Posted on 10/25/2020 4:20:05 AM PDT by RandFan
There are not 8% of voters who are undecided. Everyone knows who Trump is and who Biden is. If they claim undecided, that means they support Trump.
7,314,614 Registered Voters
Oct. 23, 2020 (7:30 a.m.)
2,313,378 One-Stop Early Voting Ballots Cast
Oct. 24, 2020 (5:30 p.m.)
771,388 Absentee Ballots Cast
I agree with you.
Which is why I don’t post the Fake polls!
The ones I post were accurate in ‘16.
Good point but I dont expect them ALL to break for Trump.
It will put him over 50% though and that’s a win.
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It wont be a landslide victory (IMO).
If people were willing to show up in the thousands for BLM rallies, despite COVID, why wouldn’t they show up for a Biden rally, even if it’s just to fool us into thinking they’re enthused?....usually, Democrats bus in thousands of people to show up at campaign rallies....they give them $20, a sandwich and cigarettes....that ain’t happening this year...they knew there was no enthusiasm for Biden, so they figured it would be to their advantage to use COVID as an excuse to not have crowds...they thought if the NBA and baseball could get away with empty stadiums, Biden could too...they are way too deep into the lethargy now to reverse course, so fear not!
In short, if the Core 3 holds then he needs just one of the Rust Belt states.
I’ve been telling y’all for a while....Trump’s going to carry both Florida and NC. I’m from Florida and have lived in NC for several years now. Its obvious the Trump support is even stronger than last time when Trump carried NC by 4%.
Yes, White Suburban Women are a major weakness but Trump has even more support from Independents who sat out or voted Libertarian last time. Even more rural Democrats will cross over and support him this time, and NC has a large Black population who comprise 20% of the electorate in this state. Trump will do better with them this time than he did last time.
You haven’t heard mention of Iowa or Ohio - and Trump pulled his advertising in both - because he is stomping Biden in both.
Bingo. So-called “undecideds” will break massively for Trump like they did last time. They claim to be “undecided” for the same reason I am registered as an Independent here in NC.
And 2020 is more intimidating and threatening than 2016. Therefore less cooperation.
Folks, want reality?
Trump has ALWAYS been ahead in OH (big +7-10), IA (+4-6), FL (+1-2), NC, is tied or ahead in NV, is ahead a tad in MI and WI and tied or ahead in MN. I haven’t seen enough data with PA, but Baris thinks it’s -2, almost same as Trafalgar, but Baris says Trump is +6 with indies there (!?) Both repeatedly and vociferously have said they are NOT-—still not——getting the “Shy Trump” voter, despite multiple screen questions.
For example, Richard told me in his AZ polling that he had to stop short of 1,000 because of northern AZ (80% Trump). He just couldn’t get any respondents. Likewise, Cohn admits they are not polling central/northwest PA and no one is polling the WOW counties. They just stop in Dane, or in PA, they do Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, and a few stops in the southern lane.
Point is, their samples are STILL badly skewed even for guys on “our” side.
Maybe the left has learned. Not sure if I like Trump ahead in polls this close to the election. Could this be push polling to rev up the disinterested dem base?
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I tend to believe that pollsters are edging closer and closer to the truth, they will never show the absolute truth, it would make Biden look terrible but at the same time they don’t want to look like the total idiots they were in 2016.
They have played their, “Biden in a landslide” tune as long as they could, if they want to retain what little credibility they may have.
Remember please, it’s only my opinion, not trying to start a fight with anyone,
Trump was NEVER behind. Polls are BS. The “tightening” is BS. It is simply CYA.
Could you clarify your comment on NC in your second paragraph?
Of course the left hasn’t learned.
This poll is way off.
Add a few points to Trump and take away 1-3 from Biden and you’ll be closer to the real numbers.
IF Trump needs cash...he has sources
I think you meant this for bort. What did I say?
Get back to me when he takes the lead in places like MN, NV, NH, VA, CO, NM, etc... states that *should* be in his column except for GOPe incompetence over the years.
In post #31 First line, second paragraph you list NC but it looks like you didn’t include the percent we’re ahead there.
Forgive me for being picky, but I tend to pay close attention to your posts especially now.
Baris says Trump is up in AZ anywhere from 2.5-4.5.
Says he is doing much better in Pima CO than he thought, and that he (Baris) is having trouble polling the deep red northern Trump counties. NO one answers a phone.
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