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4 way - Trump has a 2.4% lead in this poll now.- Net +1.5% vs yesterday; Trump +1, Clinton -0.5%;

Also notable - Trump had a net 2.6% move in the 2 way poll yesterday (Clinton -0.9%, Trump +1.7%)

1 posted on 10/22/2016 3:33:04 AM PDT by rb22982
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To: rb22982

Margin of fraud indicates trouble for Trump and us. Need ten points!


74 posted on 10/22/2016 7:57:25 AM PDT by JimRed (Is it 1776 yet? TERM LIMITS, now and forever! Build the Wall, NOW!)
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To: rb22982

Even IBD is playing games. Look at the poll internals.

Democrats had 7 million fewer Primary voters than 2008, yet Pollsters are sampling higher 2016 turnout.

IBD had to reweight their poll from R+2 to D+8 just to give Trump a 2 point win.

Trump leads the party vote by 7 and Indies by 16.

Oversample Dems by 8, and it looks close.


80 posted on 10/22/2016 9:23:36 AM PDT by sillsfan (Reagan and Sarah are right- WE win, they lose!)
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To: rb22982

B-b-but RCP says that they’re tied in LA Times and IBD. Y-you mean RCP is lying to us? Faint./s


81 posted on 10/22/2016 9:34:56 AM PDT by Eleutheria5 (“If you are not prepared to use force to defend civilization, then be prepared to accept barbarism.)
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To: rb22982
I thought for sure that the polls would have Crooked Hillary up by a double-digit lead by now. Not that it would be true but that would be the way to demoralize Trump voters and also build up a cover story for voter fraud (by being able to say she was ahead the whole time anyways).

I'm actually stunned that major polls are now showing Trump in the lead with still over two full weeks to go. The challenger typically "surges" in the final days.

With the very presidential speech that Trump just gave within the past hour, I sense that Trump momentum will continue to build.

That said, let's not take anything for granted. We must all act as though we are 10 points behind.

84 posted on 10/22/2016 10:05:07 AM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: rb22982

they are toying with us


90 posted on 10/22/2016 11:49:31 AM PDT by a real Sheila (BLACK LABS MATTER!)
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