[BlueStateRightist]

Rasmussen -- unchanged from last week.

[Sam Gamgee]

Need a 5% spread to counter the cheating.

[StAnDeliver]

To my surprise, if you read the internals from the 4 best three-way polls that include Kennedy, there is a minor clawback underway by Trump from Kennedy, about a full point.

Voters who thought if Trump v Biden v Kennedy, they could lodge a po'test vote for Kennedy, but have now realized without Biden they would be outsmarting themselves.

I see the vast majority of flippable Kennedy supporters as highly allergic to Mattress Back. That could be the margin in AZ/NV/ME2. And yeah ME2 is important because it goes Trump again, there is a non-zero 269-269 tie scenario.