Posted on 11/04/2016 12:44:48 PM PDT by cdnerds
Earlier this week, I drove back roads from Roanoke, VA, near the southern border to Northern VA. Trump signs were everywhere. Clinton signs were around, but mostly on public property, like one small group of people did a road trip one day. Trump signs were mostly on businesses and private property in front of houses.
Two weeks ago, I was at a farmers market in Charlottesville, a liberal enclave, Berkeley East. Two ladies were trying to pass out Clinton signs and there weren’t many takers.
* It is classic Econ 101, i.e. effective changes around the margins.
* Ted Cruz campaigning with Pence near Grand Rapids?
* It is team Trump bring Ted aboard in a conservative area of Michigan to bring recalcitrant never Trumpers aboard, again increase the margins.
* Eric Trump at Grand Valley State University ( amazing school and campus research it on you own time )?
* He is going after kids that are focused, working towards degrees that are career orientated and frankly after visiting the campus look downright normal. Natural market IMHO.
* Eric going to Taylor Michigan to a Gun Shop to talk about the 2nd Amendment?
* Taylor is not a rich area, blue collar, yes the 2nd-D is a big deal but that fact it not a traditional "R" location to go got my attention.
I can't wait to see where Sarah Palin goes here in Michigan, but also how it increases her margins.
Oops, how it “increases DJT’s margins”... ;-)
Report that early vote/absentee voting among Dims down about 12% in Detroit, compared to 2012. If that’s the case, she is in serious trouble. In one regard, MI is like PA for the Dims; they have to run up big margins in the largest urban areas (Detroit, Philly) to offset GOP majorities elsewhere in those states.
Hardly an expert on MI politics, but if that margin holds, I think Trump takes the state.
I’m also in VA, and can affirm your observations. I’m in areas that are Dim strongholds (Norfolk, Hampton, Newport News) on a daily basis. You wouldn’t know there is a presidential race underway; no signs, no enthusiasm.
Then, drive a few miles into York County, an R+7 district (1st Congressional District). Trump signs everywhere; tremendous enthusiasm. A friend who is an election worker told me to get to the polls early on Tuesday, he believes turnout among GOP voters will set an all-time record.
One more note: VA Congressional districts were recently re-drawn; the 2nd District, previously concentrated on the southside (Virginia Beach area) and the eastern shore, now includes parts of the Tidewater Peninsula, including southern sections of York County. Supposedly one of the most competitive districts in VA; the GOP nominee (Scott Taylor) should win in a walk. The Dim nominee (an African-American man) couldn’t even get any funding from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.
Virginia will surprise on election day.
I took a five month break from FR partly because I moved just west of Milford and partly because I was a Cruz nevertrump voter due to my distaste of Rick Snyder and other liberal republicans. I finally got on board a week ago. I wasn't just a nevertrump person, but wanted to flip the middle finger at the bots, browbeaters and shamers just because those people need to lose. I don't like authoritarian people. Nobody tells me how to vote and nobody tells me what to do.
Cruz didn't get me on board the bandwagon at least directly. It was a combination of three things. One was the media and the social justice warriors. I used to live in Washtenaw County and dealt with them in Ann Arbor all the time. Another is trade and Supreme Court. One of the few things I actually do like about Trump is his stance on these trade agreements that have killed my state. Supreme Court is the other big issue.
Lastly, I had to call one of my good friends who is a mid-level GOP official. He's "reluctant Trump," was a Cruz guy, and is what I'd call "conservative establishment." He liked Cruz and Walker, disliked Trump, and was neverbush. I asked him if Michigan was really in play and if I was needed. He said there was a chance if conservative hold their nose, Detroit stays home, and there's enough union crossovers. He said "Planned Parenthood is spending 30 million to help Killary. Yes, we need you, and Michigan is legitimately in play. Look where the candidates are."
I'm one of the voters coming home. I hope I don't regret this like I did for W and Snyder.
Bernie won by 4 points.
I see she has 3 stops and even Obama is coming to Ann Arbor. When they have to fall back on MI as a firewall, they got problems.
Great news!!
Dear lord, you sound exactly like me. Polling in VA is rigged. One could even go back to 2009 when liberal polls gave him about 5 point lead. He won by almost 18. Only weeks before the election did polls reflect somewhat how far ahead he was.
Speaking of McDonnell
Here is my issue. I think the poll is a 5 point D advantage. It was double that in 2012. Not saying it would be the same, but that seems like too much. I do see at least 3 polls though showing trump closing within 4-6 points in last week.
It’s probably wrong on my part to jump in so late but I will never understand why blacks vote democrat.
What is the driver? I am a white guy from waaay up north.
I have worked with and for many black people. The last was a major banker from L.A. with quite an understanding of fed contracts.
Was I supposed to be racist and disavow his presence and knowledge?
I don’t get it. He taught me all along the way about business.
He was a Democrat that had a propensity to vote Conservative.
I keep thinking the same thing. I get weary just watching him. I pray to God this man wins...because I believe he will work just as hard for our country.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.