Posted on 03/02/2016 12:51:07 PM PST by Kaslin
Wrong dumbo, Arkansas is a closed primary. At least look it up before you get snotty.
Because that's what all the stats say. You're living in a fantasy world making things up as you go along.
http://www.bustle.com/articles/145004-who-can-vote-on-super-tuesday-open-mixed-primaries-change-the-rules-up-a-bit
Mark L:evin pulled out a Secret Internal Poll like Rush tried
Come March 17th Cruz has to get out
I would think after Rubio fails to win Florida, he’d be the one to exit and Cruz would remain in.
McConnell is not worried about his legacy at this point. He is worried about what ever spying data the dems have on him getting out. He is wholly owned by the dems.
Not going to happen. The rest of the field is in a race for VP slot.
LOL Did he really? What did the internal poll say?
Super Tuesday is on March 1, 2016. See a more detailed list of Super Tuesday states available here.
Date
|
State
|
D Del.
|
R Del.
|
Type
|
Results
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mon, Feb 1 | Iowa Caucus | 52 | 30 (P) | Closed | Results |
Tue, Feb 9 | New Hampshire | 32 | 23 (P) | Mixed | Results |
Sat, Feb 20 | Nevada Caucus (D) | 43 | Closed | Results | |
Sat, Feb 20 | South Carolina (R) | 50 (WTM) | Open | Results | |
Tue, Feb 23 | Nevada Caucus (R) | 30 (P) | Closed | Results | |
Sat, Feb 27 | South Carolina (D) | 59 | Open | Results | |
Tue, Mar 1 | Alabama | 60 | 50 (P) | Open | GOP, Dem |
Tue, Mar 1 | Alaska Caucus (R) | 28 (P) | Closed | GOP | |
Tue, Mar 1 | American Samoa Caucus (D) | 10 | Open | Dem | |
Tue, Mar 1 | Arkansas | 37 | 40 (P) | Open | GOP, Dem |
Tue, Mar 1 | Colorado caucus | 79 | 37 (Unbound) | Closed | Dem |
Tue, Mar 1 | Democrats Abroad (Mar. 1-8) | 17 | Closed | Dem | |
Tue, Mar 1 | Georgia | 116 | 76 (P) | Open | GOP, Dem |
Tue, Mar 1 | Massachusetts | 116 | 42 (P) | Mixed | GOP, Dem |
Tue, Mar 1 | Minnesota Caucus | 93 | 38 (P) | Open | GOP, Dem |
Tue, Mar 1 | North Dakota Caucus (R) | 28 (Unbound) | Closed | ||
Tue, Mar 1 | Oklahoma | 42 | 43 (P) | Closed | GOP, Dem |
Tue, Mar 1 | Tennessee | 76 | 58 (P) | Open | GOP, Dem |
Tue, Mar 1 | Texas | 252 | 155 (P, unless winner gets 50%, then WTA) | Open | GOP, Dem |
Tue, Mar 1 | Vermont | 26 | 16 (P) | Open | GOP, Dem |
Tue, Mar 1 | Virginia | 110 | 49 (P) | Open | GOP, Dem |
Tue, Mar 1 | Wyoming Caucus (R) | 29 (Unbound) | Closed | ||
Sat, Mar 5 | Kansas Caucus | 37 | 40 (P) | Closed | |
Sat, Mar 5 | Kentucky Caucus (R) | 45 (P) | Closed | ||
Sat, Mar 5 | Louisiana | 58 | 47 (P) | Closed | |
Sat, Mar 5 | Maine Caucus (R) | 23 (P | Closed | ||
Sat, Mar 5 | Nebraska Caucus (D) | 30 | Closed | ||
Sun, Mar 6 | Maine Caucus (D) | 30 | Closed | ||
Sun, Mar 6 | Puerto Rico (R) | 23 (P) | Open | ||
Tue, Mar 8 | Hawaii Caucus (R) | 19 (P) | Closed | ||
Tue, Mar 8 | Idaho (R) | 32 (P) | Closed | ||
Tue, Mar 8 | Michigan | 148 | 59 (P) | Open | |
Tue, Mar 8 | Mississippi | 41 | 40 (P) | Open | |
Sat, Mar 12 | Guam (R convention) | 9 (Unbound) | Closed | ||
Sat, Mar 12 | Northern Marianas Caucus (D) | 11 | Open | ||
Sat, Mar 12 | District of Columbia Caucus (R) | 19 (P) | Closed | ||
Tue, Mar 15 | Florida | 246 | 99 (WTA) | Closed | |
Tue, Mar 15 | Illinois | 182 | 69 (P) | Open | |
Tue, Mar 15 | Missouri | 84 | 52 (WTA) | Open | |
Tue, Mar 15 | North Carolina | 121 | 72 (P) | Mixed | |
Tue, Mar 15 | Northern Mariana Islands Caucus (R) | 9 (WTA) | Closed | ||
Tue, Mar 15 | Ohio | 159 | 66 (WTA) | Mixed | |
Sat, Mar 19 | Virgin Islands Caucus (R) | 9 (WTA) | Open | ||
Tue, Mar 22 | American Samoa (R convention) | 9 (Unbound) | Open | ||
Tue, Mar 22 | Arizona | 85 | 58 (WTA) | Closed | |
Tue, Mar 22 | Idaho Caucus (D) | 27 | Closed | ||
Tue, Mar 22 | Utah | 37 | 40 (P) | Closed | |
Sat, Mar 26 | Alaska Caucus (D) | 20 | Closed | ||
Sat, Mar 26 | Hawaii Caucus (D) | 34 | Closed | ||
Sat, Mar 26 | Washington Caucus (D) | 118 | Closed | ||
Tue, Apr 5 | Wisconsin | 96 | 42 (WTA) | Open | |
Sat, Apr 9 | Wyoming Caucus (D) | 18 | Closed | ||
Tue, Apr 19 | New York | 291 | 95 (P) | Closed | |
Tue, Apr 26 | Connecticut | 70 | 28 (P) | Closed | |
Tue, Apr 26 | Delaware | 31 | 16 (WTA) | Closed | |
Tue, Apr 26 | Maryland | 118 | 38 (WTA) | Closed | |
Tue, Apr 26 | Pennsylvania | 210 | 71 (P, WTA) | Closed | |
Tue, Apr 26 | Rhode Island | 33 | 19 (P) | Mixed | |
Tue, May 3 | Indiana | 92 | 57 (WTA) | Open | |
Sat, May 7 | Guam (D) | 12 | Closed | ||
Tue, May 10 | Nebraska (R) | 36 | Closed | ||
Tue, May 10 | West Virginia | 34 | 37 | Mixed | |
Tue, May 17 | Kentucky (D) | 61 | Closed | ||
Tue, May 17 | Oregon | 73 | 28 (P) | Closed | |
Tue, May 24 | Washington (R)* | 44 (P) | Closed | ||
Sat, Jun 4 | Virgin Islands Caucus (D) | 12 | Open | ||
Sun, Jun 5 | Puerto Rico Caucus (D) | 67 | Open | ||
Tue, Jun 7 | California | 546 | 172 (WTA) | Mixed | |
Tue, Jun 7 | Montana | 27 | 27 (WTA) | Open | |
Tue, Jun 7 | New Jersey | 142 | 51 (WTA) | Closed | |
Tue, Jun 7 | New Mexico | 43 | 24 (P) | Closed | |
Tue, Jun 7 | North Dakota Caucus (D) | 23 | Closed | ||
Tue, Jun 7 | South Dakota | 25 | 29 (WTA) | Closed | |
Tue, Jun 14 | District of Columbia (D) | 46 | Closed |
Allocation – All Democratic primary/caucus delegates are proportionally allocated. Republican primaries/caucuses are listed as Proportional (P), Winner-Take-All (WTA), or Winner-Take-Most (WTM).
Proportional – Delegates are awarded based on the percentage of the vote received by candidates, or some formulation of dividing up the delegates
Winner Take All – All delegates are given to the winner of the contest
Winner Take Most – Some delegates are reserved for the winner, some may be divided proportionally.
Typ
Keep on dreaming
Are you for real? WTH of a site is Bustle.com. You have got to try better than that.
Negative. He’s hauling in just shy of 50% of the delegates.
“hell lose to the Anti-Trump majority if we can clear the field and make it a one-on-one contest.”
Problem is the one they want out is Cruz, and very little of his support will go to Rubio.
“Saturday we have some primaries and cacuses and I cant believe how ignored they are being in the media.”
Also Sunday, 3/6, and Tuesday, 3/8.
“Granted, the GOP-e RINO RNC make the rules”
And, as a pundit noted last night, Trump has been careful to play by the rules made by all the states’ GOP leaders. Now the GOP is frantic.
True tagline:)
Yep. By what states are left Cruz can’t win. Sorry folks.
Cruz needs to make a deal with Trump: Drop out for VP slot.
Trump/Cruz will WRECK hillary/whoever.
Beautifully done smackdown there, Kaslin.
Keep up the good work.
“Cruz lost Arkansas, a closed primary, and loses among moderates, conservatives and ‘non-evangelicals’ by large margins. Cruz only wins ‘very conservative’ and ‘evangelical’ voters— but, even then, not reliably, because he lost them in South Carolina, New Hampshire, Nevada, and in many places in the Deep South.”
First, Arkansas is an open primary.
Second, your assessment is based on media reports which are unfounded. They are unverifiable assertions. The same sort of data was put forward about how Cruz and Trump were doing in the polls. Most of the polls over represent support for Trump and under represent support for Cruz.
The truth is, if ANYONE could accurately predict the future, they would be richer than Trump.
The prognosticators have gotten it wrong repeatedly. Trump has the edge, obviously. But the primary season has a long way to go.
Don’t count your chickens before they hatch.
The calendar going forward doesn't favor Cruz in that regard.
First of all, if that's true then you have no data for your assessments either, since no polling is accurate. Then again, I suppose that would help your argument, because there are no polls that reflect anything that disagrees with my statements. There is literally not a single poll that disagrees with anything I said. Every single one of them shows Cruz does poorly with moderates, conservatives and slightly conservative, and only strong with very conservatives and Evangelicals. There is literally no poll that has been conducted which contradicts this. Secondly, my assessment is based on exit polling anyway, which closely match actual results, so your complaints are moot.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.