Need a 5% spread to counter the cheating.
Voters who thought if Trump v Biden v Kennedy, they could lodge a po'test vote for Kennedy, but have now realized without Biden they would be outsmarting themselves.
I see the vast majority of flippable Kennedy supporters as highly allergic to Mattress Back. That could be the margin in AZ/NV/ME2. And yeah ME2 is important because it goes Trump again, there is a non-zero 269-269 tie scenario.