Thoughts on the disturbing murder of a scumbag, apparently by Russian Intelligence.

2015-01-21 | Dangus

[Rockingham]

Nevertheless, a 2015 Russian demographic study warns:

"Despite the recent positive dynamics of the birth rate, however, the potential for a demographic crisis is not over. In the coming years Russia will face the aftermath of the catastrophic decline of fertility of the late 1980s and the early 1990s. In 10 years the number of women in the most active reproductive age (20 - 29 years, when almost two thirds of all births take place), will fall by almost half; this will inevitably lead to a reduction in the number of births. Despite the recent increase in TFR to 1.7, this remains below the level for replacement. Given the sharp decline in the number of women of child-bearing age in the next generation, a considerable further increase in fertility will be necessary to stabilize Russia's population, especially since larger cohorts will be entering their 60s and 70s and thus increasing mortality as well."

CRITICAL 10 YEARS DEMOGRAPHIC POLICIES OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION: SUCCESSES AND CHALLENGES

[dangus]

Well, Russia recognizes the threat posed by a low birthrate, but their birthrate has at least recovered to the point where the problem is simply the after-effects of having been so low. Most of Europe and East Asia is still in free-fall.

[Rockingham]

Unlike developed nations, Russia suffers from poor public health due to rampant alcoholism and epidemics of AIDS and tuberculosis. Adult male life expectancy and workforce productivity suffer in consequence.

[dangus]

I already addressed this. Russian life expectancy has increased seven years in just the last fourteen years. Among men, it’s increased eight years in just the last ten years.

[Rockingham]

Gains in Russian life expectancy, especially for men, lag those in other countries and have stalled in recent years. Thus the life expectancy in Russia is 64 years for males and 76 years for women (137th and 100th in the world). According to data from the U.N.’s World Health Organization, a fifteen year old boy in Haiti can expect to live three years longer than a Russian boy of the same age.