Major Hurricane Michael Live Thread II

NHC/NOAA ^ | 9 October 2018 | NHC/NOAA

[NautiNurse]

0500 NHC Discussion:

The worst storm surge is expected between Tyndall Air Force Base
and Keaton Beach, where 9 to 13 feet of inundation is possible.

Dangerous hurricane-force winds will also extend well inland across
portions of the Florida Panhandle, southern Georgia, and southeast Alabama as
Michael moves inland.

[rodguy911]

Puerto Rico may not be the best of examples. I had an aide worker who spent lots of time in puerto rico in my store last week who told me that approximately half the aid that fema sent to the island was stolen and re sold by unscrupulous residents of puerto rico.

The teamsters who trucked the stuff around demanded an extra $50 to haul the stuff and then demanded that they run alone with no one watching what they do. Pretty obvious what was going on there.

[SE Mom]

G’morning. I am in awe of this storm, and I agree the geography of the whole area will be altered. This is sobering to see and I pray people in evac zones have left.

[NautiNurse]

Buoy 42039:

[NautiNurse]

Amen! Hope you have a good day at work. Check in when you are able.

[rodguy911]

We had a cat4 last year here in the Keys and from Islamorada to just north of Key West the damage was extensive. So bad "Big Pine key will be three or four years recovering if they are allowed to rebuild." Houses that had more than 50% of damage are not allowed to rebuild.

We have 1,300 hotel rooms in Islamorada. We still have only a little more than half ready for occupancy.THey are our economy.

Every day from 6-9 am we have a steady stream of const. workers heading to the middle and lower keys from the mainland to go to work. Few know how bad it was down here.

]If you are in the danger zone in the panhandle get the hell out of harms way or you may not be here after the storm.

[NautiNurse]

Sickening that thieves stole relief supplies in Puerto Rico. Sounds like Venezuela.

[NautiNurse]

Difficult to comprehend up to 15 ft. storm surge from Tyndall AFB all the way around Big Bend.

[rodguy911]

If the beach road is taken out which could easily happen its going to be tough sledding around the panhandle. I know the area well traveled it extensively since 1978.

[rodguy911]

The only thing that will be a bit of a mixed blessing is the forward speed which is 13 mph. but on the other side add 13 and 140 and you get 153 or near cat five velocity so its a mixed blessing.If the storm does not linger it will help.

[rodguy911]

This storm is booking in two days its back over the water again,amazing.

[gov_bean_ counter]

bump

[NautiNurse]

In this case, the forward speed 13 mph also means hurricane force winds will be maintained further inland. Tropical storm winds intact as the storm traverses the Carolinas.

[rodguy911]

http://myforecast.co/bin/tide.m?city=13274&metric=true&tideLocationID=null

Here’s the wind tide forecast for mexico beach. Looks like a high around 3pm and again around 2 am around three feet.add on a surge of ten and waves of who knows what and you have disaster.

[rodguy911]

Yeah I saw that, bad news coming north.

[rodguy911]

Not a far fetched example hope it never becomes a state.

[rodguy911]

Difficult to comprehend up to 15 ft. storm surge from Tyndall AFB all the way around Big Bend.

then add a three foot tide and a wave of who knows how big and you have a diaster.In many areas the beach road is not equipped to sustain all that could be really bad up there.

[rodguy911]

Amazing the power this thing has even when it loses the warm water for food.

[NautiNurse]

The news just keeps getting worse. Landfall with storm surge near high tide. Latest diameter of the eye is 16 miles, with hurricane force winds extending outward up to 45 miles. This results in hurricane wind field over 100 miles wide.

Historically, a storm wind field expands at landfall.

[mewzilla]

Florida nursing homes prep for power outages as Hurricane Michael nears

Talks about compliance with the new generator law.