PDT by Liz (The shutting down of free speech IS a form of hate speech. samtheman)
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To: Former Proud Canadian
I wonder if her path to victory is as narrow as Trump’s was.

I think it's much narrower.

Trump, once he won the nomination had essentially a 50/50 chance of winning the Presidency. Three successive terms by one party are very rare in American politics. That's why the few Political Scientists who looked at macro-trends as opposed to polling data predicted a Trump victory.

But, I hope I'm wrong and she can do the impossible like Trump and Brexit.

12 posted on 04/21/2017 6:21:32 AM PDT by Jack Black (Dispossession is an obliteration of memory, of place, and of identity)
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To: Jack Black

13 posted on 04/21/2017 6:23:24 AM PDT by jpsb (Never believe anything in politics until it has been officially denied. Otto von Bismark)
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To: jospehm20
The MSM told us Trump had no path. I guess if the MSM tells us she has a narrow path it is good news.

I don't think Cascade Free Zone, my blog, can ever plausibly be called MSM. If I didn't hate the MSM quite so much though, your comment would be flattering.

14 posted on 04/21/2017 6:25:33 AM PDT by Jack Black (Dispossession is an obliteration of memory, of place, and of identity)
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To: Jack Black

Vive le France!


15 posted on 04/21/2017 6:31:15 AM PDT by Jack Black (Dispossession is an obliteration of memory, of place, and of identity)
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16 posted on 04/21/2017 6:31:53 AM PDT by Jack Black (Dispossession is an obliteration of memory, of place, and of identity)
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To: Jack Black

BTTT


17 posted on 04/21/2017 7:24:56 AM PDT by Squantos (Be polite, be professional, but have a plan to kill everyone you meet ...)
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To: All

The cult of islam are too stupid to develop nukes on their own, so their plan is to patiently BREED their way into taking over countries that already have them.


18 posted on 04/21/2017 7:25:35 AM PDT by Maverick68
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To: Jack Black

You are not the only outlet saying the same thing.

http://www.onenewspage.co.uk/n/World/75e5dhlds/Marine-Le-Pen-path-to-victory-remains.htm


19 posted on 04/21/2017 8:52:34 AM PDT by jospehm20
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To: Maverick68

The thing is the breeding scheme seems to be working. They have already effectively taken over hundreds of “no-go zones” in Europe. Over 100 in France alone!


20 posted on 04/21/2017 10:12:08 AM PDT by Jack Black (Dispossession is an obliteration of memory, of place, and of identity)
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