Posted on 03/11/2023 8:01:07 AM PST by CFW
REPUBLICANS
Barrasso, John (R-WY)
Blackburn, Marsha (R-TN)
Braun, Mike (R-IN)
Cramer, Kevin (R-ND)
Cruz, Ted (R-TX)
Fischer, Deb (R-NE)
Hawley, Josh (R-MO)
Romney, Mitt (R-UT)
Scott, Rick (R-FL)
Wicker, Roger F. (R-MS)
Of this list WE should target Mittens and Wicker-red states.
Good news is Braun is kicking himself upstairs-Gov.
Cramer is on my $hit list but there’s nobody else.
I’m thankful Blackburn upgraded her seat.
“Dems gain more Senate Seats ... in 2024.”
Patently absurd.
Exactly how many (and WHICH) Senate seats do you think the Rats are going to take that are currently held by Republicans? Be specific.
I’ll save you the trouble — the answer is “zero”.
There are zero vulnerable GOP incumbents and the one open seat (Indiana) should be a sure hold. If Mitt Romney decides not to run or gets beaten in a primary (ha) that would be great, but he’s not vulnerable to any *Democrat* — and why should he be? They love him.
The bad news is that Republican pickup opportunities — ones with a reasonable probability of actual success — are not great.
West Virginia is #1 on the list, and there is some hope for Montana (but we always say that), Nevada (LOL), Arizona (double LOL), Pennsylvania (triple LOL), Michigan (see the pattern yet?). Along with some outright pipe dreams like Wisconsin, Virginia and Minnesota.
The Rats have a lot more seats to defend, but in almost all cases they are likely to do just that.
With Ronna McDaniel in charge of the RNC, she will find a way to blow it again.
We have a “chance” to unseat all of them. They are all in marginal districts — that’s the whole point.
Before the “muh red wayve!!1!” types crawl out of the woodwork however, it should be noted that there are quite a few Republican incumbents who are in every bit as much danger as these targeted 29.
Here are some now:
David Schweikert (AZ)
Juan Ciscomani (AZ)
John Duarte (CA)
David Valadao (CA)
Mike Garcia (CA)
Young Kim (CA)
Ken Calvert (CA)
Michelle Steel (CA)
Lauren Boebert (CO)
Anna Paulina Luna (FL) — she’ll probably get slimed in the primary too since the squishes hate her
Any of 4 GOP incumbents (except Feenstra) in Iowa
Andy Harris (MD)
John James (MI)
Brad Finstad (MN)
Ann Wagner (MO)
Ryan Zinke (MT)
Don Bacon (NE)
Tom Kean Jr. (NJ)
George Santos (NY) Duh.
Anthony D’Esposito (NY)
Mike Lawler (NY)
Marc Molinaro (NY)
Brandon Williams (NY) NY could be a real bloodbath in 2024, as bad as CA.
Lori Chavez-DeRemer (OR)
Scott Perry (PA)
Monica de la Cruz (TX)
Tony Gonzales (TX) hopefully faces a non-RINO in a primary; Gonzales is garbage.
Jen Kiggans (VA)
Most of those are VERY endangered; some not as much.
Just by coincidence, that list is almost precisely as long as the one which enumerates all of our great pickup opportunities from the Dems.
I assumed people who are interested could go to the link and read it for themselves. I’m always wary of posting too much of the linked article in the excerpt. I know there is limitations on how much we are supposed to include in our original post so I err on the side of caution by being brief.
However, I appreciate your including the list in your post. FR members do excellent team work in providing information to keep everyone as informed as possible. I suspect many conservative news sites come here to find subjects of interest to their readers.
As there is no North Carolina seat in this class, I may run some threads as the primaries advance. It would be wonderful to have a ten seat flip. There are always issues like Romney versus a non-Mormon more hardline MAGA candidate where we could go to great effort in the primary but loose in the General.
Pennsylvania - Michigan - Deep Blue - Arizona has too much GOP in fighting
I worked the 2022 Mid-Term Campaign for Ron Johnson in Wisconsin he barely won against lunatic Communist Madela Barnes. Tammy Baldwin is Senator for Life in Wisconsin.
Watch out for Indiana - rumor is that Mayor Pete Butthead is running for the open seat - The Hollywood and Soros money would be a tidal wave and Butthead could win.
The other one to watch is Ted Cruz in Texas - he has moved from Solid R to Likely R - The Dems will pour Millions into Texas to knock off Cruz.
Not one Dem except for Joe Manchin is in trouble - Tester has been moved to Likely D
2024 could look like 1964 if you are old enough to remember that debacle
In Indiana, Mayor Buttplug shouldn't be able to win no matter how much liberal geld rolls into that race. For a Democrat to have a chance in that state he needs to be either a phony moderate (like Joe Donnelly was and Buttplug is not) or have a good conservative GOP opponent who gets obliterated by the media and backstabbed by the simps in his own party (which happened to Mourdock did but Banks will likely avoid that fate).
Jim Banks starts off as a heavy favorite there, IMO. OTOH heaven help us if that idiot Holcomb somehow gets the nomination; so far he's not even running.
Those are the same ones who were supposed to lose their seats LAST year. They’ll all outspend their Republican opponents at least 5-1.
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