Bill and Walter mourning Paul Wellstone.
Posted on 11/29/2002 8:23:13 PM PST by GraniteStateConservative
As long as the Dimocraps think national security is about feelings, they will continue to lose.
The democRATS have been anti-military so long, any national security plan they come up with will be justifiably viewed with sceptisim.
Second, they need a domestic-policy agenda that goes beyond prescription drugs and defending Social Security. That starts with a clear approach to improving the economy and should probably also include new programs in education
The democRTAS response to everything seems to be - spend more money. Any domestic-policy agenda the democRTAS come up with will be bound to follow the same ploicy. But for the government to spend more money means more taxes, which will have a chilling effect on the economy. The new programs in education obviously means an increase in spending, as will any domestic-policy agenda that goes beyond prescription drugs and defending Social Security
Finally, avoid an unproductive debate on mobilization versus winning over swing voters
Without winning over swing voters, the democRATS have no hope of winning elections, no matter how mobolized their base is.
People change very little as a campaign progresses. It takes a major outsice stimulus to change thigs. If some of these book writers would actually go out and poll they would find the margins change very little compared to the turn out. People were pretty well decided weeks before the election.
A presidents coming and going is not a big deal unless what he does effects the get out the vote efforts. In this last election the Repubicans for the first time in my memory has a ground game. Rove had proved in 2000 with some experimental precincts that real live local people calling voters increased repubican turn out by 5.2 percent.
So this time in 41 states Republicans used real local people to make calls to registered voters. A lot of the people at the Bush rallies were the people recruited to contact voters. They got a real pep talk about working to get out the vote. They left and did exactly that. In a state with 1.5 million republican votes that made a differnce of about 80,000 votes. It made a real difference.
But those of you who have been following Louisiana know that the differnece between the polls is turnout. IN louisiana that is black turn out and white turn out. One pollster counted black turn out at 28 percent. He showed a big big Landrieu win. The problem is the highest Black turn out in hisory is 26 percent and 23 percent is the average. If you use 25 percent it shows a Terrell victory. 26 percent shows a tie. 27 percent a landriew victory and 28 a Landrieu blow out.Most of the pulblic polls in the 2002 election exagerated the Black turn out. Most of the public polls in 2000 underestimated the Black turn out.
The nation is gradually trending right. The majority of State legislatures are under Republican control for the first time since 1932. The Republicans have a majority of state legislatures. They have both houses of congress and the presidency.
The biggest change I see is that Democrats are mostly running liberal democrats for office. For the most party the Republicans are runing people who can win. They ran a leftist Coleman in Minnesota. They ran a very centrist in Missouri. They ran a centrist in New Hampshire and North Carolina. They ran conservatives in Georgia and Texas.
I think the democrats are running people who toe the party line. The repubicans are running people who can win.
That means the conservatives will run the nation for the nest few years.
I would expect more gains in the next elections.
My instincts tell me that the reasoned Democrats (are there any?) will be at odds with the wacky left in the party. This will make for a cocktail of deviousness and shrillness. In the meantime, Bush and company will not be sitting on their hands. The President has the initiative and the momentum. He will define the next battle and many battles thereafter. It will be an uphill run for the Dems. FWIW.
I saw this guy's book. It reads like Mein Kampf. The basic premise is that whites are becoming extinct in their own country, once the majority population is non-white third world immigrants, domination by democratic socialists will be guaranteed, and the US will become just as progressive as all the other central/south american states.
Bill and Walter mourning Paul Wellstone.
On voting day this year, I saw a retirement home bus pull up to the polling place. This was in the Republican suburbs and I'd imagine those voters were largely Republican. The Dems DON'T have a lock on the senior citizen vote or the woman vote, no matter what they claim.
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