Posted on 09/07/2017 8:09:47 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Highly charged warm bathwater. Pedal to the metal if it gets there.
If they do decide to leave, where will they go?
Hope you’re right....but I will keep my eye on that little bugger until he dies ....lol
Northern sections of Katia have been torn away and sucked out east into the trough front. It looks like the trough however slowed or stalled over Florida. Not enough influence and Irma wants Castro’s rear end.
If the residence has good elevation, is soundly constructed (older concrete/stucco/coral stone or coquina, or newer built to hurricane code, and she has storm shutters then the only immediate worry would be falling trees and the potential for scattered spin-off tornadoes. Is the property wooded?
Now’s a bad time to be hitting the road with gas running low or out and major interstates north being clogged. Zone B, good elevated lot and sound construction, I’d seriously consider staying put. Do they have water, food, generator, etc. to endure the likely weeks-long aftermath?
But, if she’s in a panic “no” might not be an acceptable answer.
They haven't said but probably to my home here in Mobile.
I understand it will be called "Lee".
Yes, but MY POINT is that no hurricane in recorded history has ever made a hairpin turn and went up the gut, in a near straight-line trajectory, in a specific direction, of a state or geographical area.
Matthew in 2016 may be the closest, as it ravaged the east-central coast of FL. But that trajectory was already there for it to do that.
I would hate for your sister and her family to get in the car and not make it to another place in time. However, if her home is near water or is not well built, I would ask her to go to a shelter.
new bookmark
With children involved, I think I’d probably leave and go to your house! Of course, I have no idea what situation they’re in. I would already be at your place.....I’m a coward with floods and tornadoes.
Where would your sister and the family go? Are they in a location that flooded already this summer? Some areas around the bay are better than others.
If she has time to get out safely, then yes. She will probably get the brunt of it.
Blam, this thing still has an unknown quantity about it...
In my humble opinion:
It is just as likely to hit your sister in Tampa
as it is to hit you in Mobile.
Her problem now would be in getting out (traffic, gasoline, etc.)
Yes! I think that’s the best solution. Especially if not prepared with food, water, etc.
Not according to what I've read. That upper lever low from Canada is said to be the biggest player in influencing Irma's turn to the north.
The timing of it's arrival is the pivotal factor in the turn to the north.
Your point was also that it would go into the gulf and then away from FLA
BTW I would prefer that to up the gut in FLA or long the west side
Maybe make land fall in somewhat less populated shore in ALA MISS etc and then inland with rapid weakening
I assume Duluth GA, not Duluth MN! - Glad you finally made it.
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