Posted on 08/04/2024 11:33:47 AM PDT by thegagline
287 Trump, 225 Harris. Harris needs plus 3.4 Nationaly to win the EC. Yes I know about the fraud.
Why would he do that? polls don’t move around that much...last time Biden was up 10% for two months straight then suddenly on election eve he is down to 5% real results 4.5% stop falling for this BS...PLEASE.
Real result is going to be 51% Rep - 48% Dem this is the best case for Democrats forecast...all what you hear now is to no depress democratic turnout.
THINK ABOUT BIDEN WENT FROM 10% to 5% it is not possible scientifically.
“Rich Baris calls it “the election mafia.” Guess who it always favors.”
Yep...
This was all totally predictable.
Republicans made Joe Biden the big problem They removed the problem. Liberals etc flocked back to the democrats.
Disgraceful and ignorant but it is reality.
And Trump campaign is at best finally deploying half of what’s needed.
My best guess is we will lose this election, though hope to be wrong.
Check it’s all the party has propaganda she’s only a puppet Biden replacement.
She couldn’t get 3% of votes when she tried to run for president had to drop out.
There is also the unforeseen factor. Those who are presumed to be voting Dem who will actually vote for Trump at the end. I think he is going to break 300.
For God’s sake pay attention to the math.
Click the CBS News link on the RCP list, scrolled down a page or so.
There are two CBS News sample. The one today and the one mid July. The one today can be scrolled ALL THE WAY TO THE END. They describe their sampling and say, explicity, AN OVERSAMPLING OF BLACKS (who will go 75% Harris).
That description phrasing IS NOT IN THE MID JULY report. They did not oversample blacks in mid July and they did now. Of course the needle is going to move. How could it not?
We’re damn lucky CBS added that phrasing at the end. Maybe it’s required to be included in the RCP computation.
Registered voters or likely voters?
You never Trumpers are just giddy over the prospects of having the ho as POTUS. But she has no more chance then your desanctomoniuos did.
For what it’s worth, the final YouGov poll in 2020 showed Biden at 53.2% and Trump at 44.3% - a difference of almost 9%. The actual result was 51.3% to 46.8%, a 4.5% margin and double what their poll predicted.
Like you said, it’s propaganda, and it’s on overdrive. Did you see her picture of the so called empty Trump rally?
https://x.com/KamalaHQ/status/1819854289650790714
Article here, scroll down for the side by side pictures.
https://redstate.com/nick-arama/2024/08/03/kamala-campaign-account-n2177715
Not buying it. This is a classic response bias.
“She couldn’t get 3% of votes when she tried to run for president had to drop out.”
Yep... Fact is even the democrats in high places with money do not want a cackling neurotic female as president. She is too unpredictable and can’t be controlled as they like. There is perpetually the hypocrisy factor with these democrats that can be predicted pretty well. They are going to replace her.
What the hell kind of polling is that? Real Clear Politics Polling included the CBS national poll numbers but didn't include their questionable Battleground results.
Just look at the first comment from Sara Rose who calls her a lying sack of sh!t
Everyone here has some polling explanation or fraud explanation.
That is total bullcrap. The swing back to a new Democrat, and the media bias was 100% predictable.
Trump doesn’t need our votes. He will win FR with 99%.
Do some of you realize there really is a nation of minorities and squishy brained liberal Rinos and worse out there?
I could give you countless examples of how the population is by design uninformed and weak.
These are the idiots that clog up every social media post by mocking God and hating evil Christians.
The people (of all colors) who go on endlessly about the evils of white people.
You can’t post a picture of an animal on line without them screaming “Leave it alone, they were here first!”
This is not a population of critical thinkers who can look out for their own good.
They will neuter their own kids and let them take drugs because it’s trendy.
They will defend terrorists.
Their highest moral calling is to abort babies.
Is it everyone? No but there are a ton of them.
And all Trump had to do is act presidential, reassure these idiots and remind them that Kamala is an idiot.
So far he’s not doing that. His ads are ok, but they don’t include the reassuring Trump, because he’s not acting that way.
We can still win but it should be easier than this.
Yep...
Sorry NOT buying it!!
Isn’t the saying dims poll better in the summer and Republicans poll better after Labor Day?
Not that these polls actually mean anything....
That she couldn’t get 3%in their primary before, had absolutely nothing to do with this election.
They did vote for her and a horrible presidential candidate and one way or another, they won.
Nixon was demolished politically and came back to win a landslide reelection.
We need to deal with reality.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.