Sunday Morning Talk Show Thread 19 July 2020

Various driveby media television networks ^ | 19 July 2020 | Various Self-Serving Politicians and Big Media Screaming Faces

[Alas Babylon!]

As always, soliciting FReeper comments, observations, and opinions on the shows.

[Alas Babylon!]

This is the Sunday Morning Talk Show Thread Ping List! If you want to be on it, reply to this post or FReepmail me (in case I miss it). If you want to be taken off, simply send e a FReepmail.

[Alas Babylon!]

C-SPAN Radio, available on the net also, click here, broadcasts all five Sunday talk shows starting at 12:00 noon Eastern, as follows:

12:00 PM - 1:00 PM NBC's "Meet the Press"

1:00 PM - 2:00 PM ABC's "This Week"

2:00 PM - 3:00 PM "Fox News Sunday"

3:00 PM - 4:30 PM CNN's "State of the Union"

4:30 PM - 5:00 PM CBS's "Face The Nation"

Listen at the link above WHILE you FReep! Also, Sharyl Attkinson’s Full Measure: Watch live at 9:30 EST.

[Alas Babylon!]

Here are the email addresses or web pages--and now Twitter pages--for commenting to the weekend talk shows:

Email: Meet the Press Meet the Press mailbox (web page for comments) Twitter: @MeetThePress @ChuckTodd

Email: Face the Nation ftn@cbsnews.com Twitter: @FaceTheNation

Email: Fox News Sunday FNS@foxnews.com Twitter: @foxnewssunday

Email: ABC This Week thisweek@abc.com Twitter: @ThisWeekABC @GStephanopoulos

Email: CNN State of the Union CNN State of the Union (web page for comments) Twitter: @CNNSotu @JakeTapper

Email: Sunday Morning Futures Maria@FoxBusiness.com Twitter: @MariaBartiromo

[Alas Babylon!]

“The Sunday Morning Bray”, by Bray!

I will praise thee with uprightness of heart, when I shall have learned thy righteous judgments. Psalm 119:7 (King James Version)

Once again, we have the analysts quoting these phony polls as if they were gospel when they have been proved over and over to have no correlation to election results. You would have a better chance of accuracy of throwing darts blindfolded at a spinning dartboard since it would take out the obvious bias. When you have no idea of what the actual turnout will be for the candidates then you have no idea of the outcome and by all appearances Trump has the motivated angry voters.

I started my writing hobby by making colorful posts on my beloved Oregon Ducks and people were always axing me how I was able to predict wins and seasons so well. One year in particular the entire board and local sports talk radio were predicting a disastrous year for the basketball team and most picked between 8 and 10 wins while I was predicting 21. They ended up winning 28 and getting to the Sweet 16.

This was simply one example, but I did it over and over and have always been the most accurate over the years until the board got woke and became unbearable to write for. The reason I was able to beat the experts and negative fans on the board was by going against groupthink. It really was as simple as that and analyze actual facts rather than repeat the groupthought.
Sports analysts are some of the most overpaid weathermen in the business. If you watch them, they all predict exactly the same teams as everyone else and are wrong about 50-55% of the time. If you were to take the average of predictions of the Super Bowl you would find they are wrong as often as they are right at about 50% and these people are paid millions of dollars to be right when you could do the same thing with a coin.

As a professional sports analyst you want to sound intelligent and knowledgeable so when it comes to picking a winner before the game is played you see who everyone else is choosing and you pick that team. Then you decorate the cake with your reasons which are all subjective but sound legitimate and give solid reasons why this player or that will win the game.

Why is it done that way? Simple economics, if you are all right you look like geniuses but if you are all wrong you can simply say you didn’t see the upset coming and you were all shocked. If you are out on a limb by yourself and you are wrong, then you are stupid and the group makes fun of you. After you miss a few out on the limb by yourself you are out of work and looking for a new career. This means you always go with the groupthink leading up to the game and you will all be right or all shocked with the upset since the better team didn’t really win.

Back in the day, I was right around 80% with my Ducks since it was a building program and the experts were always picking against them. Even the fans would pick against them to sound so intelligent and above the fray so they can be pleasantly surprised when they win as they stroked their objective chins. I simply had fun predicting the win all the way to the game and when we won, I was able to enjoy it all the more. When we lost it was twice the gut punch since I was truly sold on winning with no doubt about losing.

There is no difference between sports and election analysts other than sports commentators are not usually rooting for one team to win. They never cry on air when the team they predicted to win by a huge margin gets blown out by the upsetting team. Sports analysts will spend days and weeks explaining the strengths of the upsetting team and how the events occurred so the win happened. They do not spend the next year trashing the team and whining about how their team had the game stolen from them.

Pollsters do the same thing; they see what all the other pollsters are showing, and they will make their poll shadow theirs. They are not going to go out on a limb and be an outlier although some are simply pushing a narrative, they are never going to go against the grain so the Dem will always be in the lead if all the others show that. They know they will never have to explain what they got wrong so they make their polls and analysis look and sound like the group so they can all be right or shocked they missed something and all wrong.
Sports gurus will never go out on a limb more than once or twice in their lives for fear of losing face, political talking faces all belong to the same team and are going to echo the same message. To say Trump is going to win reelection will get you out on the smallest of limbs and nobody wants to be out there if the group is right.

How was I able to predict games at 80%, my Ducks won at around 80-90% it was just that the Debbie Downers were more interested in sounding intelligent than truly analyzing the teams. They were more afraid of going against the group and having to really point out strengths and weaknesses than simply repeating the echo chamber and saying how good the favorite was and how they beat such and such a team while ignoring the teams my Ducks had beaten. Back then, every team was good until Oregon beat them and then they were a lousy team since they lost to the Ducks.

You see the same thing in politics. Everyone is assuming Trump is losing and are reading the talking points of why. Even though 2016 should be fresh in their mind they have the same fake polls they used last time and the same polls which are wrong more than 60% worldwide and run around as a gaggle of geese hoping for a DNC win.
The analysts from the Conservative side are so intimidated from being outsiders they will not climb out on that limb and predict a Trump win even when it is staring them in the face. Which swing voter is not better off today than they were under Obama/Biden? That is all that matters.

So once again I am risking my 7 Presidential election streak and officially predicting a Trump reelection. My reasons are the incumbent is hard to beat since who wants to change horses in the middle of a flooded stream? Who would want to ride a dead horse? The economy is doing very well even with the virus and most are going to vote their wallets. The Christian vote is going to come out stronger than it did last time, and blacks are not buying BLM and are going to vote Trump between 30-50% as he goes after them like no Republican ever has.

This is real analysis and not the pap you see by the talking hair. These are real reasons although they need to be pushed with a solid grassroots campaign, but how you can look at these two candidates and not say Trump is the favorite is either pure bias or fear of going going out on that limb. This is as easy as picking my Ducks against overrated Florida State in the Rose Bowl. Who had FSU beaten, and my Ducks were loaded which is why they won 59-20 while I was doing the tomahawk chop in the endzone.

I was the minority who picked against the majority and loved every minute leading up to the game and the win. I also picked Trump to win the minute he gave his speech after coming down the escalator who could read America like no other politician. He talks to the common man and not the pundiots who are offended by that. This is why I picked 44 of 50 states correctly and they were seen crying on the screen the night of the election being wrong on 20 of 50. If these people were picked on accomplishments, they would be replaced but that is not how the media complex works.

As hard as it is you have to ignore the propagandists and realize they are really cowards to not go against the groupthink. Even though they likely have huge doubts listening to babbling Biden, there is no way they are going against their team or the echo chamber to claim Trump will win. Just remember, just like my Ducks, the proclaimed experts will never pick them which is a good sign they will win.

Pray for the election

Note: The above opinion is not necessarily my own, but FReeper Bray’s. If you wish to discuss this, please ping Bray.

[Fishtalk]

• Morning AB, All. As always, thank you AB for doing this thread so reliably and keeping the peace with gentle thread policing. Thank you Bray for weekly written wisdom, Thank all yon contributors for excellent commentary to flesh it all out.

• Below are the words from my daily political diary. It is quite long so scroll on by if not interested. But do stay around and add your commentary and point of view to the thread.

Yes I am compiling a Blog about the great pandemic of 2020 and how my country stupidly shut down the economy.  We will have opinions, political and cultural highlights, my personal experience, social media details, even TV reviews since I watch so much TV while in my home jail.  We shall, as always, end with a smile.

MISC. PANDEMIC NOTES OF THE WEEK

(an update for my descendants)

Couple to be charged for protecting their property and themselves

They live in St. Louis and one day a group of rowdies showed up at their door.  It is said that the mob threatened their dog, their property and their lives.  So the pair, Mark and Patricia McCloskey, came out with weapons in hand (lawful and registered) and guarded what was their's.

There is a magnificent District Attorney in charge of this case, a Kim Gardner, alleged to be a tool of the wonderful George Soros who adores America.  According to campaign contributions she got quite a bit of money from the Soros group.

Thus, but of course, she is going to indict the McClosky's for daring to protect their property.  This was a private community by the way and the hoodlums had no right to be there.

As of this writing we are to understand that President Trump is going to interfere in this flip of the bird at the American constitution.

Because, yon descendants, if they go after the McCloskys, soon they will come after you.

-----------------------------

MAJOR POLITICAL EVENTS OF THE WEEK

(another update)

Jeff Sessions loses

The first major political story of this week beginning 7/13/20 is that Jeff Sessions, former AG of the Department of Justice, lost his bid to regain his senate seat in the state of Alabama.

In case all of history has been erased, by the time you read this, yon descendants, Sessions was appointed Attorney General by President Trump right after he was elected.  When a probe was announced to research the alleged interference with our election by Russia, aided and abetted by Trump, Sessions immediately recused himself.

Why?

Why did he do that?  More, why didn't he consult with President Trump before recusal?  Soon enough Trump replaced Sessions by Barr so Sessions sought to have his senate seat back.  Trump was very angry at Sessions as the Mueller probe was a big waste of time undertaken to somehow remove a lawfully elected president.

Trump campaigned for Sessions opponent and the opponent won.

I suppose this is the end of Sessions political career.

He made the dumbest move ever in politics.

President Trump Announces Massive Take Down of MS-13

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/3865165/posts

And what we’ve been in here discussing with the President is part of that effort, which is Project Vulcan, or Task Force Vulcan, which is targeting the higher-level players in the MS-13 operations in the United States.

MS-13 is somewhat unique in this sense: They have the street savagery that you would see in a gang; is not driven by commercial interests the way, for example, the Mafia traditionally was.  It’s about honor of being the most savage, bloodthirsty person you can be and building up a reputation as a killer.  So this is, in some ways, is a death cult.

And then they use the terror that they cause by their savagery to extort.  And they’ve gotten increasingly into human trafficking and now narcotics trafficking.  But that’s a sideline, to some extent, to their basic purpose, which is violence, terrorizing people.

Also, unlike a street gang, they’re highly organized as a transnational organization.  They operate with a hierarchy, with programs — they call them “programs”; think of it as a crime family, essentially.  And then under each program, they have different cliques.  They have programs and cliques operating in the United States, while their center of gravity is in Central America.  There are thousands that have come into the United States illegally.  They’re virtually all illegal aliens.  They come in now through the — although it’s harder to get across the border, but traditionally, they’ve come across the border into Houston and then fanned out across the United States into different centers of activity.

Today, we were talking with the President about three actions we took.  Melgar Díaz was indicted in the Eastern District of Virginia — first time we’ve used terrorism charges against a member of MS-13.  He was responsible for activities in 13 states — 20 cliques in the United States.  He was also the person who would greenlight assassinations in the United States.  The orders come from El Salvador — or they request to assassinate people who go down to El Salvador, and he would greenlight the hit.

We also took down — this was an HSI case in Las Vegas.  We took down the Hollywood clique, which operated not only in Nevada, but also in California and in the Eastern District of New York — again, Long Island.  And we took down 21 members and the leadership of that organization.

And then, finally — these are the New York indictees.  And then, finally, I announced that we are going to seek the death penalty against Alexi Saenz who is a leader in the Eastern District of New York, a leader of MS-13 there.

Above is the narrative by AG Barr during a press conference when it was announced the update on ridding this country of MS-13, a terror street gang coming mostly from San Salvador and Guatamala.  During the press conference Trump lamented the many American citizens (mostly Democrat) who want to welcome immigrants to our country, with no investigation, to anybody who could walk in.

Check out the link provided to read all the words at the press conference.

Here's hoping that when yon descendants read this the country is not governed by MS-13 who will take away our guns and control our lives.

----------------------------------

MAJOR CULTURE EVENTS OF THE WEEK

(one more update)

Ghislaine Maxwell Denied Bail

It was a surprise, yon descendants, that sweet Ghislaine Maxwell was even found and arrested.

Maxwell was the female pimp for good ole Jeffrey Epstein, a pervert who liked young girls and secured them for plenty of other wealthy and famous people.

Former President Bill Clinton traveled to Epstein's famous Lolita Island 26 times.  Prince Andrew was quite the consumer of young flesh.

The question was if Maxwell would be granted bail, she who hops a plane and travels all over the world at the drop of a hat.

She was not granted bail and shall remain in jail until the scheduled trial in July of 2021.

Host of Masked Singer fired***

***Please note that Cannon was NOT fired from Fox's  The Masked Singer, no doubt because it is so sucessful no mind Cannon's derogatory anti-semantic podcast. 

Below is my original post when I thought he was fired as host of the Masked Singer.  Cannon was fired, however, from ViacomCBS' "Wild and Out", a show I never heard of.

The Masked Singer is my favorite show of recent times.  I consider it very clever, having singers dressed in costume disguise, sing songs, while a panel of judges tries to figure out who the singer might be.  I wrote a review of this show, in fact, HERE-

https://patfish.blogspot.com/2020/03/tv-survivor-update-reviews-of-little.html

During his hour-plus podcast, which was reportedly taped last year and aired two weeks ago, Cannon and Richard "Professor Griff" Griffin, a former Public Enemy member, argued that Black people are the true Hebrews and that Jews have usurped their identity.

Seems that Nick Cannon put up a podcast that was offensive to Jews, see above.

Now he's off one of this year's most successful shows.

How dumb do you have to be?

-------------------------------------

PERSONAL NOTES FROM ME RE THE PANDEMIC

(that my descendants may know how I handled it)

Yon descendants, my hair is the worst it has ever been.  I look exactly like Matlock.  I cannot stand it any more.  Since my hair is so bad and we must wear horrible masks when out and about, why bother with dressing nicely?  But I am getting by yon descendants.  I think I'm going to live.

Above I posted a picture of a new cleaner that I recently purchased.  My house, yon descendants, even though I have been confined to home recently, has gotten dusty and grimy due to my malaise.  The commercial for this Clean Freak illustrated how one just sprays a dirty, grimy or stained area then boom, just wipe it all off.

I have no stock in Mr. Clean.  I am just a user of a new product.

It works magnificently.  I just spray and even in the kitchen with cabinets caked with greasy dirt it boom, just spray and wipe.

I love the stuff.  Yon descendants, give it a try if it's still around when you read this.

--------------------------------------

OVER THE INTERNET

(social media explains so much)

REVIEWS TV SHOWS

(since I watch so much TV, not for my descendants)

What Would You Do?

This show is the worst of all the TV shows we sometimes endure.

The idea is that some situation is planned.  The last one I watched they had a man in a store wearing a confederate flag logo.  The customers then complained loudly and obnoxiously about the flag and us viewers were treated to the many reasons the confederate flag is a bad thing.

Actors are hired to play the parts with innocent people taken in by the scam.  Then John Quiones comes out and kind of like a Candid Camera moment, he announces that this has all been filmed.

Another situation involved a supermarket clerk offering food to a homeless person caught stealing an apple or some such in a grocery store.  Her boss comes out and chastises the clerk for giving away food and we then are subject to the joys of kindness and giving and loving.

The show never covers the negatives of a situation they are creating.  Obviously grocery stores cannot stay in business while providing endless free food to the homeless.  Obviously a person should be able to have a confederate flag logo on his shirt and be allowed to do his daily business without a bunch of holier-than-thous getting in his face.  The confederate flag is not obscene or illegal or anything.

The idea of this show is to teach us all out here across the fruity plains how we should act in public and how we should feel in private.

The confederate flag is bad....BAD.  We should feed the homeless among us.

It's typical leftist think that we all should live by their rules no matter how void of common sense they might be.

Here's hoping that yon descendants are not taught by such television shows in the future after they shut down all the schools.

-----------------------------------

EDITORIAL

(My opinion for my descendants)

Uncle Eddie

I lost a beloved Uncle this past week.  Because Uncle Eddie was not choked by a police officer he was not entitled to a 6 hour funeral with thousands in attendance.  In fact, only a few of us were allowed to attend although we did watch over the Internet.

I wrote a tribute to Uncle Eddie but I won't post it in full here.  Click on link below to read if desired.

https://patfish.blogspot.com/p/image-may-contain-karetta-spivey-ocean.html

-------------------------------

TIME FOR A SMILE

[SilvieWaldorfMD]

Getting ready for DJT with Chris “Walla**”!

[mad_as_he$$]

Chrissy will be his usual punk self. Some of the interview has already been released. If I ever see Chrissy IRL I will be tempted to wipe that smirk off his face permanently.

[Alas Babylon!]

One big thing is Wallass will challenge Pres. Trump on Biden saying he was for defunding the police.

Biden DID say that.

Also, he completely supports the BLM agenda, which has as a major plank defunding the police.

The drivebys KNOW that this issue hurts the democrats and Joe Biden, so they were all faxed or emailed their marching orders “Uh-ah... Muh Biden din’d say that.”

Fox News, Jul 8 2020:

Joe Biden said in an interview Wednesday that some funding should “absolutely” be redirected from police, amid calls from some in his party to "defund the police" in the wake of the protests across the country.

So, if Trump was even allied with a cause they didn't like, you know the DNCMedia would try to ring that around Trump's neck.

So Joe can wear the words he said.

[freedom1st]

Good morning Alas Babylon!. Thanks for posting each week. I’m seriously considering skipping Chris Wallass’ interview of President Trump. From the previews I’ve seen, this is a big gotcha interview. President Trump should never had granted the interview. President Trump said Biden would defund the police. Wallass immediately defends Biden by saying Biden never said that. Trump brings out Biden’s agenda stating Biden would redirect funds from the police. Biden is on tape saying he would redirect funds from the police. Redirecting funds is the same as defunding. Wallass and Cavuto were all over Fox saying that Biden never said defund the police. Why is Fox defending Biden (/s)?

Chris Wallass’ interview will raise my blood pressure and so I think I have to skip Fox News Sunday for my health.

On the other hand, I look forward to watching Sunday Morning Futures with Maria.

[shalom aleichem]

Thanks A.B. FR has been full of negative posts lately. Need some cheer. Hopefully it comes with Trump either getting his message out with Chrissy W. or hands Mike’s Jr’s butt back to him.

[rodguy911]

Thanks for getting us started and then later the added wisdom week after week much appreciated.

[newfreep]

As much as I detest Wallass as a human being, I may watch FOX for POTUS interview.

[Deplorable American1776]

FNS has President Donald J. Trump on. I wish Sean would host FNS today...

[Alas Babylon!]

Yes. Even JimRob.

Still, it just shows you one thing....

We love our country so much, it physically hurts us to know she is in danger. If there ever was a clear and present danger, the democrats and Left today are that danger, more so than any other time in history save maybe the Civil War.

But like all good soldiers, and I believe our country is calling us to man up and be soldiers, we must be of strong heart and faith in our cause.

Remember what Bray says about elections and turnout.

We have got to turn out in November in millions upon millions.

Each one of us should be fighting back in any way we can, from small to big, as we can.

[DanZ]

Ray Dalio, Founder of Bridgewater Associates

WOW, hedge fund manager - Will he speak about the economy, will he speak about China, (WAR or how China's economy is failing and how that will effect the U.S)

The current forward price-to-earnings ratio on the S&P 500 based on 2020 earnings is 35.6 times earnings.

The historical average forward price-to-earnings ratio on the S&P 500 dating back a century and a half is 15.6 times.

Thus, today’s valuation is more than +125% greater than the historical average.

The forward P/E ratio on the S&P 500 has been higher than 35.6 only two other times in history.

Both are recent episodes. The first was from 2001-Q1 to 2002-Q2 during the bursting of the technology bubble.

The second was from 2008-Q2 to 2009-Q1 during the Great Financial Crisis.

During both of these past episodes, the P/E ratio moved in excess of 35 times forward earnings,

because while the S&P 500 price was falling (the “P” in the P/E ratio), the earnings were falling much faster (the “E” in the P/E ratio).

In contrast, the P/E ratio has moved in excess of 35 times forward earnings today because the S&P 500 price is rising even though earnings are falling considerably.”

[DanZ]

We have got to turn out in November in millions upon millions.

Yes indeed, turnout will be key in this November's election. Will the children of Nixon's silent majority show up to support their country?

[Alas Babylon!]

Laz posted this yesterday. It sums up all the hate directed at us:

1. Racism is defined as declaring that members of a given race are very bad people, strictly based on the color of their skin.
2. Being a racist defines you as a very bad person.
3. Many liberals state, authoritatively, that all white people are racist, simply because of the color of their skin.
4. Therefore, all white people are very bad people, strictly because of the color of their skin.
5. .... which is the very definition of racism.

I'm going to print this list on stickers and adhere to things like gas pumps, shopping carts, etc.

[Alas Babylon!]

We need to push this outside of our world here at Free Republic.

What can we do, who should we talk to, and how can we help?

[rodguy911]

Really good stuff and you are right there is little chance that Trump won't win.Unless a miracle happens and they re-progam the comouters or some states get mail-in voting or figure out how to bus in even more illegals and dead people to vote from never-never land, it's going to be a Trump landslide.

Pollsters are so pathetic polling certain areas of the country that always vote hard left, surveying more dems than Republicans over and over and basically hanging up on our side while seeking out the left. Yeah, they can create polls that are meaningless and constantly show the commies ahead.It's as corrupt as you can get. But, they don't mind. The threats leveled against the pollsters by the deep state and the money they are paid under the table becomes too much to ignore.

So once again bray is correct. Trump will win. We just have to trust in his judgment and stop cry-babying when things appear to be going the wrong way.It's all in the plan.And we have the ultimate planner,DJT!