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Seven fallacies of US plans to invade Iraq
Asia Times ^ | 08/20/02 | Stephen Zunes

Posted on 08/19/2002 6:24:25 AM PDT by Enemy Of The State

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1 posted on 08/19/2002 6:24:25 AM PDT by Enemy Of The State
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To: Enemy Of The State
1. A war against Iraq would be illegal
It is legal.


2. Regional allies widely oppose a US attack
So what.


3. There is no evidence of Iraqi links to al-Qaeda or other anti-American terrorists
see #1


4. There is no proof that Iraq is developing weapons of mass destruction
see #1


5. Iraq is no longer a significant military threat to its neighbors
LOL


6. There are still nonmilitary options available
Too late.


7. Defeating Iraq would be militarily difficult


2 posted on 08/19/2002 6:39:07 AM PDT by Diogenesis
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To: Enemy Of The State
"He presumably recognizes that any effort to use weapons of mass destruction would inevitably lead to his own destruction". Bullsh*t. he used them against the Iranians. He used them against the Kurds. his own countrymen and killed thousands. Gulf war syndrome has been thought to be caused by our own troops breathing toxins that were blown up and destroyed during the Gulf war. Sorry but this article is pure crap that you need to print up, put it into the bottom of the bird cage and lets your birds use it for the only purpose that I can find for this idiotic article.
3 posted on 08/19/2002 6:42:24 AM PDT by sharkdiver
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To: Enemy Of The State
It is nice that the leftwinger nuts post here so that way we can disarm their arguments and point out their failing logic.
4 posted on 08/19/2002 6:46:43 AM PDT by Sinner6
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To: Enemy Of The State
America, listen to me. There is nothing to be done. None of it will work. You are wrong, wrong, wrong. You will lose, lose, lose.

Elect Democrats, who at least know enough to surrender gracefully.
5 posted on 08/19/2002 6:50:07 AM PDT by marron
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To: Diogenesis
Quick rant on the below excerpt from this piece(OS)

...repudiation of international legal conventions that such American presidents as Woodrow Wilson, Franklin Roosevelt, Harry Truman, and Dwight Eisenhower helped create in order to build a safer world.

Translate---we, the UN, are extremely unhappy that we are not able to dictate member nation-state's(the United States of America) national or international policy seemingly in any aspect, and, as such, will proceed to whine, cry, and generally attempt to undermine this nation state in any conceivable manner possible under the guise of legitimate international "principles".

In principle, there exists a dubious null body of codified laws call international law. In reality and precedent, THERE IS NO INTERNATIONAL LAW, merely repeated attempts to erode the sovereignty of this great nation. So, I say:

UN out of the US; US out of the UN!

FMOKM

6 posted on 08/19/2002 7:02:09 AM PDT by Freemeorkillme
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To: Enemy Of The State
Iraq is currently in violation of part of one section of UN Security Council Resolution 687

A make-believe law issued by a make-believe institution.

International law is quite clear about when military force is allowed

More make-believe.

Unless the United States gets such authorization, any such attack on Iraq would be illegal

The US is a sovereign nation. As such, it does not ask permission to go to war, or to the bathroom, or anything else.

The United States successfully led an international effort to impose sanctions against Vietnam and insisted that the UN recognize the Khmer Rouge as the legitimate government of Cambodia for more than a decade after their leaders were forced out of the capital into remote jungle areas

Proof positive that even Americans who support the UN are amoral and empty cups. In this case we were prepared to uphold the rights of mass murderers in order to uphold UN juridiction over a slaughter they were incapable of stopping. And proof that God is capable of using any tool, even the VietNamese Army, when he decides to move.

The Eisenhower administration insisted that international law and the UN Charter must be upheld...

Eisenhower was a great man, but he was mistaken about international law, and he was wrong in defending Nasser.

7 posted on 08/19/2002 7:06:42 AM PDT by marron
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To: Enemy Of The State
Although there was some serious opposition to the Gulf War in many parts of the Middle East and elsewhere, it did have the support of major segments of the international community, including several important Arab states.

The difference is that, in 1991, Saudi Arabia was threatened, and was prepared to buy all the support it needed. This time, they are the unnamed co-conspirator, and its money is paying its flacks to oppose US intervention. Many of them are out in earnest, earning their money.

Saudi Arabia is right to do this, because they will not survive this conflict intact. One of the collateral consequences of our action in Iraq will be the end of the Saudi regime as we have previously known it.

8 posted on 08/19/2002 7:14:04 AM PDT by marron
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To: Diogenesis
You could have skipped the article and just posted the editorial commentary at the end. Loved it! Especially #1!
9 posted on 08/19/2002 7:21:08 AM PDT by Cobra Scott
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To: Enemy Of The State
There is no proof that Iraq is developing weapons of mass destruction

There is no way that any team of inspectors could ever rid Iraq of any weapons program without, #1, that country's willingness to go along, or #2, the willingness and capability to kick in any door, any time.

The UN inspectors never had that authority. The only authority they had was the fact that, if they were denied entry, the US might, might, bomb the suspected facility.

Without US military power, the inspection regime was useless.

Even at that, the inspectors were required to request permission to enter 48 hours in advance, then would be kept waiting another couple of days, if they were allowed in at all.

There were many facilities where they were refused admission altogether, which was the stated reason that inspector Ritter resigned. He did not have the backing of the Clinton government he needed to kick in the doors.

An inspection regime will never work without an armed force on the ground to back it up.

10 posted on 08/19/2002 7:24:15 AM PDT by marron
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To: Diogenesis
What are suggesting with the mushroom cloud? Killing all Iraq babies in the womb or otherwise?
11 posted on 08/19/2002 7:25:56 AM PDT by Austin Willard Wright
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To: Enemy Of The State
You know, I'm still waiting for our government to show us the definitive link between Iraq and the Terrorist attack. You can all bow, scrape, and lick boot, but as for me, a thinking American, I will not support a war with Iraq until the powers that be can show me the evidence that Iraq was directly invlved in 9-11.
12 posted on 08/19/2002 7:31:23 AM PDT by realpatriot71
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To: Enemy Of The State
"During the 2000 election campaign, George W. Bush scored well among voters by calling for greater “humility” in US foreign policy, decrying the overextension of US military force, and criticizing the idea that the US armed forces should be engaged in such practices as “nation-building” in unstable areas. As president, Bush has made a remarkable reversal of this popular position and appears eager to embark on perhaps the most reckless foreign military campaign in US history."

Zunes is absolutely clueless and, no doubt, didn't vote for Bush despite "praising" Bush's calling for greater humility in our foreign policy. Zanes must have missed the events of September 11.

The middle east needs to have the American big stick come in a stir things up. The direction things are headed have lead those with more information than Zanes is in possesion of to believe that the attacks of 9/11 aren't going to be the last, nor the nastiest. Zanes must believe that we should just sit and wait for it. BullSh*t!!! Nothing deters the rise of a violent nation state or militant religious or nationalistic consciousness than a serious and thorough butt kicking. Once that's been accomplished, then and only then, we can talk about nation building. I'm sure that those who remain will be a bit more receptive to reason.

13 posted on 08/19/2002 7:40:15 AM PDT by GBA
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To: Enemy Of The State
Iraq is no longer a significant military threat to its neighbors...

Defeating Iraq would be militarily difficult

OK, which is it? He states that the Iraqi Army is a third of what it was when we defeated it before, then states that it would be difficult to beat.

He asserts that the country's elite has a vested interest in Saddam's survival, when the reality is that it is from that elite that the new regime will come.

He asserts that we have no land base from which to launch the attack, while ignoring our bases in Turkey, and Kuwait, and Bahrain, and Qatar, and Oman. He ignores our presence in Jordan. We apparently already have men on the ground in northern Iraq, and will be able to establish a base fairly quickly in southern Iraq. As for the "sophisticated urban infrastructure", that is actually a liability. One of things that madet the Afghan campaign difficult is that they did not have an urban infrastructure to attack. Or for them to defend.

For example, most of the leading candidates that US officials are apparently considering installing to govern Iraq are former Iraqi military officers who have been linked to war crimes.

This is further silliness. The primary requirement, from our point of view, for the future leader of Iraq is that he be, #1, not Saddam, and #2, that he not aid and abet our enemies. Anything beyond that is for the Iraqis to work out.

14 posted on 08/19/2002 7:43:05 AM PDT by marron
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To: realpatriot71
In other words, what we have here is a war in search of evidence. Actually, you and I know that the Imperial Presidency doesn't need "evidence" (now widely regarded as a quaint 18th century concept) to wage war these days.
15 posted on 08/19/2002 7:43:25 AM PDT by Austin Willard Wright
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To: marron
In theory, your assertion that Iraq's choose their own leaders once Sadaam is killed, sounds good. The foreign policy experience of recent years, however, indicate the hard reality that an invasion will be followed by decades of nation building, foreign aid, endless attempts to micromanage Iraq "democracy on the theory that "we can't just walk away."
16 posted on 08/19/2002 7:46:01 AM PDT by Austin Willard Wright
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To: Austin Willard Wright
As you can see, logic can't compete with viscera.

Given the proliferation of ambiguous phrasing in the administration's statements to the press, I suspect Bush is searching for a face-saving out from the proposed war on Iraq.

At the same time, after a billion dollars a month, the al-Qaeda leadership (supposedly the real culprits behind 9/11--though the groundwork's already being laid to send that down the memory hole) remains active and we're stuck guarding Karzai in Afghanistan for the foreseeable future.

Bush is being advised by men who are pushing the foreign policy goals of Israel, not the United States' goal of eliminating those responsible for the WTC attacks. Who knows? This realization may be slowly beginning to dawn on the president.

17 posted on 08/19/2002 8:12:49 AM PDT by SteamshipTime
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To: Diogenesis
You study the West Nile Virus?

Do you work in virology, or was the gif just something you found out there?

Interesting that it found its way to America, but I think it will find our fall and winter seasons quite inhospitable.

Also, I disagree with most of what you have said about invading Iraq. I think the region is too unstable to withstand a unilateral attack by the United States. I think the article above had some logical flaws. However, I think it would be a poor idea to fan the flames of war in that region right now. If the UN is so concerned with Hussein building up weapons, then perhaps they should buck up and do something about it for a change.
18 posted on 08/19/2002 8:25:08 AM PDT by mysterio
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To: Enemy Of The State
As has been pointed out, there are some serious logical flaws with the piece. For one, it is said that there's no evidence Saddam's got any WMD working, so we shouldn't invade. But, if he does, then he'd use them on us or Israel. Well, isn't this the problem? How long do we wait to find out? Until he can hold the region as hostage?

That said, there are some good points made here, even if the dirty old hippie scum who wrote is a little inconsistent.

19 posted on 08/19/2002 9:00:40 AM PDT by big gray tabby
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To: Diogenesis
1. A war against Iraq would be illegal.

There is no such thing as international law. Gentlemens' agreements on certain issues, yes, but those are completely unenforceable and are routinely ignored by every other country on the planet whenever it suits their needs to do so. Only the US is expected to follow it to the letter. The hell with that.

20 posted on 08/19/2002 9:28:04 AM PDT by Timesink
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