Posted on 05/21/2024 1:33:12 AM PDT by Redmen4ever
They’ve been skimming votes across the country for decades, and NH is a prime spot for it. We’d have had another Rep and Senator just from NH in 2020.
We need to start encouraging conservatives fleeing NY, NJ, CA and other liberal hell holes to move to VT, ME, NH, RI and DE, instead of Texas and Florida. Less than 100,000 to each state could change the house as well as the senate.
The GOP has led in registrations in NH except for the big flip in 2008, which flipped right back in 2010, and then the big lurch to the left in 2020 which has now been rectified.
If you want to see the wild fluctuations in NH, look at the state House elections from 2006 on. Huge swings towards the good guys in 2010, 2014 and 2020; the other direction in 2006, 2012 and 2018.
Sure they have 400 seats so the raw numbers would tend to be large sometimes, but swings of 80, 90, even 120 seats have happened just within the past 20 years. At THAT level, they go whichever way the wind is blowing.
All while consistently giving the GOP presidential candidate a percentage within a single point of his national average — every single election since 1992 with the exception of 2004 when Bush missed the average by a whopping 2 points.
Skimming votes or harvesting votes?
My wife and daughter constantly fight bad legislation in Concord. Both have testified multiple times in the last few years. My daughter has gotten so good at it that the other side tried to hire her as a lobbies. In fact, they could not believe she had not gone to law school.
My point is that the Dems have MONEY to hire lawyers to fight for their causes. We do not in most cases. My wife and daughter are not getting paid to spend their time driving there and speaking.
I have heard this multiple times from another buddy who is the NH State Rep for my town. The Dems always have more money to spend and are better organized. Even for the election of a State Rep. My buddy has been outspent in every election he has been in the last ten years. He and the other two Republicans in my distrct won the last time all by less than 20 votes. One guy won by 6 after the recount. All this for a job that you get paid $100/year plus mileage to Concord.
The Bluest areas of NH are around the major colleges. Hanover, Durham/Portsmouth, Plymouth, Keene. Lots of liberal college employees and rich kids.
The other major area are the wealthy people who retire to their lakefront houses. Many of these people spent the majority of their life in MA, RI, CT, NY and came to NH on the weekends in the summer. Now, they live year round at the lake house. They pay huge property taxes and are living off their investments. Except, now they get to vote here because they are full time residents.
The other strong Dem area is Concord. The state of NH employees tend to be more Dems than Rep.
Historically, voter fraud has been easy in NH, so that is an extra obstacle.
Electronic games. Gen. McInerney (so?) is adamant that he’s seen the classified evidence of the theft nationwide—and that it included the NH Senate race and the closer of the House race in 2020. (Don’t know the deal for 22.)
Four years ago, the polls were way off. The biggest single reason was over-sampling of Ds. The polls, on average, had a skew of 4 points D. Based on a variety of information, including trends in voter registration, I thought the Ds would have a skew of 2 points. It turned out, via the Exit Poll, the Ds only had a 1 point edge. I am seeing a similar thing this year. Rs continue to gain in registration, but this isn’t being reflected in the partisan composition of the polls. I suspect we will again over-perform the polls.
Don’t worry, pedo Joe. The massholes will flood into NH to vote and keep it blue.
Nothing accounts for voter fraud / mail in ballots.
I used to be skilled at reading the polls with extremely good accuracy. That all went out the window in 2020 with the mail in ballots. According to the way I used to read polls, there is no question that Trump won. Then we also saw the red wave fizzle out in 2022, which according to the polls should have never happened. They are stealing these elections.
Since you used to be skilled at reading the polls, how do you account for Trump over-performing the polls both in 2016 and in 2020, esp. in 2020, given massive voter fraud?
It's a vote of no confidence by Bill Maher/Joe Lieberman type Democrats.
Abortion was a big issue in 2022.
Kool! That could mean that he’ll be making campaign stops there as he did in ‘16 and ‘20. If he does I’ll be there...as I was in the past.
Yes
It has gone Democrat every election from 2004 on, but the margins in 2004 and 2016 were very slim--Hillary probably won by fraud (her margin was less than 3,000 votes).
2016 was a murder suicide
Hillary won by 0.3 percent of the vote, 47.6 to 47.3, with Gary Johnson getting 4.1.
Hassan won by 0.2 percent of the vote, 48.0 to 47.8, with a right-of-center independent and the libertarian getting 4.1.
If Kelly Ayotte had simply gritted her teeth, and not dis-endorsed Trump, Trump would have won, and so would she (as few of Trump’s supporters would have defected to the minor candidates).
We’ll see what Ayotte does this time around.
As Benjamin Franklin said, we hang together, or we will hang separately.
there were plenty of indications inside the polling that Trump was way overperforming than the MSM wanted people to believe. Particularly, watching the early voting totals coming in in FL were showing a Republican win. IIRC, our own LS in 2016 was keeping close track of the early vote totals coming in. They don’t say how people voted, but they did say which party the voters were registered with that were voting. And Rs were overperforming. There was also plenty of polling from Trafalgar showing Trump performing well in swing states.
All of this is out the window now with mail in ballots. The elections are completely rigged.
I know the R voters in NH are the purplish of Reds, but if the state was ever gonna flip, it’s this time.
So, the D’s weren’t stuffing the ballots in 2016 or 2020. Instead, the polls missed the shift in registrations to R’s. This is a curious statement. Most people who dismiss Trump’s lead in the polls think there was massive cheating in the past.
Here is what we can say for sure: the polls were more skewed than D’s were cheating. That is, there could have been some cheating by the D’s, but the skew in the polls was bigger than the cheating.
Take a look at the partisan composition in this year’s polls. You will find that the polls continue to to miss the shift in registration (in states that register voters by party).
The shift is reflected in the Gallup Poll (this verifies that the shift in partisan composition is nationwide, not just in the states that register voters by party).
https://news.gallup.com/poll/15370/party-affiliation.aspx
Trump is going to do better than the polls are indicating, again. And, since Trump is now ahead in the polls, he will win by a bigger margin, rather than lose by a smaller margin as in 2020.
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